Base Metals Bomb, China no Longer Seen as Savior
Nov 12th, 2008 | By Doug Casey | Category: Financial NewsThe base metals were all deep in the red on Tuesday. Copper had another day of incessant down, with each tiny upblip met with immediate selling, leading to a finish barely off its intraday low at $1.5997/lb., down 10 cents. Nickel followed a similar path, except that it didn’t manage to escape its intraday low, closing right there at $4.6531/lb., down 29 2/3 cents.
Zinc meandered around either side of 49 cents, ending up a half-cent, at $0.4893/lb. Aluminum was weak, dropping a penny and a half, to $0.8494/lb., while lead also plunged to its intraday low of $0.5724/lb., down nearly 3½ cents.
Copper tumbled to a three-year low as it led the sector downward amid—cue broken record—deepening gloom about the global economy.
The data are simply offering no relief. Among yesterday’s numbers, along with the October exports figure from China, the U.K. reported that home sales fell to the lowest level in at least three decades.
“Grim recessionary stats continue to roll in from all corners of the world,” wrote Edward Meir, of MF Global. “We do not expect to see any sustainable rallies resulting for a period of time.”
Putting a further damper on any hopes that China will show the way out of a worldwide recession, the vice president of the state-controlled China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association warns that China’s stimulus plan will only have a gradual effect on the country’s base metals industry.
Rising stockpiles are also playing in. Copper inventories monitored by the LME shot higher by 4,625 metric tons yesterday, to 265,475 tons. Stocks are up more than 27,000 tons already in November.
Adding to the carnage, the sharp drop in equities markets yesterday had a negative effect, as commodities tend to correlate with them.
Source: Base metals bomb - China no longer seen as savior
Advertisement
Survive the Crash and prosper in times of turmoil
When Wall Street plunged and world markets imploded last month, readers of this free service were able to take short-term profits of 50% on Fannie Mae and 40% on Rostelcom (both in a single day!)... 25% on Vimpelcom and 16% on Mechel (in two days)... and 40% on Freddie Mac in just under three weeks.
How's your high-price trading service been doing for you lately?
Sign up for the FREE TFN eNews alert and get our crisis investing report, The 3 Best Small Caps to Own This Fall.
Doug Casey is a contrarian investor, sought-after public speaker and author of several books. His work "Crisis Investing" held the position of # 1 bestseller on the New York Times list for 26 consecutive weeks. Doug's unusual views on the economy - and just about everything else - have gained a huge following in the investment community, and it certainly helps that his stock recommendations of undervalued junior exploration companies have made his subscribers millions. Now in its 27th year, Doug's monthly newsletter, the International Speculator, is one of the most established and esteemed publications on gold, silver and other natural resource investments. Together with the Casey Energy Speculator, it covers a broad range of carefully selected stocks with the very real potential of double- and triple-digit returns within 12 to 24 months.