Sunday, November 22nd, 2009

Dollar Sinks to New Low vs. Euro

Apr 23rd, 2008 | By Doug Casey | Category: US Dollar & Forex Trading

In the currency market, the dollar sank to yet another record low against the euro. Late Tuesday, the euro was trading at $1.5993 vs. $1.5913 on Monday.

Earlier in the day, the euro breached the psychologically significant $1.60 mark for the first time, before yielding it to some late selling. So now what?

It could well get worse, says Kathy Lien, chief strategist at Forex Capital Markets. Noting that the skyrocketing price of oil will affect everything, “This continual rise in inflationary pressures raises the risk of a rate hike from the European Central Bank,” Lien says. And that of course is even more dollar-negative.

Playing into that fear, Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer, who is also a member of the ECB’s rate-setting Governing Council, said Tuesday that the ECB would do whatever is necessary, including moving interest rates, to ensure that inflation returns to the central bank’s target of just below 2% by 2009.

Yesterday’s data included a report from the National Association of Realtors showing that resales of U.S. homes and condos dropped 2% in March. Resales have now sunk 19.3% in the past year, and are down 33% from the peak in 2005.

“There is still little evidence of stabilization in U.S. housing markets, though the recent pace of decline in sales has slowed,” wrote Sal Guatieri, of BMO Capital Markets.

“Sales will eventually benefit from improved affordability, but the near-term picture remains clouded by ongoing job losses and more discriminating lenders,” Guatieri said.


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ECB Does Nothing, Indicates Monetary Tightening
Read more on Euro (EUR), European Central Bank (ECB) at Wikinvest
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By Doug Casey

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