Tuesday, December 02nd, 2008

Hot Topics : $8 Trillion in Bailouts | Biotech Stock Bargains | The Greater Depression | Thanksgiving Turkeys

Bill Bonner: Much More Can Go Wrong in US Economy

Aug 20th, 2008 | By Bill Bonner | Category: Politics & Economics

The Daily Reckoning editor Bill Bonner says there is still a lot more that can go wrong with the U.S. economy. Stocks and bonds have further to fall, and the entire dollar-based financial system remains vulnerable to both inflation and deflation. Bill says gold is still the best way to ride out these coming woes…

We’re sticking with our views and our investments - either until we’re proven wrong or we go broke, or both.

Our view is that the great dollar-based credit expansion of the last half-century is coming to an end. And our guess is that it will end with BOTH a bang and a whimper - that is, both a deflationary contraction…and an inflationary blow-off. A deflationary contraction is the market’s normal response to an inflationary boom. And an inflationary blow-off is the market manipulators’ normal response to a deflationary contraction; but, we hasten to add, there is no guarantee that they can pull it off.

So, as usual, we live in a world of great unknowns…and lesser unknowns…and things we don’t even know we don’t know. What we do know is that stocks have not yet bottomed out (they are nowhere near their low points)…and bonds are still expensive (people still lend to the U.S. government for 10 years at less than 4% - that’s substantially less than the current consumer inflation rate)…and the dollar is still treated with respect, even though its long-term value is zero. There is a lot that can go wrong that hasn’t gone wrong yet, in other words. Until it does, we’ll stick with gold.

Source: The Worst is to Come


AdvertisementOil at $70 a Barrel -- Gold at $500 by Christmas?

With stocks as volatile as nitroglycerin, gold should be trading above $2,000 an ounce! But the dollar insurrection has shaken up the commodities markets. Some experts now put gold's downside at $500... even $400.

What if they're right?

TFN's options strategist Andrew Snyder has developed a gold hedge strategy that could make you money on your gold position either way. Find his Special Report on the Members Only Reports section of HotStockConfidential.com. To become an instant member, click here...



More on this topic (What's this?)
Some False Hope on the Deflation Front
Recession Proof Jobs
Read more on U.S. Economic Cycles, Deflation at Wikinvest
Tags: , , ,

By Bill Bonner

Related Articles



About the Author

Bill BonnerBest-selling investment author Bill Bonner is the founder and president of Agora Publishing. Owner of both Fleet Street Publications and MoneyWeek magazine in the UK, he is also author of the free daily e-mail The Daily Reckoning and three best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day: Surviving The Soft Depression of the 21st Century, Empire of Debt: The Rise of an Epic Financial Crisis and Mobs, Messiahs and Markets..

See All Posts by This Author



The Daily Reckoning offers a "uniquely refreshing" perspective on the global economy, investing and the ability to live well in uncertain times. You will learn what you can expect from today's markets and how to prosper in the face of uncertainty.

See All Posts from This Publication