Politics & Economics

Two Reasons Why 3Q U.S. Growth Will Disappoint

Addison Wiggan and Ian Mathias in Agora Financial’s 5. Min Forecast have already warned readers about the risk of taking yesterday’s 3.3% rise in U.S GDP figures at face value. Here, Charles Delvalle at Investor’s Daily Edge says the government’s economic stimulus checks and a weak dollar made U.S. growth seem more impressive than it really is. Don’t expect 3Q data to be quite so favorable…

Cash-Strapped FDIC Caught in a ‘Vicious Cycle’

The FDIC is beefing up its staff in anticipation of more bank failures, reports The Dallas Morning News today. This doesn’t bode well for the insurer, says in David Newman in The Sovereign Society. The problem is the FDIC is running our of cash to fulfill its obligation to insure deposits…

FDIC Braces for More Bank Failures, Expands Offices

Mainstream pundits would like you to believe that the worst of the credit crisis is over. But if it were over why would the FDIC, the US government insurance agency for bank deposits, be expanding it’s operations?

Same Old Mistakes, Different Day

Gustav threatens to shut down the oil rigs in the Gulf…trying to explain the mysteries of market cycles over dinner. Everything is in its right place…stocks keep rallying on false hopes that the end is nigh. The realm of the world economy is extraordinary…a ’slow volcano’ could power San Francisco…and more!

Chuck Butler Says Strong Q2 GDP Data Just a ‘Blip’

U.S. stocks were given a boost today by a strong upward revision of GDP growth data for Q2. According to updated figures, between April and June, the economy expanded by 3.3% y-o-y, up from a preliminary estimate of 1.9%. The Dow (DJI), S&P500 (INX) and Nasdaq (IXIC) all responded with gains of over 1% during the day’s trading.

Dow’s (DJI) Earnings Slump Will Lead to More Inflationary Policies

Financial charts can generally look good or bad. But sometimes, one comes along that is downright ugly. The Rude Awakening’s Joel Bowman says the earnings chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average index (.DJI) is particularly sore on the eyes. Earnings were negative in Q208, for the first time ever, giving the index a price-to-earnings ratio of nil. Such losses will heighten deflationary fears, encouraging the government to crank up its inflationary policy. More from Joel…

Behind the Recent ‘Rise’ in Consumer Confidence

U.S. consumer confidence is on the mend, we are told. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rose to 56.9 for August from a revised 51.9 in July. This was a higher jump than forecast. The only problem is on the same day that the Conference Board came out with its jaunty view of the collective mind of American shoppers, ABC News spoiled the party by telling us that consumer confidence was at a record low for the week.

America’s Economic Mistakes Will Take Time and Money to Correct

The Daily Reckoning’s Bill Bonner says the biggest credit expansion ever could now be turning into the largest credit contraction. Big mistakes were made in all quarters of the economy, and these take time to correct. Bill says he still favors gold over other asset classes, given the enormous downside potential for the U.S. dollar.

Fed Signals Rate Hike for Next Move, But Timing Uncertain

The next move from the U.S. Federal Reserve will be to increase the Federal Funds rate, although the timing of that hike remains to be decided.“A number of participants worried about the possibility that core inflation might fail to moderate next year unless the stance of monetary policy was tightened sooner than currently anticipated by financial markets,” according to the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Aug. 5 meeting released yesterday (Tuesday).

The Biggest Threat to Your Financial Future: The $53-Trillion National Debt

Take everyone over 15 in your household to see Addison Wiggin’s new movie I.O.U.S.A. at your local theater, says Investment U’s Alexander Green. Alexander says the documentary, which tackles the issue of the record $53-trillion U.S. national debt, is “an eye-opening experience” and “a wake-up call.”

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