Saturday, November 21st, 2009

How Subprime Borrowing Fueled the Credit Crisis

Jan 13th, 2009 | By Shah Gilani | Category: Financial News

Once upon a time, generous-minded social engineering resulted in the Community Reinvestment Act, which forced banks to lend to disadvantaged borrowers who otherwise couldn’t get mortgages to buy homes.

But because these potential borrowers were financially disadvantaged, they also represented a bigger credit risk. Banks didn’t like being told to make mortgages to high-risk borrowers because they wouldn’t be able sell these loans off to anyone else.

Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) were mandated to insure these higher-risk loans so that with a de facto government guarantee these “subprime” mortgages could be repackaged and sold, removing them from the inventory of the originating bank.

Thus the seeds of the subprime mortgage debacle were planted.

A series of devastating events – the bursting of the tech stock bubble in 2000, the 2001 terrorist attacks on U.S. soil, and the war on Iraq and the spike in oil prices, to name the key ones – posed serious recessionary threats.

The U .S. Federal Reserve aggressively lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy. A long period of low rates reduced returns for investors, but simultaneously afforded borrowers cheap financing. Wall Street went to work manufacturing all manner of products to squeeze extra yield out of this ultra-low-interest-rate environment.

Subprime collateralized mortgage-backed loans, similarly structured and packaged commercial mortgage-backed loans, leveraged corporate loans, and derivatives (especially credit default swaps), were manufactured in massive quantities.

Many of the products were rated investment grade by the major ratings agencies, which were incongruously but handsomely paid by the manufacturing banks to rate their products. Higher ratings meant easier sales and greater profits.

Buyers of the products, including the banks themselves, used cheap financing to leverage returns by borrowing from each other to create and buy more and more products.

Low interest rates were driving homebuyers to banks and mortgage finance companies, most of which were offering cheap “teaser” rates and no-document “liar loans” – all in a mad rush to capitalize on what was actually a rapidly inflating housing bubble.

Consumers were flush with credit and used it, as Wall Street took credit card receivables, packaged them into pools, sold them, and gave the proceeds back to credit card issuers, who then offered the public even more credit in a competitive horn of plenty. Then the housing bubble burst, and the music stopped. Banks were afraid to lend because they had lent too much to too many suspect borrowers, including each other, meaning their collateral was depreciating faster than any econometric model had ever calculated.

As banks’ capital evaporated, lending stopped everywhere. The securities markets imploded, leaving us in a state of suspended animation in which there’s no longer any way to borrow, produce and spend.

Source: How Subprime Borrowing Fueled the Credit Crisis


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By Shah Gilani

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About the Author

Shah Gilani is has been in the trading pits of Chicago, ran trading desks in New York, worked as a broker/dealer and managed everything from hedge funds to currency accounts. His self-professed goal is to take readers on a journey through the "shadowy back alleys" of the U.S. capital markets - and past the "velvet rope" that typically keeps the average investor from learning the secrets that sit beyond, just out of reach. He is a contributing editor to Money Morning.

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Money Morning is the leading source of investment research on the global markets. Its free daily service provides news, research, investment opportunities and insights on international investing -- most of it well before it appears in the mainstream financial media.

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