In my column last week, I showed you some of the spectacular moves that the four most actively traded commodities (oil, natural gas, gold and silver) have made over the past couple of years.

And when you see the wide trading ranges, it also gives you an idea of just how lucrative they can be.

But you don’t need to be an expert to take advantage. You just need to know how to play them intelligently, using strategies that minimize your risk and maximize your profit potential.

Easier said than done, right? Nope. That’s what I’m here for. And today, I’m going to show you how to add commodities to your portfolio in a much easier way than through futures or futures options, and a much better way than by just buying commodity stocks outright.

Two Reasons Why You Should Use A Put Option Strategy

Perhaps the best way to play commodities is through the options market.

But if you think “commodities and options” in the same sentence sounds scary, think again! Let me explain to you how you can do so, using one of my favorite strategies when you want to take a bullish stance.

It’s called “put-option selling.”

Let’s run through the basics first…

In the options market, a buyer of put options has a bearish stance on the underlying asset (be it the overall market, or stock). Alternatively, a seller of put options is adopting a neutral or bullish stance on the underlying asset.

And the flexibility of the options market allows you to sell options as an opening transaction instead of having to buy them.

In this case, we’re the put-option sellers – a technique that has a superb double benefit.

• You receive income upfront – yours to keep, no matter what happens with the rest of the trade.
• You have a chance to buy the underlying asset at the price you want – and at a large discount to the current price.

Here’s how it works…

Create Your Own “Discount Store”

Whenever you sell an option contract (either a call or put option), the option buyer pays you for it. This money is yours to keep and it gets immediately placed into your trading account.

When you sell a put option contract in particular, not only do you get the immediate cash payment, but you are also giving yourself the chance to buy the underlying asset at the (strike) price you select.

In short, someone is paying you cash so that you can buy the asset at the price you want. How great is that?

Let’s run through a hypothetical example – using the commodities market – to show how put-option selling is as simple as it seems…

Say you’re bullish on a gold stock, but the price has run up too much for your liking. You want to wait for a pullback to the 200-day moving average area before you buy.

Now that commodities exchange traded funds are an extremely popular and easy way to trade commodities, you decide that you’re going to use the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE: GLD). Here’s how…

How to Buy Gold At the Price You Want

GLD tracks the price movement of physical gold and is roughly one-tenth the size of the front-month gold futures contract.

And because it’s an ETF, it trades just like a stock, so you can buy and sell it through a regular stock brokerage account.

However, with it currently trading around $97, you want to wait for a pullback to the $91 area before buying, as that’s the price at which you feel comfortable owning the shares.

So what’s the best way to take advantage? Regular investors may put in a stock buy order at $91 and hope GLD comes down to that level. But if it doesn’t, you’ve wasted your time.

Here’s where the put-selling strategy comes into play.

• Instead of placing a buy order, you could opt to sell a GLD December 2009 $91 strike put option contract (GLD-XM) for $1.40 per contract.
• What does this do for us? Well, for every put option contract you sell, the option buyer will immediately pay you $140 (because there are 100 shares in each options contract – $1.40 multiplied by 100 = $140).
• If you sell 10 of these put option contracts, you’ll receive $1,400 into your trading account.

That’s right… instant cash just for placing a trade. So what’s the catch? Only that you’re obligating yourself to buy those GLD shares at $91 – which is the price you want!

However, you must ensure that you only sell as many contracts as corresponds to the number of shares you want to buy. For example, if you sell just one contract, you’re obligated to buy 100 shares of GLD for $91 by options expiration. And if you sell 10 contracts, you’d be on the hook for 1,000 shares at that $91 price.

Get Proactive Through Put Option Selling & Get Cash

So instead of just sitting and waiting to see if GLD gets back down to $91 before you buy it, at least when you sell put option contracts, you pocket $1,400 in cash (on 10 contracts) while you wait.

It’s a win-win situation: not only do you get paid money while you wait, you still gain the opportunity to buy GLD shares at the price you want ($91) if it trades back down there by options expiration.

Speaking of options expiration, let’s cover that scenario…

Your Two Scenarios At Options Expiration

Only two scenarios will occur when the December options expiration rolls around…

• If GLD is still trading above your strike price of $91, then the put options will expire worthless and you just keep the $1400 free and clear. The trade is now over.
• If GLD is trading below your strike price of $91, then you’ll be “assigned” the shares on your put options and will become a regular shareholder of GLD at $91 per share. At this point, you’ll have to pay cash in full for the shares. But remember, you get to buy GLD at your chosen price.

A few points to remember:

• You’re selling the put option contract as the opening transaction, not buying it.
• You can buy the option back any time you wish. You don’t need to wait for option expiration to take action.
• You must be approved to trade option contracts through your stockbroker. The broker will also require you to keep a portion of the money it would cost for the shares in your account during the trade (a “margin requirement”) – but not the full amount.
• If you’re assigned the shares, you simply take the same risk management actions you would for any other bullish stock position you own.

The Bottom Line on Selling Puts

If you’re bullish on a stock, but find the price is too high, why just hang around and wait for it to decline? You can earn some cash while you wait through the put-selling strategy.

If the stock ends up below your strike price (the price you want to buy the shares) at option expiration, then you succeeded in your quest. You’ll be able to buy the shares at your comfort level, while still retaining the cash paid to you on day one of the transaction. A no-brainer in my book.

Good investing,

Lee Lowell

Source: How to Buy Gold… At the Price You Want & Get Paid for It

It’s a world shrouded in deep myths and folklore that include stories of people losing their homes, or having 5,000 bushels of soybeans dumped on their front lawn.

I’m talking about the commodities world, of course.

But despite these tall tales, commodities aren’t necessarily dangerous investments. Not if you know what you’re doing and take adequate precautions. Rather, the “secret society” stuff comes from the belief that the sector is a murky one that many investors simply don’t understand. Just the mere sound of “commodity futures and futures options contracts” was enough to send people running for cover…

However, nothing could be further from the truth when dealing with commodities. And over the past few years, we’ve seen great changes in the financial world that have opened the doors to this “secret society.”

Step Out of Your Comfort Zone… Don’t Be Afraid of Futures & Futures Options

I’ll tell you what I’ve told my friends and acquaintances over the years: Don’t be scared of commodity futures and futures options, they’re essentially little different than stock and stock options. If you know how to trade stocks and stock options, then there’s no difference from futures and futures options.

For example, if you can buy and sell IBM (NYSE: IBM) shares and IBM options, then why can’t you buy and sell sugar futures and sugar options? There is no difference. As long as you have an idea of where an investment (be it IBM or sugar) might move to and its underlying fundamentals, then what is there to be scared about?

Here’s the problem as I see it (based on my 18 years of experience in the commodities sector): Most people just don’t know enough about the underlying fundamentals of commodities – how/why soybeans, cocoa, cotton, or live cattle trade in a certain way. The majority of people know stocks and that’s that. They don’t like change and are fearful to step out of their comfort zone.

But all commodities that are available to trade on various U.S. exchanges are highly regulated. They have strict rules, which are efficient and assure the integrity and safety of your capital.

So if you’re looking to add some great potential gains to your portfolio, then consider what commodities can do for you…

Four Commodities… Four Explosive Moves

Want some examples of how explosive the world of commodities can be? Just look at these moves for oil, natural gas, gold and silver over the past year…

How would you have liked to hop aboard some of those moves?

Oil: When it started rising in 2007 and topped in 2008, it encompassed a staggering $90,000 move if you’d held just one contract. And the freefall that ended last March brought in an unheard of $110,000 for anyone being bearish.

If you’d held 10 contracts during those moves, you could have seen gains of over $1 million! And that’s just one direction. Double it if you went both ways.

Natural Gas: The move up in the summer of 2007 to the top in 2008 encompassed an $85,000 move, while the drop back down to the lows hit just two weeks ago and saw an even larger haul of $110,000. And this was for holding just one measly little contract. Imagine if you had 100 contracts.

Gold: From the gold chart below, you can see the trend higher from 2002. But even if you got onboard as late as 2006, the move could still have netted you $45,000.

Silver: A bullish position taken in 2006 would have scored $60,000 on just one contract. And if you’d hopped on the bear train near the highs in the spring of 2008, you could have pocketed another $65,000 just six months later.

This is some serious money folks.

And the great thing about commodities is that it’s normal for them to cycle from highs to lows and then back again. This gives you opportunities to profit on the way up and the way down. Moreover, it’s in contrast to the stock market, where most moves are biased to the upside.

Now, if you want to profit today…

Three Reasons Why You Should Trade These Four ETFs

Due to the changes that have taken place in the commodities world, regular investors have a chance to take part in the sector without leaving the comfort of a stockbroker.

We’re talking about commodity-related exchange-traded-funds (ETFs), which mimic the moves of the underlying asset. So you can use them to play some of the most popular and active commodity markets.

For example, if you’d like to go for oil, natural gas, gold, and silver, consider these ETFs:

• Oil: United States Oil Fund (NYSE: USO)
• Natural Gas: United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE: UNG)
• Gold: SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
• Silver: iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV)

If you want to gain exposure to the often lucrative commodities world, here’s why you should trade these ETFs…

1. Simple: ETFs trade like stocks, so you can buy and sell them as you would with shares of any other company from a regular stock brokerage account. So you don’t even need to get involved with commodity brokers, futures, or futures options contracts.
2. Options: The ETFs also have options available, which offers you more leverage and can reduce your risk.
3. Liquidity: Because all four of these ETFs are the largest ones available for their respective commodities, there is enough volume to be able to get in and out quickly and safely.

Next time, I’ll show you one of my favorite ways to use an options strategy to execute a bullish commodity trade. But in the meantime, check out those ETFs above.

Good trading,

Lee Lowell

Source: Four Easy Ways to Trade the World’s Top Commodities

Since April, the commodity has embarked on an extreme upside move, shooting to highs not seen since sugar hit $0.45 per pound in 1981. The chart below illustrates it perfectly…

Sugar Chart: http://www.investmentu.com/images/sugar_082509.gif

The main reason for such a large jump was news from India, which indicated a potentially low sugar crop.

Over the past couple of weeks, the sugar market has surprised many analysts by trading even higher. I say that because while fundamental news like this often results in impressive-looking moves, its impact has a limited lifespan.

So be warned. Moves like this usually indicate that the news is factored into the price and we’re entering the last phase of the bullish run.

Based on my experience in the commodities markets, where I’ve seen this type of pattern many times, I believe we’re headed for an inevitable turnaround for the sugar market. Here’s what you can do to profit form this, and two other commodities to keep an eye on.

How to Play the Sugar Market to the Downside

If you want to play the sugar market to the downside, I suggest you buy put option contracts, or by selling limited-risk call option spreads. At the moment, the October 2009 and March 2010 option contracts are the most active.

As you can see on the chart of the October 2009 futures contract above, the price surpassed the $0.2300 per pound level twice, moved back to $0.2150 per pound, then trotted past the $0.2300 mark again.

This is what technical analysts call a “triple top” and if sugar doesn’t move above $0.2300 again, we can seriously count on the market having a big retracement lower – most likely between $0.1900 and $0.2000 per pound.

So if you play the downside and it does make that retracement, I’d suggest taking profits at that $0.1900 to $0.2000 level.

Oil Heading For $80… And Beyond: Three Ways to Play the Move

Given the historic rise and fall of the oil market and the current state of the global economy, you’d never think that it could even consider the idea of moving higher again.

But the market continues to amaze everyone with its resilience and strength, with the current price hovering around the $74.50 per barrel area.

And with conflicting reports on the global demand for oil over both the near term and long term – plus weekly inventory reports that show a strong buildup of supplies one week, followed by draw-downs the next week – it’s easy to see how this can be a very treacherous market.

Here’s the deal: Regardless of what statistics are released and how Congressional attempts curtail oil trading limits, it’s clear that the oil market continues to bring in speculators from all levels – and will most likely keep trekking higher.

Check out the oil chart below. The price is currently trading above all three main moving averages (20-day, 50-day, 200-day) and is now looking to pop above the recent high of $75.27 from June 11. If that happens, we could easily see oil shoot to $80 from there – with $90 probably right behind.

Oil Chart: http://www.investmentu.com/images/oil_082509.gif

There are a couple ways to play the oil market – be it on the long or short side…

• The futures and futures options that trade on the floor of the NYMEX. This is usually best for experienced commodities investors.
• Through an ETF like United States Oil (NYSE: USO), which tracks the price performance. This gives you broad exposure to the market through one investment, rather than playing individual companies. It’s also a less expensive way to play the market and doesn’t require a commodity trading account.

You can either play the USO shares directly, or the options on the ETF. No matter whether you’re bullish or bearish, pick an option expiration period at least three to six months in the future, as that will give your directional call ample time to mature.

The Grain Markets: Summertime Means We’re on “Grain Watch”

Finally, let’s hit the grain markets (corn, wheat, soybeans)…

During summer, these markets can really turn to the upside, as the growing season can be extremely volatile, particularly if the weather is less than ideal.

The June-October period typically sees more speculation in the grain markets than any other time of year, purely because of the prospect of more volatility. Regardless of what any fundamental data may show, nothing can compare to the sheer panic-buying when we receive weather reports that show how a drought could wipe out a year’s worth of crop.

And some of it doesn’t even need to necessarily happen… it’s merely the potential for it happening, based on previous history. Fortunes can be made or lost in just those few summer months.

Buy Corn Commodities Low… And Ride the Bullish Move Higher

This year, for example, we’ve seen corn and wheat prices shuffle around their annual lows, due to government reports that show ample planting, high carry-over levels from last year and crop production that is ahead of schedule.

Corn Chart: http://www.investmentu.com/images/corn_082509.gif

With corn currently at its lows, if any potential weather disruption does occur over the next few months, taking a bullish position here could be a low-risk way to get involved.

Like with the sugar market, the best way to play corn is through limited-risk option strategies. Stick with expiration months of December 2009 or March 2010, so that you give the market plenty of time to mount a bullish move.

Good trading,

Lee Lowell

Source: These Three Commodities Are Set to Move… Are You Ready to Profit?

Take corn, for example. Prices rallied strongly early last week on drier than expected weather conditions, only to lose all of those gains by Friday.

But rather than lament situations like these that cause such erratic price movements, they actually offer a chance to profit. As I’ve said in the last few columns, the grain markets make for good speculative bullish trades, as they’re not only at the mercy of the weather, but are also trading at their most recent lows.

If there is a sustained weather disruption, we could see very quick, wild movements. Continue to look at December 2009 or March 2010 call options for the grains that trade on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade.

Moving on, let’s take a look at the latest in the oil market, which continues to amaze most veteran traders…

Another Erratic Summer For Oil

Cast your mind back to early June…

September crude oil futures hit a high just under $75 per barrel. Then comes word of possible Congressional legislation that would curb speculation in the oil market. In addition, the weekly supply data shows ample reserves of crude oil.

Result? Oil prices tank by $14 to $60.

So instead of looking higher, oil looked like it was ready for a possible trip back down to $30. But this is the oil market – and it’s rarely so clear-cut.

With more “skewed” government reports, which hinted that the economy was improving, that was all oil needed to come roaring back with a vengeance. It quickly added another $11 per barrel to its current price of $71.

Two Ways To Play The Oil Market’s Moves

It would be great if markets always based their moves on fundamental data. Much easier to figure out future direction.

But markets are irrational. And right now, oil is heading higher in the short-term, due to the money flow back into the market, regardless of the deep oil supplies at our disposal. But if you’re looking to make money in the markets, you need to go with what the market gives you, not what you want it to do.

If you’re interested in getting involved in the oil market (long or short), there are two ways you can play it.

1. Futures and futures options, which trade on the floor of the NYMEX. Stick with limited-risk option positions.
2. The main ETF that represents the oil market and tracks the price movements – United States Oil (NYSE: USO). This is a less expensive way to get in on the action and doesn’t require a commodity trading account to play it.

Currently, USO is trading at $38 per share and has options available, too. If you’re bullish or bearish, pick an option expiration period at least three to six months in the future, as that will give you more time to be correct with your directional call.

Sugar High

Lastly, we want to alert you to the sugar market, which is making extreme upside moves at the moment.

Having kicked off its rapid upward run in April, sugar has ramped up its pace even more in recent weeks, hitting highs not seen since 1981!

I like to call these “blast-off” moves because if you look at the daily chart, you’ll see a straight-up vertical move. Moves like this occur only a few times a year and can happen in any market. They also usually indicate that we’re entering the last phase of the bull run.

What Goes Up Must Go Down… How To Prepare For Sugar Downside

The main reason for sugar’s massive move is news from India that indicates a potentially low crop size.

However, all markets reach a level at some point where the news is factored in. And when we see blast-off moves like this, we can sometimes see a quick and dramatic price turnaround. And in sugar’s case, this would be a reversal to the downside.

If you want to try and capitalize on this, you can buy put option contracts or sell limited-risk call option spreads on sugar – both of which trade on the floor of the ICE/NYBOT exchange. At the moment, October 2009 and March 2010 option contracts are the most active.

That’s it for this edition.

Lee Lowell

Source: How to Profit from These Three Erratic Markets

As we’ve mentioned before, these products are heavily dependent on the weather for their yield. So if erratic weather patterns affect the crops’ growing cycles, it’s very likely that their prices will rise.

These products aren’t just consumables either. The farmers and food/drink companies that are front-and-center of their production use these markets for income production, too. They do this by using commodity futures and options contracts as hedging mechanisms.

So let’s hit the grains market first…

How To Play The Grain Market Upside With Commodity Futures

A few weeks ago, we keyed in on corn and wheat, stating: “Most of the speculators who play these markets are bullish in nature, so a majority of them are placing bullish bets, either in the form of outright long futures contracts or long call option contracts.

“Right now might be one of the best times to get into the grain markets on the long side because not only are we right smack in the middle of summer, but the prices of corn and wheat have just undergone a five-week massacre to the downside.”

Both commodities markets are still meandering around their lows, which offers another good opportunity to get in on a speculative bullish move. Here’s how to do it…

Take a look at the daily charts below for the corn and wheat December 2009 futures contracts.

If you believe in the seasonality of bullish moves for the grains, and are willing to take a speculative bet, now is a good time to consider a trade.

Your best bet is to hit the futures options contracts that trade on the floor of the Chicago Board Of Trade (CBOT). But make sure you do so in a way that gives you limited risk and unlimited reward possibilities.

For example, that could include entering a call option spread or just buying call options.

For call options, look to play the December 2009 or March 2010 options expirations, which will give enough time for any major weather scares to produce a good upside run.

• Corn: Specifically, consider December 2009 & March 2010 call options with strike price levels from $3.50 and higher.
• Wheat: Use the December 2009 and March 2010 call options that have strike prices between $5.60 and $5.80, or higher.

You can also trade these contracts through the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s electronic platform, where you can bypass the brokers in the option pits. These contracts are exactly the same as the other, so you can trade them whichever way works best for you.

The Orange Juice Markets – A Hot Spot For Speculators

Having last broken down the orange juice market one month ago, this market has become a hot spot for speculators, as hurricane season got underway.

At the time, the market had carved out a low and we mentioned that it was shaping up for a “potentially lucrative seasonal trade.”

It certainly didn’t disappoint. Over a two-week period, orange juice futures launched higher to the tune of 2700 points. Usually, a move like that will take a good portion of the summer to develop, but with the oversold conditions that existed, it was stronger and quicker than normal.

This served all call option buyers well – especially those who took our advice to buy the January 2010 $85 cent call options. At the time, these options were available to buy for roughly 900 points or lower. And with the 2700-point surge, they tripled in price, fetching prices of over 3000 points.

So what now?

At this point, we wouldn’t advise buying these options anymore. The feverish move has already happened now and OJ prices are beginning to fall back. This is usually a one-time event every year, and unless orange juice drops back down into the low 80-cent area quickly (based on the January 2010 futures), we don’t recommend buying calls at this time. Markets move fast and timing is very crucial.

Let’s take a quick look at our other favorite “weather-prone” commodity – natural gas…

Commodity Futures – Waiting on a Natural Gas Bull

We’ve been bullish on natural gas for a while now, as it slinks along the lows it’s carved out since it reached manic highs last summer (along with many other commodities).

Natural gas will eventually hit a bottom, as it’s an in-demand natural resource that will be around for a long time. We just have to wait patiently for the turnaround, as the market grapples with high underground storage supplies.

Like with the orange juice market, though, we know hurricanes can cause huge upside moves, as the majority of drilling rigs are centered in the Gulf of Mexico. If a few storms go rumbling through that area, it could be the impetus that eventually brings this commodity out of the doldrums. But until then, we’ll bide our time.

One of the ways we’re playing this market in my Instant Money Trader (IMT) service is by selling out-of-the-money naked put option contracts on the natural gas exchange-traded fund -United States Natural Gas (NYSE: UNG).

This ETF tracks the movements of natural gas futures contracts, giving investors a lower cost way to enter this market.

And by selling put options, it allows us to collect the option premium, while having an opportunity to buy natural gas at unbelievably low historical levels. Check out this article for more information on how to sell put options.

Source: Commodity Futures: Playing The Grains & Orange Juice Markets

I’d like to focus this week’s segment on the markets that typically see heightened activity during the summer months, due to the fact that it’s their prime growing season. Specifically, that means the grains and orange juice markets.

As we’ve mentioned before, these products are heavily dependent on the weather for their yield. So if erratic weather patterns affect the crops’ growing cycles, it’s very likely that their prices will rise.

These products aren’t just consumables either. The farmers and food/drink companies that are front-and-center of their production use these markets for income production, too. They do this by using commodity futures and options contracts as hedging mechanisms.

So let’s hit the grains market first…

Bull-Hunting In The Corn And Wheat Markets

In the last issue, we keyed in on corn and wheat, stating: “Most of the speculators who play these markets are bullish in nature, so a majority of them are placing bullish bets, either in the form of outright long futures contracts or long call option contracts.

“Right now might be one of the best times to get into the grain markets on the long side because not only are we right smack in the middle of summer, but the prices of corn and wheat have just undergone a five-week massacre to the downside.”

Both markets are still meandering around their lows, which offers another good opportunity to get in on a speculative bullish move. Here’s how to do it…

How To Play Grain Market Upside

Take a look at the daily charts below for the corn and wheat December 2009 futures contracts.

If you believe in the seasonality of bullish moves for the grains, and are willing to take a speculative bet, now is a good time to consider a trade.

Your best bet is to hit the futures options contracts that trade on the floor of the Chicago Board Of Trade (CBOT). But make sure you do so in a way that gives you limited risk (through call option spreads, for example) and unlimited reward possibilities (through outright call options).

For call options, look to play the December 2009 or March 2010 options expirations, which will give enough time for any major weather scares to produce a good upside run.

Corn: Specifically, consider December 2009 & March 2010 call options with strike price levels from $3.50 and higher.

Wheat: Use the December 2009 and March 2010 call options that have strike prices between $5.60 and $5.80, or higher.

You can also trade these contracts through the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s electronic platform, where you can bypass the brokers in the option pits. These contracts are exactly the same as the other, so you can trade them whichever way works best for you.

Juicing In July

Having last broken down the orange juice market one month ago, this market has become a hot spot for speculators, as hurricane season got underway.

At the time, the market had carved out a low and we mentioned that it was shaping up for a “potentially lucrative seasonal trade.”

It certainly didn’t disappoint. Over a two-week period, orange juice futures launched higher to the tune of 2700 points. Usually, a move like that will take a good portion of the summer to develop, but with the oversold conditions that existed, it was stronger and quicker than normal.

This served all call option buyers well – especially those who took our advice to buy the January 2010 $85 cent call options. At the time, these options were available to buy for roughly 900 points or lower. And with the 2700-point surge, they tripled in price, fetching prices of over 3000 points.

So what now?

At this point, we wouldn’t advise buying these options anymore. The feverish move has already happened now and OJ prices are beginning to fall back. This is usually a one-time event every year, and unless orange juice drops back down into the low 80-cent area quickly (based on the January 2010 futures), we don’t recommend buying calls at this time. Markets move fast and timing is very crucial.

Lastly, we’ll take a quick look at our other favorite “weather-prone” commodity – natural gas…

Natural Gas Needs A Hurricane-Induced Boost

We’ve been bullish on natural gas for a while now, as it slinks along the lows it’s carved out since it reached manic highs last summer (along with many other commodities).

Natural gas will eventually hit a bottom, as it’s an in-demand natural resource that will be around for a long time. We just have to wait patiently for the turnaround, as the market grapples with high underground storage supplies.

Like with the orange juice market, though, we know hurricanes can cause huge upside moves, as the majority of drilling rigs are centered in the Gulf of Mexico. If a few storms go rumbling through that area, it could be the impetus that eventually brings this commodity out of the doldrums. But until then, we’ll bide our time.

One of the ways we’re playing this market in my Instant Money Trader (IMT) service is by selling out-of-the-money naked put option contracts on the natural gas exchange-traded fund - United States Natural Gas(NYSE: UNG).

This ETF tracks the movements of natural gas futures contracts, giving investors a lower cost way to enter this market.

And by selling put options, it allows us to collect the option premium, while having an opportunity to buy natural gas at unbelievably low historical levels. Check out this article for more information on how to sell put options.And to get on board with IMT, just visit this link.

Source: Grain Hunting: How To Cash In On  The Corn And Wheat Markets

Since many of these commodities are real physical products that we use for consumption purposes, it’s no surprise that these markets rise in price whenever investors suspect an oncoming deficit.

Specifically, grains and other foodstuffs are at the mercy of Mother Nature from the time they are being planted until they can be brought to market. Right now is one of those critical periods, and with that in mind, we’re going to discuss the sectors that are most volatile during these summer months.

Get Going With The Grains

Applied to the commodities market, “the grains,” consist of corn, wheat and soybean futures and options contracts. We see the most speculative interest in these markets from all kinds of participants as what happens often happens fast, with big rewards for those people who know how to play it right.

From May to October, the grains go through their most critical growing cycles, when they rely heavily on ideal weather conditions in order to produce the most bountiful crops.

Of course though, we all know the weather doesn’t always remain ideal just because we ask it to.

And even when the sun does shine when it’s supposed to and the rain falls perfectly on schedule, there’s usually one reason or another to forecast doom and gloom… a shortage of one element, an over-abundance of another, factors that can hinder the crops from meeting their full potential.

Those same variables that have farmers tense and impatient during the summer months, give investors plenty of opportunities to profit though, as the uncertainty more often than not leads to manic moves in the market.

Why The Bulls Are Set To Run Once Again

Most of the speculators who play these markets are bullish in nature, so a majority of them are placing bullish bets, either in the form of outright long futures contracts or long call option contracts.

Right now might be one of the best times to get into the grain markets on the long side. Not only are we right smack in the middle of summer – a season known for it’s weather anomalies – but the prices of corn & wheat have just undergone a five-week massacre to the downside.

With corn and wheat futures hitting very oversold levels, it makes your chances of being profitable with a bullish trade, that much more probable.

If you need further proof, take a look at the daily charts below of December 2009 corn & wheat futures contracts.

Notice how each commodity appears to have fallen off a cliff since early June. This was due to the most recent government supply/demand data showing sizable supplies and planting intentions for each.

Their Panic Is Our Profit

Over my 17 years in the commodity business, I’ve found that nothing can get in the way of a bull run whenever there is a perception that a crop will get wiped out if growing conditions aren’t perfect. It happens every summer, and this one shouldn’t be any different.

If you’re on board with me in this and want to take part of the speculative fever, then your best bet is to go with options contracts that trade on the floor of the Chicago Board Of Trade (CBOT). Stick with limited-risk call option strategies that are for the December 2009 expiration cycle or beyond, as they provide enough time for any major weather scares to still produce a good upside run.

You can look at the December 2009 corn options with strike price levels from $3.50 and higher. And use the December 2009 options that have strike prices of $5.50 and higher for wheat.

Outright call option purchases and call option spreads are a great way to get your feet wet in these markets.

Soybeans, which probably see the most volatile moves during the summer, did not get hit as hard to the downside recently as corn & wheat, so the advantage isn’t as high in that product right now for bullish bets.

Although soybeans could rise as well with any weather interruptions, we like the chances better with corn & wheat.

Orange Juice Futures Could Still Climb Higher

On a final note, I want to draw your attention back to the analysis we did on the orange juice market in the last Commodities Corner.

Right on cue, orange futures have blasted higher in the last few sessions to the tune of 1800 points, putting any recent call option purchases from last week squarely in the black.

This market could remain active over the next few months as the weather, in the form of hurricanes, can send this market to dizzying heights.

Good trading!

Source: How To Play This Government Report And The Ensuing Commodities Craze

That is unless you’re using a put selling strategy…

As an option trader, you can take the transaction one step further by selling a Microsoft $20 put option contract – you’ll receive the going rate for that option and receive instant income.

I recently showed Investment U readers some of the ins and outs of put options – you can read all about them, but right now I’m going to show you how to profit from a real life example of selling puts options.

Selling Naked Put Options – Strike Prices & Option Chains

When selling naked put options, it can be hard to grasp how the strike prices and contract prices work together until you understand what an option price list – or option chain – looks like.

Take a look at Microsoft’s option chain below:

Chart: http://www.investmentu.com/images/iu062909chart.gif

This is a typical option chain for Microsoft options that expire in January 2010.

• The strike prices are listed in the column in black. Since we’re interested in the $20 strike price, we look at the JAN10 20.00 line.
• Scan over to the “bid” column that shows how much you can receive for selling that $20 put option contract. The bid column shows $1.30 as the price. This translates into $130 you will receive for every $20 put option contract you sell because all prices are in listed in per share costs. And an option contract controls 100 shares of stock.
• For a typical 1,000 share stock trade, you can sell 10 put option contracts and instantly receive $1,300 in your account, no questions asked.

This is money for you to use anyway you see fit. No matter what happens, this money is yours.

In exchange for selling those 10 put option contracts and receiving your instant $1,300, you are obligating yourself to buy 1,000 shares of Microsoft at a price of $20 per share until the expiration day in January 2010.

At this point, you know ahead of time that you will be obligating yourself to buy 1,000 shares of Microsoft at $20 per share, for a total investment of $20,000.

Not only do you get to collect $1300 upfront just for placing the option trade, but you’re also giving yourself a chance to buy a stock that you want to own, at the price you want.

How great is that?

As long as you know this potential future transaction is within your financial means and trading plan, then it is a win-win situation for you.

When Selling Options, What Happens On Options Expiration Day?

So, when selling put options or any options, people often ask what happens when options reach their expiration date?

Only two things can occur at expiration – either the price of the stock is above the chosen strike price or it’s below.

• If the stock finishes above the strike price, then the trade is over and the option expires worthless. The option buyer walks away with nothing while the option seller gets to keep the upfront cash with no further obligations.
• If the stock finishes below the strike price at option expiration, the option buyer will “exercise” his right to the contract and you will be required to fulfill your end of the agreement – which means you end up having to buy a stock you wanted at the price you wanted.

Sounds pretty good to me. And all the while you still get to keep the upfront cash.

So in the case of our Microsoft example above…

• If Microsoft closes below $20 in January 2010, you will be obligated to purchase your 1,000 shares at $20 each. With the $130 received upfront for each option contract, this essentially reduces your cost basis to $18.70 per share once the transaction is complete. Not bad.
• If Microsoft closes above $20 at January 2010 expiration, the trade is over and the option expires worthless. You keep the $1,300 and are free to repeat the process again for another expiration period. This is the key to income generation.

As I mentioned in my article about selling naked put options article that up to 90% of option contracts will expire worthless, leaving you with the upfront cash payment.

After implementing this strategy for a while, you will come to see that most of the trades will expire and you’ll keep padding your account with instant income.

Using a Put Selling Strategy – Six Tips to Selling Options

A few guidelines to keep in mind when selling naked put options:

• Only sell put options on stocks you want to own. Do not use this options trading strategy on high flyers just to receive the upfront income.
• Only sell enough contracts to stay within your comfort zone. If you normally trade in 500-share blocks, then only sell five option contracts.
• If you are uncomfortable at anytime during the trade, or do not wish to own the stock at the strike price you’ve chosen, then you can unwind the trade at any point. All you have to do is buy back the put options you’ve sold.
• The option price will fluctuate during the course of the trade. It may get cheaper or more expensive while you hold it. The bottom line is – you’ll either get to buy the stock at expiration or the option will expire with no value.
• You will need to have an approved “option trading account” with your broker. This needs to be set up before making these transactions.
• You’ll always know ahead of time what your potential total outlay will be if obligated to buy the shares. No surprise endings.

That’s all there is to selling put options. It’s easy, simple and much safer than most investors imagine if you just stick to my six tips above.

Using Put Options With The Instant Money Trader

These are the profitable types of trades we execute in The Instant Money Trader service.

In fact, since launching in November 2008, we’ve had a 100% win streak, meaning all the options have expired worthless, allowing us to bank all the money paid to us upfront from the option buyers.

Although we concentrate on selling put options on high quality stocks within the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 that we’d be more than happy to own, we’ve yet to have to fulfill our obligation and purchase them.

This is mostly because we sell the put options that have the high percentage of expiring worthless. It’s fine with us, as we’ll gladly keep accepting all the instant money we get from these transactions.

We’re able to pick quality stocks that are paying good money to us, all the while knowing that we’ll either take possession of these great stocks or repeat the process for the next month.

Good investing,

Lee Lowell

Source: Using a Put Selling Strategy: A Step-By-Step Lesson On Selling Options

There’s an incredibly profitable, but little-known trading and investment strategy that you will come to love as much as I do because of all the “instant cash” it can generate for you.

In the lucrative world of options trading, this strategy is called “selling a naked put option.”

Sounds sexy, and to some it is, but really it’s an incredibly simple way to buy stock you want to purchase at a specific price – while having someone pay you to do it. It’s easy to do but there are a few things you need to know first…

Here’s how you can use this powerful options strategy to get paid for buying stocks.

Understanding Put Option Contracts

If someone has a bearish outlook for a particular stock, they can either sell the stock short or purchase a put option contract. My colleague, Karim Rahemtulla, discussed put options at length in “Short Selling Strategies” last week, but there are some terms to be aware of.

• When you purchase a put option contract, you gain the right to sell that particular stock at a particular price within a specified period of time. To do this, you must pay a fixed amount of money upfront, which is called the “option premium” to the option seller.
• The option seller gets to keep this upfront cash regardless of any future outcome of the transaction.
• The amount at which you can sell the stock is determined ahead of time by the “strike price” – the only price you’ll sell the stock at.
• The time period that the option is active for is also determined ahead of time – and it’s referred to as the “expiration date.”

So as a put option buyer, if the stock you choose ends up falling in price below the strike price you have chosen within the time frame, you will have a winning trade.

It sounds simple enough for most investors to make money hand over fist, but it’s not.

• In about 80% to 90% of option buyer’s transactions, the option will expire worthless and the option buyer ends up forfeiting the option premium he paid upfront to the option seller.
• Most option buyers (both calls and puts) do not end up picking the correct strike price and expiration period to give them a profitable trade.

So who really comes out ahead? The option seller of course – he gets to walk away free and clear with the money. So let’s put ourselves on that side of the trade.

The Secret to Selling Options

Sounds like being an option seller is no-brainer? Well, it is – if you do it correctly.

For getting paid upfront, the option seller also has an obligation to fill if certain conditions arise. His obligation is to buy the stock from the option buyer (remember, the option buyer wants the stock to fall in price) if the stock falls to a certain price within the expiration time period.

Here’s where it gets good.

As a put option seller, you also can determine ahead of time where you would feel comfortable buying a stock if it dropped in price, and then collect the cash from the option buyer.

This is how to be a smart put-option seller - only sell put option contracts at strike prices at which you would like to own the stock if called upon to do so.

That’s it.

The secret to selling naked put options is to pick a stock that you would potentially like to own at a cheaper price than where it currently trades, sell the corresponding strike price, collect the money from the option buyer, and then sit back and wait until option expiration to occur.

These are the profitable types of trades we do all the time.

In fact, since launching The Instant Money Trader service in November 2008, we’ve had a 100% win streak, meaning all the options have expired worthless, allowing us to bank all the money paid to us upfront from the option buyers.

And it couldn’t have been easier.

Source: Selling Naked Put Options: How to Get Paid to Buy Stocks

As I’ve mentioned in recent issues, oil had near-term targets of $70 in its sights. It hasn’t disappointed, shooting past the $73 mark late last week – a level not seen since the first week of November 2008.

On a technical basis, because oil has not only moved above, but also stayed above all the major moving averages (including the all-important 200-day average), it’s now got $80 in its sights. If any pullback is going to occur, which should happen after solid runs like this, the move down should hold at the $65 per barrel range.

On a fundamental note, we’ve got three reasons for the recent price rise…

1. Hedge funds seem to be pumping more money into the market again.
2. OPEC has decreased oil supply levels.
3. There seems to be some consensus that oil demand might be picking up from the slack levels seen over the past six months.

For now, the market looks strong and any pullbacks should be met with more buying. Here’s how you can play it…

How To Play Oil With Minimum Fuss

The chart below shows the daily movements of the front-month futures contract (July)…

The easiest way to play the broad oil market (either to the upside or downside) is to go for the very popular and highly liquid exchange traded fund, United States Oil (NYSE: USO). The fund mimics the moves of crude oil futures that trade on the NYMEX.

You can trade USO like a normal stock in a regular stock brokerage account and the ETF has options contracts available, too.

Since we first went bullish on oil, USO traded around $32. It’s now around $38.80 and is a very effective “cheaper” alternative to the high-priced arena of futures and futures options, while still profiting from the same moves as the underlying oil market.

Natural Gas Making Unnatural Moves

Having been stuck in the doldrums for ages, the natural gas market has really woken up recently.

Prices have coiled into a narrow trading range over the past two weeks, with volatile swings of 300-400 points over just a few days becoming the norm. At the moment, it looks like the $3.50 per MMB/tu level is the floor, while the market tries to decide which way it eventually wants to go.

Keep Tabs On The 20-Day Moving Average For Clues To The Next Move

With natural gas prices still sitting near multi-year lows, we continue to have a bullish longer-term perspective.

Also, I’ll reiterate a technical observation from my last issue: Because the 20-day moving average has crossed above the 50-day moving average for the first time since July 2008, this usually leads to a change in direction.

However, as volatile as natural gas is, the 20-day MA is flirting with crossing back underneath the 50-day MA, unless natural gas can muster a convincing move above the $4.000 per MMB/tu level.

We still like natural gas on the long side, but be patient here. This is a real, in-demand natural resource commodity, so it never has the worry factor of going out of business or bankrupt.

You can participate in this market by using the equivalent ETF for natural gas - United States Natural Gas(NYSE: UNG), which reacts just like the futures and futures options do. If you’re considering bullish strategies, UNG offers options contracts as well.

When Inflation Hits, You Want To Be Invested Here

The financials markets and investing can be a highly divisive subject… but most people agree on one thing:

Interest rates and inflation will rise eventually (in fact, rates have already started to rise), while the U.S. dollar will fall. This will be in response to the huge debt that the American government is getting itself into, due to the financial crisis and bailout programs.

Scenarios like this have always led to bullish moves into commodities, as they can buffer the effects just mentioned above. Witness the bullish moves in virtually every commodity sector that began in earnest a few months ago.

One of the best places to be in order to protect yourself from inflation is the metals markets. In fact, gold and silver have fared exceptionally well since the end of 2008 – and haven’t looked back since.

Our technical levels have served us well, allowing us to spot the support areas for both metals – gold near the $880 per ounce level, while solid support for silver comes in at $12.000 per ounce. Both have bounced from those areas and have enjoyed strong moves.

Although both metals are currently seeing slight pullbacks, they should resume their upward marches toward $1,000 and $20 for gold and silver respectively.

You can trade gold and silver directly through the futures options that trade on the NYMEX. Or if you prefer regular stock and options-based plays, check out their respective ETFs – the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV).

Source:Three Reasons Why Oil Prices Are Rising… And Where They’re Headed Next