Behold the Mobile Phone
May 7th, 2008 | By Justice Litle | Category: International InvestingBehold the cellphone. Or, as it’s known in most other parts of the world, the mobile phone. The mobile phone is a kind of hallmark for growth and change in the 21st century.
Back in the 1980s, when mobile phones first arrived, they looked like bricks with giant antennas. Now they are sleek and compact, and even good enough to let you surf the Web or watch TV.
In emerging markets, mobile phones are a potent sign of “leapfrogging,” the means by countries are embracing the new and bypassing the old.
Thanks to falling technology costs, hundreds of millions of 21st-century subscribers will have no concept of a telephone pole. They’ll go from no phone at all to the latest gizmo, with no baby steps in between.
Many will get a new phone and a new bank account at the same time, with one hooking up to the other. In this manner, at least, farmers in rural South Africa are sprinting ahead of New Yorkers into the new digital age.
Needless to say, there’s a lot of money to be made. As communications networks thrive and grow, the potential for economic growth explodes. This is one reason why Chinese and Indian telecom companies are already battling it out over who gets to partner up with the large African telecoms. (Some of the fastest-growing mobile phone markets include South Africa and Nigeria.)
The mobile market in India is red-hot, too. It’s hard to even grasp how fast India’s economy is being transformed. Not just in telecom, but in countless other ways. We in the West have been prosperous for so long, we’ve almost forgotten what it’s like to experience life-changing growth… to see regions and industries and cities changed overnight.
Chris DeHaemer of Material Profits has been paying close attention to all this. He thinks the “flood of foreign cash” pouring into India is still growing — and he wants you to profit from this trend. Read on to find out more.
Foreign Cash Is Flooding Into India by Christian DeHaemer, Editor, Material Profits
India’s second largest cellphone company, Reliance Communications, just blew the doors off of its earnings. Net profits were up 46% to $374 million, and the company brought on 4.8 million new mobile users, boosting its total to 45.8 million. As you’d expect, the stock jumped 300% in the last two years before pulling back with the market in January.
It’s no wonder that Reliance is on fire… India’s mobile market is growing at a faster rate than any other country. Indians are buying phone plans at the rate of 10 million a month!
And it’s just getting started. The total number of phones, both fixed and cellular, was 300.51 million at the end of March. India only just subscribed its 100 millionth user in May 2006, and cleared the 200-million mark in September 2007. There are 1.148 billion people in India, and cellphone penetration in Europe is 80-90%.
This is the type of growth that happens when poor people join the middle class. And it’s happening across all industries.
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Indian GDP has averaged 8.7% over the past four years. Indians are confident that the good times are here and will stay here. This is proven by the fact that loans and deposits at State Bank have increased 23% last year, and loans increased 25%.
Indians are spending money at a torrid pace, albeit a less torrid pace than last year. Credit growth in India slowed to 21% in the last 12 months, down from a rocket-fueled 28% last year.
India has hit a virtuous cycle in its assent to modernity. The Nobel Prize-wining economist Simon Kuznets theorized that once an emerging market crosses a certain level above subsistence, its market and economy expand rapidly. Roads are built lowering the cost of transporting goods. Stable electricity allows people to buy and stock refrigerators. People buy more stuff. This leads to greater resources to build more infrastructure, hospitals and schools. This creates more jobs and education while lowering costs, increasing profits, and so on.
I call this a “prosperity bubble,” and we are seeing its rapid expansion going on right now in India. The country has plans to spend at least $500 billion on infrastructure over the next four years. This spending will go into things like railroads, highways and power grids. This will create a massive wave of new jobs. People will buy things like TVs, cellphones, houses and cars.
Companies that make and sell these things will see rapid increases in revenue. Share prices will go up. I’ve found at least one such company that will directly benefit from this wave of prosperity… it’s all in the free report you can access here.
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Justice Litle is the Editorial Director for 