Deflation, Inflation, Stagflation…Take Your Pick
Related Articles
The “official” inflation rate in the U.S. jumped 4.2% in the 12 months to May. That’s the fastest rate of price increases in more than 10-years - mainly due to… you guessed it: soaring food and fuel prices.
But of course, this isn’t just a U.S. problem. In fact, “official” inflation rates in American look positively tame compared to soaring inflation around the world.
According to a recent Bloomberg story, “The International Monetary Fund predicts the fastest inflation in advanced economies since 1995 this year even as they grow at the slowest pace in seven years.”
That sounds a lot like the definition of stagflation to me.
Around the world inflation is catching hold, which is a whole new challenge for global central bankers to deal with.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has a stated goal of keeping inflation in check at 2% or less. Too bad for them. Eurozone inflation is soaring at a yearly rate of 3.7% - the highest in nearly 20 years. Since prices are rising at nearly twice the ECBs target rate, there’s a growing likelihood of rate increases, perhaps as early as July.
Two of the world’s fastest growing economies - China and India - are struggling to reign-in what looks like runaway inflation - up 7.7% and 8.8% respectively over the last 12 months alone.
Inflation is running at annual rates of: 7.5% in Singapore, 9% in Argentina, 10.4% in Indonesia, 10.5% in Saudi Arabia, and a whopping 15% in Russia! Brazil’s central bank, which has done a great job bringing inflation rates down substantially over the last decade, recently began raising rates again to combat inflation now at 5.4% and rising.
So what’s the solution to high global inflation? A stronger currency might help. That’s what Federal Reserve and Treasury Department officials have been saying lately, talking tough on inflation - by talking UP the dollar. So far, this is just a war of words, but dollar-sentiment is shifting. We’ll see if this “tough talk” actually holds up next week.
MIKE BURNICK, Senior Editor & Global Markets Analyst
Source: Deflation, Inflation, Stagflation…Take Your Pick
| Email Address: | Subscribe |
NO-SPAM PLEDGE: We will NEVER rent, sell, or give away your e-mail address to anyone for any reason. You can unsubscribe from Offshore A-Letter with a few clicks.
Related Articles
Tags: , deflation, economics, inflation, Mike Burnick, politics, tagflationAbout the Author
Mike Burnick serves as a Senior Editor and Director of Research for The Sovereign Society and editor of Market Shock Trader and Global Market Investor. He also hosted his own investment radio program. Mike is the founder and president of Jupiter Capital Management, an investment advisory firm.
The Offshore A-Letter specializes is an elite global investment opportunities, asset protection strategies, tax management solutions, second citizenship and residency programs and offshore structures.