Sunday, November 22nd, 2009

Dan Denning’s Top 3 Mining Investment Plays in Australia

Aug 22nd, 2008 | By Dan Denning | Category: International Investing

Dan Denning at The Daily Reckoning Australia says the country’s world-class mineral deposits lured him away from the U.S. in 2005. New mining ventures in ’super’ deposits such as Mount Isa in Queensland may be volatile, but as older mines near the end of their productive life, they will control all the resources.

Dan is particularly interested in black coal investments in Queensland, uranium mines in South Australia, and a whole host of junior projects in Western Australia’s Pilbara region.

During pandemics and plagues (so we’ve read), you dig graves to bury the bodies (or leave them lying in the street if it gets really bad). While a bull market in gravediggers is good for gravediggers, we think investors should prefer a different kind of digging…for world-class mineral deposits.

That, by the way, is why your guest editor jumped ship from London to move to Australia in 2005. Having sussed out the big picture (sell paper, buy stuff), we wanted to find good ’stuff’ to buy. We’re not alone. Canadian mining legend Robert Friedland was in town a few weeks ago, talking up the copper prospects of Ivanhoe Australia Limited.

Friedland’s business strategy is simple. Buy a distressed asset. Front up the money to drill it like nobody’s business. Demonstrate that it’s worth a lot more than you paid for it. Then find a JV partner to front up the rest of the capital to make it a producer.

Friedland is also a big fan of “polymetallic mineralization,” a kind of selling Peter’s copper to pay for Paul’s gold production. When you have a world-class polymetallic deposit, you can use the cash flow generated from one metal to sustain, or at least offset the production costs, in another.

Friedland thinks he’s got a world-class project going at Mount Isa in Queensland. “The Mount Isa mining district is one of the top five mineralized districts on planet earth,” he told the local paper. “It doesn’t have to apologise to anyone. There’s the Witwatersrand in South Africa, there’s Norilsk in Russia, there’s the Cadillac district fault in Canada, there’s the main structure in Chile. This is one of the great mining regions in the world.”

Friedland is clearly on to something. He points out that these great new ore bodies of the mining world will replace many tired, old, bed-ridden mines that are nearing the end of their productive life. “Our view, and we talk to Rio Tinto about this a lot, is around the year 2012 or 2013 we are going to have a crisis in copper because a lot of the great copper mines are like little old ladies lying in bed waiting to die.”

Younger mines will have plenty of cost blowouts (see BHP’s Ravensthorpe nickel project). They will have to endure volatility in underlying commodity prices. But they have one thing the older mines don’t: a lot of ore in the ground. That’s worth something, especially at today’s resource share prices.

How are we playing it here at the Daily Reckoning’s Australian outpost?

While Frieldand looks for copper at Cloncurry, we’ve been targeting our investments to black coal and coal-seam-methane in Queensland, new uranium mines in South Australia (the only State which is permitting new mines right now), and, most importantly iron ore, vanadium, molybdenum and rare earth juniors in the vast expanse that is Western Australia (especially in the Pilbara region where we’re headed next week. A full report will follow).

Source: Clear and Present Financial Danger


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By Dan Denning

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About the Author

Dan DenningDan Denning is a contributing editor to Diggers & Drillers and a regular columnist for Money Weekly, a Taiwanese financial publication. From 2000 to 2006, Dan was the editor of Strategic Investment of Agora Publishing. His reporting and analysis for The Daily Reckoning is read by more than 500,000 people regularly.

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The Daily Reckoning Australia

The Daily Reckoning Australia offers an independent and critical perspective on the Australian and the global investment markets. We don't tell you what the news is. You can find that out anywhere for free. Instead, we try and tell you what news is worth paying attention to and what it might mean for your money. We deliver you straightforward, humorous and useful investment insights from a worldwide network of analysts, contrarians, and successful investors.

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  1. Dan Denning really is a fan, not an athlete.

    He likes to watch guys like me make it big and pretend he has his “precious little Bill Bonner blessed hands” on the levers of financial punditry. He doesn’t. He just wheels his little Target bought suitcase in and pretends he’s a scout.

    But he’s not a player, just a fan. That’s Dan. Good guy to have a few beers with though. And he needs to get funky with his bad self more than he does. That man is repressed dancing machine! Shake your booty dan boy. Let your bad ass get funky with yourself!

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