Brazil, The World’s Best Performing Stock Market
May 28th, 2008 | By Manraaj Singh | Category: Emerging MarketsWhy The Smart Money Is Flooding Brazil. Here’s a challenge: Find me a more exciting investment story than Brazil right now. I guarantee you will fail.
Brazil’s economy is booming. Brazilian companies are breaking-out onto the world stage. And its share market has been the best performer among the world’s twenty biggest this year.
The Bovespa Index is up by 13% since the beginning of 2008. Compare that to the FTSE - it’s fallen 5.6% since the start of the year!
The Brazilian stampede: Rich investors are piling in!
But here’s the most telling thing…
The majority of the action in Brazilian shares has NOT been happening in Sao Paulo… but in New York. In fact, the value of Brazilian shares traded in the U.S. has surpassed the daily average in Sao Paula since the beginning of this year.
The average daily trading in Brazilian American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) was $4.07 billion so far this month through May 26, topping the previous record in January of $3.99 billion. In the same period, trading on the Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo averaged $3.59 billion a day.
Why is this significant?
It shows huge foreign interest in Brazilian shares - and with very good reason…
Brazilian companies have become global leaders in key industries.
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce is now the world’s biggest iron-ore producer. State-owned oil company, Petrobras, overtook Mircrosoft to become the world’s sixth-biggest company by market capitalisation last week. Petrobras is sitting on the Western Hemisphere’s largest oil discovery in three decades. Possibly even the third-biggest oil field in the world!
These are names that are going to become much more familiar to us in the decades ahead.
Brazil isn’t just an emerging oil giant… it’s also the biggest producer of the only truly commercially viable alternative to oil - sugar-based ethanol.
In fact, it produces so much of the stuff that the country has been dubbed the “Saudi Arabia of ethanol”.
But Brazil isn’t just a commodities play either…
It has a strong services-based economic sector as well. In fact Profit Hunter rode the country’s banking boom to healthy profit last August through our investment in Banco Itau. [Note: Past performance is no indication of future results]
A five hundred year growth story
Brazil has seen fantastic growth in recent years.
Measured in 1990 dollars, the entire Brazilian economy was worth about $400 million in 1500 A.D. That would have put the country at about number 325 on this year’s Times Rich List. By 1900, that had grown to $12.2 billion - respectable, but hardly impressive.
The real economic boom began in the 20th century.
By 2000, Brazil’s economy had reached $975.44 billion - a massive gain of 7895% since the beginning of the century. And Brazil is perfectly placed to keep up that pace into this century as well.
The IMF predicts the country’s economy will grow 4.75% this year, despite the global economic slowdown.
That’s three times faster than the UK’s expected to grow!
Here at Profit Hunter we’re in no doubt the Brazilian growth story still has a long way to run. And we’re looking for the next under-the-radar play on this amazing economy.
The best way to profit from Booming Brazil
The easiest way to ride this boom would be to get in through an ETF that tracks the Bovespa Index. But that isn’t the smartest way in.
You see, one result of all the trading in Brazilian shares in New York could be to divert investment away from the Brazilian market itself.
That’s been good for the companies, but it might act as a drag on the Bovespa Index going forward.
Instead, we’re looking at a ‘backdoor’ way to get into this story.
That’s not easy when you’ve got the whole world trying to pile into this market. But we’ll keep looking, and we’ll let you know very soon.
Manraaj Singh
Editor
Profit Hunter
Source: Brazil, The World’s Best Performing Stock Market
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