Buying Stocks Safely Using Alternative Entry Points
Sep 28th, 2009 | By David Grandey | Category: Stock Market InvestingWith yet another market runup seemingly losing its steam, a lot of folks are wondering, “Was that it? Did we just top?” But while most investors stress out over what the market’s doing, smart traders are attuned to the secret of making safe bets using alternative entry points. Here’s everything you need to know to buy stocks safely using alternative entry points…
In order to find our entries, let’s first look at what the market’s doing right now, and whether we’ve actually topped out. Here’s a glimpse at the daily index charts off the March 2009 lows:
The NASDAQ, Dow and S&P indexes have uptrends that are still intact. The green lines, the blue line and the 50-day moving average are your guides. As of this moment in time we see no top in the market.
That said, if we see a quick run sometime next week to a retest of the highs and then a pullback off of that retest, those developments will create a double top and I would then be more apt to want to call a short term top at that time.
Why does the presence of a double top cause us to be more likely to change our position on the market? Because the double top is one of the most common early warning alert system patterns telling you a “Change in Trend” may be near.
The Two Ways to Buy a Stock
So now that the indexes are pulling back, but remain in a clearly defined uptrend above their uptrend lines and 50-day moving averages, we want to focus on stocks that are in the same position and have simply pulled back off of their highs to those support levels. This is called trading in tandem with the market.
Now, there are two ways to buy stocks. The first way is to find a stock that has formed a base and buy it when it breaks into new highs above the base. This is called buying a traditional breakout. Here’s a look at a recent breakout:
As you can see from the chart, after breaking out, the stock quickly turned tail to retest what was resistance (now should be support), and actually closed under support or back in the base. If you had bought them with a stop loss, chances are after a few days of feeling good you were stopped out.
Now let’s look at the second way:
As you can see here, this issue broke out. But most breakouts consolidate their gains and retest the area that was once resistance. So rather than chase the stock, we patiently wait for it to come to us.
In this case, the pink line represents the stock’s pullback off of its highs back to what was once resistance -– and is now support. Our buy point is a break above the pink line.
A classic buy support and sell resistance trade. That’s a lot better than chasing a stock only to get stopped out as the stock retests support and then takes off without you.
So what does that mean for us today? It means that since the markets have pulled back to near short-term support, now is the time to be prepared to take advantage of these opportunities — opportunities to buy stocks in confirmed uptrends at a risk-adverse place.
Sincerely,
David Grandey
Source: Buying Stocks Safely Using Alternative Entry Points
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David Grandey is the founder of All About Trends, an email newsletter service revealing stocks in ideal set-ups offering potential significant short-term gains. A successful canslim-based stock market investor for the past 10 years, he has worked for Meriwest Credit Union Silicon Valley Bank, helping to establish brand awareness and credibility through feature editorial coverage in leading national and local news media.
