On one hand, the deflationists are claiming that given the extremely high debt levels in the West, further inflation is impossible. On the other side of the argument, many proponents of inflation are calling for Zimbabwe style hyperinflation. In this business, everyone is entitled to their opinion; however it is my contention that we will get neither deflation nor hyperinflation. If my assessment is correct, once business activity picks up, our world will have to deal with high inflation.

Despite the ‘demand destruction’ hype, it is interesting to note that during this severe global recession, worldwide oil usage has dropped by a minuscule 2.7%. So, what will happen when the world comes out of this recession? Who will rise up to the challenge and meet our insatiable thirst for energy? These are critical questions not many are willing to ask.

Last week, Mr. Bernanke announced that the Federal Reserve would buy $300 billion worth of U.S. Treasuries and another $700 billion worth of government-agency mortgage debt. In order to finance these purchases, the Federal Reserve would simply create this money out of thin air.

The current economic conditions certainly do not provide any comfort for investors. So, if the economic news remains poor for the foreseeable future, should investors rule out the potential for a significant recovery in asset prices?

Puru Saxena sees a historical opportunity for long-term gains amid the current financial meltdown. There is currently around $3.5 trillion sitting on the sidelines, waiting to be invested in strong sectors. Puru says natural resources and industrials still have strong fundamentals, meaning they may never again be as cheap as they are today.

“All of the nations that have resorted to money-printing in the past, ultimately saw a total economic collapse,” says Puru Saxena. The government bailouts and stimulus packages may provide some short-term relief, but the long-term hyperinflation and damage to the dollar will be much, much worse.

Lets face it, the era of easy money and cheap oil has come to an end.

In the current monetary system, the supply of money is not constant and the central banks of this world are free to create as much inflation (money-supply growth) as they want. There is a catch – the central banks can only do so as long as they can keep inflationary fears in check by constantly reminding the public of the threat of deflation.