Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Hoarding Nations Drive Prices Higher

Jun 30th, 2008 | By Contrarian Profits | Category: Featured, Financial News

Editors Note: At least 29 countries have limited food exports in recent months, according to The New York Times, pushing already record food prices around the world even higher. Could it be time to consider investing in genetically-modified foods?

When it comes to rice, India, Vietnam, China and 11 other countries have limited or banned exports. Fifteen countries, including Pakistan and Bolivia, have capped or halted wheat exports. More than a dozen have limited corn exports. Kazakhstan has restricted exports of sunflower seeds.

The restrictions are making it harder for impoverished importing countries to afford the food they need. The export limits are forcing some of the most vulnerable people, those who rely on relief agencies, to go hungry.

“For more than a decade, European policymakers have spurned genetically modified crops, but these so-called Frankenfoods are beginning to look more and more appetizing in the wake of food shortages and soaring prices,” says Jason Simpkins in Money Morning.

GM Foods More Appetizing As Prices Skyrocket

By Jason Simpkins

Only 21% of Europeans are willing to eat genetically engineered food, according to a survey by the European Commission.

Some nations, such as France, have banned the planting of genetically modified crops, while others like Germany have enacted laws that allowed foods to be labeled as “GM free.”

Critics insist that such foods could pose risks to health and the environment, and further assert that genetically modified crops produce better yields.

“Most testing is carried out by the very biotech companies that have the most to gain from results that say GM food is safe,” the activist group Friends of the Earth says on its Web site. “Growing GM crops also threatens wildlife and the production of GM-free foods. What’s more, some GM crops could allow more pesticides to be used.”

But global demand for foodstuffs is on the rise, and as supplies tighten, prices continue to soar. For instance, global corn consumption is expected to rise to 793.1 million tons in 2009, up from a record 778.9 million tons this year. Stockpiles are expected to fall to just 103.3 million tons next year. Corn prices have surged about 75% over the past year and 17.5% since early June.

The price increases have trickled into the meat and dairy industry, as corn is widely used in animal feeds. Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN), the Arkansas-based meat producer, has predicted that retail chicken prices will have to jump by double-digit percentages in 2009 for poultry processors to recoup their feeding costs, according to the Times Online.

Higher feed prices will eventually filter through to the cost of milk, cheese and yogurt, too, since 65% to 75% of a dairy farmer’s production costs are for feed, Chris Galen, a spokesman for the National Milk Producers Federation, told The Associated Press.

The World Bank estimates that worldwide food prices have risen a scorching 83% over the past three years. And the president of the World Bank, Robert B. Zoellick, estimates that the spike in food prices could push 100 million people in low-income countries deeper into poverty, as food costs cut into already meager earnings.

The biotech industry claims it can help. Research by the U.S. Department of Agriculture found that one variety of genetically modified corn yielded 9% more than conventional corn. The International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-Biotech Applications, which encourages developing countries to adopt GM technology, says GM cotton has increased yields by 50% in India.


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