Base Metals Largely Pummeled
Aug 12th, 2008 | By Doug Casey | Category: Financial News, Gold MarketThe base metals mostly took another hosing on Monday. Copper held up until the late predawn hours, but tumbled from there straight through the day, finishing at its intraday low of $3.3553/lb., down more than 6¾ cents.
Nickel rallied to near $8.30 at mid-morning but headed south from there, giving up virtually all its gains and closing at $8.006/lb., up two-thirds of a cent. Zinc traded all over the place, but to little ultimate effect, ending at $0.7539/lb., down two-thirds of a cent. Aluminum also sagged after the late predawn hours, falling to just off its intraday low at $1.2594/lb., down a penny and a quarter, while lead sank to its intraday low of $0.8641/lb., down better than 3 cents.
Copper fell to a six-month low as investors factored in the staggering economy and rising dollar, and reacted to yet another increase in stocks.
“The correction that we are seeing is really a reflection of the slowdown of the global economy,” said Ashok Shah, chief investment officer at London & Capital.
Foreseeing further unwinding of long positions, Shah added that, “I would expect some more speculative money to be exiting.”
Meanwhile, inventories monitored by the LME advanced 750 metric tons yesterday, to 151,625 tons, marking their highest level since February 14. Stockpiles have now risen for five straight weeks, the longest unbroken string of increases since the January turnaround.
All told, there are “growing questions about end-user metal demand,” wrote Edward Meir, of MF Global (NYSE:MF). Copper “will remain under pressure over the short-term,” in Meir’s opinion.
And a Bloomberg survey of 50 economists netted a forecast that the U.S. will grow at an anemic average 0.7% annual pace from July through December of this year. If so, that would be only half the gain posted in the first six months of the year.
“If all these major economies are going to slow down, that’s really bad news,” said Michael K. Smith, president of T&K Futures & Options in Port St. Lucie, Florida.
Still, there are signs China may be tiptoeing back into the market. China’s imports of copper and copper products rose 7% in July compared with June, the customs office said. It was the first monthly gain since April.
“As underlying metals demand in China is still healthy … we believe this will give an incentive for Chinese buyers to gradually increase imports,” Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) analysts wrote.
“(That) should then also better support copper prices on the LME in the medium term,” they added.
Source: Base Metals Largely Pummeled
Advertisement
Effectively gain 12 times your money the second you buy this stock
And likely as much as 190 times your money over the next few years. Don't scoff — it has happened before under almost the exact same circumstances that one small petroleum company is now in prime position to cash in on. But you'll have to move fast to ride along for 190-fold gains (or more). Download your copy of this Special Report with all the details...
Doug Casey is a contrarian investor, sought-after public speaker and author of several books. His work "Crisis Investing" held the position of # 1 bestseller on the New York Times list for 26 consecutive weeks. Doug's unusual views on the economy - and just about everything else - have gained a huge following in the investment community, and it certainly helps that his stock recommendations of undervalued junior exploration companies have made his subscribers millions. Now in its 27th year, Doug's monthly newsletter, the International Speculator, is one of the most established and esteemed publications on gold, silver and other natural resource investments. Together with the Casey Energy Speculator, it covers a broad range of carefully selected stocks with the very real potential of double- and triple-digit returns within 12 to 24 months.