Monday, November 23rd, 2009

Fincancial Stocks Could Rise 30% in Two Weeks

Jul 10th, 2008 | By Jeff Clark | Category: Featured, Financial News

Wall Street got thumped yesterday on renewed worries about the financial sector. The major indexes fell more than 2 percent. The Dow lost more than 230 points.

The sector is by no means out of the woods. Investors expect more major credit-related writedowns. They expect earnings to be dismal.

Jeff Clark in The Growth Stock Wire says this all adds up to a great contrarian opportunity. Financials are brutally oversold. Jeff says look out for a two-week rally. Buy banks now and you could be looking at 30% gains…

Nearly all the conditions that existed when the market bottomed back in January, and then again in March, are in place right now. The market is deeply oversold. Investors are horribly pessimistic. And the financial sector is given up for dead.

Financial stocks bounced hard off the bottom in January and led the S&P to a 100-point gain over two weeks. In March, the financial sector once again forged the way higher. The S&P 500 rallied 140 points in six weeks.

Not surprisingly, financial stocks led the charge on Tuesday. And if history repeats, we could see the sector gain as much as 30% over the next few weeks.

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Take a look at this chart of the bullish percent index for the financial sector (BPFINA)…

A bullish percent index charts the percentage of stocks in a sector trading in bullish formations. It ranges from zero to 100. Typically, anything more than 80 is overbought and anything less than 30 is oversold.

As you can see, the recent bottom at 10 is the lowest reading we’ve seen since the January low of 2 – which is just about as low as is mathematically possible.

Take a look at this 10-year chart of BPFINA… It shows just how rare it is for a bullish percent index to drop into the teens.

Before this year, we have to go back to early 2000 to find the last time BPFINA dropped below 20. Even during the worst of the 2001-2003 bear market, financial stocks were never this oversold.

Let’s be clear… Financial stocks and the stock market will go lower before this bear market is over. But we’re now seeing a lot of the same signs that led to a strong bounce in banking stocks in January and another rally in late March.

And if the financial stocks rally from here, the overall stock market will follow along.

Source: Buy Banks Now… And Make 30% in Two Weeks


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By Jeff Clark

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About the Author

Jeff Clark is the editor of BIG GOLD, a Casey Research publication that pinpoints the safest ways to capitalize on the gold bull market.

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Casey Research

The Daily Resource PLUS was designed from the start to be the world's most comprehensive yet quick-reading daily e-letter providing concise updates on precious metals, energy, resource stocks, currencies, unfolding economic trends and more... including private placement financings!

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  1. Hi There,

    I find your article intertesting. I wondering now, if it is too late to buy the financial sector.

    Thanks in advance.

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