Tuesday, November 24th, 2009

Buy China Now: Making Money There Will Be Too Easy

Mar 25th, 2009 | By Steve McDonald | Category: Featured, International Investing

China will lead the world out of this economic slow down and the money to be made is beyond your wildest dreams.

Three reasons why they will explode out of this worldwide slow down; they have no debt and a three trillion dollar surplus, six-percent growth is considered a recession, and most importantly, a government that puts China first.

One more thing, the Fed just bought up a huge amount of our debt to guarantee the three trillion dollars the Chinese hold will be worth enough to keep them from selling it.

Of course, our Fed said the purpose was to assist homebuyers by lowering interest rates. But what really happened was that we just paid a huge ransom to the Chinese to keep the price of our bonds propped up.

With this move, the Chinese just graduated from emerging economy status to key player in the world. When we have to prop up our bond prices to keep the Chinese from selling them, they have arrived.

Don’t let this news get you upset, get even. Let’s make some money on them!

First idea, China Life Insurance Company, symbol LFC.

It is essentially a monopoly that is fully backed by the totalitarian regime in China, and it is protected from competition by the government. It has a 50% market share and has only developed about 10% of its potential.

Earnings this year are around $1.39 and are expected to grow to about $2.14 in 2010. The stock price is around $50 now and has been as high as $69 in the last 12 months.

You have to love monopolies!

Next idea, China Mobile Limited, symbol CHL.

This company has more mobile phone subscribers than we have people in the U.S., 470 million. It grew its subscriber base by 6,000,000 just last month. It has no debt, is swimming in cash and is expected to add 7,000,000 new subscribers per year going forward.

The stock is around $43 now, down from $90 in the last 12 months, with a 3.7% dividend.

Mobile demand in China is insane. Mobile technology has allowed them to develop an entire communication system nationwide with virtually no infrastructure costs. The future is unlimited for this company.

Don’t feel like a stock play, try an ETF, FXI. It has a few non-performers in its portfolio, but it is currently selling for about $28 and has a 12-month high of almost $55. That’s a lot of upside potential for an ETF with a 3.1% dividend.

The key to a successful China strategy is the inevitability of the play. Patience will be rewarded, but don’t get antsy if it doesn’t fly off the charts in the next six months. Give this a three to five year time horizon and you won’t be disappointed.

Don’t tread water in the U.S. market for five years to see any appreciable growth. Hit the road and get in on this far eastern money monster.

Source: Buy China Now: Making Money There Will Be Too Easy


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By Steve McDonald

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Steve McDonald is a contributor to Investor's Daily Edge.

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