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4 Brazilian Firms Poised to Profit from 2 Powerful Spending Trends

Aug 19th, 2008 | By Jennifer Yousfi | Category: Emerging Markets

Brazil is no longer just a tourist hot spot, but a solid profit play for savvy investors, too. And one of the best ways to profit from Brazil’s expected 4.8% growth in gross domestic product this year is to invest in one of the Latin American nation’s infrastructure-focused firms.

Business has been good in Brazil, with the government and consumers alike enjoying the benefits. That means everyone has money to spend for improvements, whether it’s for the nation’s infrastructure or personal lifestyles.

Brazil’s government is planning huge investments to improve Brazil’s highways and byways. At the same time, a growing middle class is eager to snap up new automobiles and homes.

Certain Brazilian companies are well positioned to profit from the convergence of all of these spending trends. They supply the raw materials needed both to build new roads, as well as new dishwashers. And with such strong spending trends fueling growth, Brazilian firms that cater to both these needs are poised to reap the rewards.

Infrastructure Spending Spree

Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (MER) recently raised its annual infrastructure-spending estimate for emerging markets by 80%, as developing countries utilize large cash reserves generated by their fast-growing economies to bolster domestic development, BusinessWeek reported.

Investment in infrastructure will rise from $1.25 trillion to $2.25 trillion annually over the next three years, Merrill Lynch estimates. China, the Middle East, and Russia will account for 70% of infrastructure spending, but Brazil won’t be lagging far behind.

The government’s program to facilitate infrastructure and construction investment, Programa de Acelere do Crescimento (PAC), was announced in January 2007 by Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. The program is designed to provide government aid to complete construction projects more quickly and will focus on everything from upgrading oil, natural gas and electricity systems to expanding transportation and sanitation systems, as well as telecommunication networks throughout Brazil.

Through a combination of government funds and private investment, it is estimated that $235 billion (BRL500bn) of infrastructure development will occur during 2007-2010.

That’s a close match to Merrill’s own estimate of $225 billion in Brazilian infrastructure investments over the next three years.

And no one is in a better position to benefit from this huge influx of capital investment than Brazil’s own domestic resource companies. Without the huge shipping charges associated with buying steel from Asia or Australia, its only natural that contractors will turn to fellow Brazilian firms when it comes time to buy raw materials.

Consumption-Hungry Middle Class

While industrial and government capital investment is surging, consumer spending in Brazil is on the rise as the red-hot economy helps to expand the Latin American nation’s middle class.

In the past two years, more than 23 million people have leapt from Brazil’s lower income classes into the middle class, which is defined in Brazil by households with incomes between $450 and $745 a month. Brazil’s middle class now makes up almost half of the country’s population, according to Reuters.

And that expanding middle class is more than ready to spend some of its newly found disposable income on items such as automobiles, new homes, appliances and electronics. Household consumption rose 6.6% in the first quarter of this year, according to the nation’s statistics agency.

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By Jennifer Yousfi

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Jennifer Yousfi is a contributing writer to Money Morning.

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Money Morning is the leading source of investment research on the global markets. Its free daily service provides news, research, investment opportunities and insights on international investing -- most of it well before it appears in the mainstream financial media.

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