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Euro Gains on Dollar

Apr 29th, 2009 | By Doug Casey | Category: US Dollar & Forex Trading

In the currency market, the dollar slipped against the euro. Late Tuesday, the euro was trading at $1.3141 vs. $1.3039 on Monday.

Traders were squaring long U.S. dollar positions ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision and first-quarter GDP release, according to Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK).

“The event risk of these events may limit appetite for fresh U.S. dollar exposures, with renewed U.S. dollar buying likely to resume if first-quarter GDP disappoints or the Fed announces further QE [quantitative easing] measures,” Woolfolk said.

The day’s numbers provided some support for an expansion of risk.

The Conference Board reported that its U.S. consumer confidence index jumped to a reading of 39.2 in April from 26.9 in March. The month-over-month gain was the fourth-largest ever in the 32-year history of the survey.

At the same time, Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller home price index declined in February, as home prices in 20 major cities fell 2.2%. But that was good news of sorts, since it was less than the 2.8% drop in January. It was also the first time in 16 months that the year-over-year decline in prices did not set a record.

For what it may be worth, prices are “no longer falling off a cliff,” wrote Patrick Newport, of IHS Global Insight. “Instead, they are rolling down a steep hill.”
Source: Euro Gains on Dollar


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Doug CaseyDoug Casey is a contrarian investor, sought-after public speaker and author of several books. His work "Crisis Investing" held the position of # 1 bestseller on the New York Times list for 26 consecutive weeks. Doug's unusual views on the economy - and just about everything else - have gained a huge following in the investment community, and it certainly helps that his stock recommendations of undervalued junior exploration companies have made his subscribers millions. Now in its 27th year, Doug's monthly newsletter, the International Speculator, is one of the most established and esteemed publications on gold, silver and other natural resource investments. Together with the Casey Energy Speculator, it covers a broad range of carefully selected stocks with the very real potential of double- and triple-digit returns within 12 to 24 months.

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