All entries by Ian Mathias
Time to dump gold?
Nov 5th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Featured, Gold MarketGold gained yet another powerful ally yesterday — hedge fund icon Paul Tudor Jones. The man who famously called Black Monday in 1987 and the Nikkei crash a few years later now thinks “gold appears to be cheap.” In a note to his investors, Tudor said, “I have never been a gold bug. It is just an asset that, like everything else in life, has its time and place. And now is that time… gold’s value should increase as its scarcity relative to printed currencies increases.”
We’re Back to Growth… For Now
Oct 8th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & EconomicsJust one bit of meaningful economic data so far this week: The American service sector grew in September for the first time in a year. The Institute for Supply Management’s nonmanufacturing index scored 50.9 last month, just 9/10ths of a point above the growth/contraction tipping point. That certainly isn’t a booming service sector, but having contracted for the last 11 months… we’ll take it.
The Lehman of 2009
Oct 5th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & EconomicsNaturally, at the focus of renewed market pessimism is a struggling financial: CIT Group. (NYSE:CIT) The company — a hundred-year-old staple of small/medium business lending — is no stranger to walking the credit tightrope. They narrowly averted fiscal meltdown late last year with $2.3 billion in TARP bucks… then again in July by goosing bondholders with a $3 billion a debt-to-equity deal. Back then we joked, “Look for this crisis to repeat in a couple weeks.” We were wrong… it took a couple months.
Spending Soars, Savings Suffer
Oct 1st, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & EconomicsPersonal spending soared 1.3% in August, the biggest monthly leap since 2001, the Commerce Department announced today. Of course, this $129 billion jump in consumption “shows strength in August, indicating some economic improvement,” as CNN writes. A quick look at the chart reveals that the once sober American consumer is starting to fall off the wagon yet again.
US GDP is Irrelevant
Sep 30th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & EconomicsThe American economy contracted only 0.7% in the second quarter, the government finalized today. That’s down from its previous projection of 1% and practically seals the deal for a positive GDP number when Uncle Sam gives his initial third-quarter guess in late October.
Think China vs. India
Sep 30th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Emerging MarketsThe U.S.’ potential conflict with Iran might pale in comparison to a fight brewing between China and India, says Chris Mayer. “This one doesn’t seem to get much attention in the Western media, but I’ve read some dire stuff from the Eastern media. By their lights, the Sino-Indian border hasn’t been this tense since 1986-87, when the skirmishes broke out between Indian and Chinese troops.
What Happened to Toxic Assets?
Sep 29th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Financial NewsPop quiz: what happened a year ago today?
Unemployed Young People are the Real Danger
Sep 28th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & Economics“The real danger — economically, socially or politically speaking — in the 1930s was loads of young men without jobs.”
Is it Really Over?
Sep 25th, 2009 | By Ian Mathias | Category: Politics & EconomicsWe’ve said it before, more than once: Jobs and housing will be the real indicators for how the depression pans out. Housing led us into this mess, it is one of the worst performing asset classes in America, it’s most people’s biggest investment, and bad mortgages (and their subsequent securitizations) have rendered our financial system impotent — at best. And jobs, well… people gotta work. When they don’t, all kinds of craziness ensues.