Saturday, November 21st, 2009

Insider Purchases: How to Pick a Winner in a Down Market

Feb 10th, 2009 | By Alexander Green | Category: Top Story

Alexander Green the investment director at the Oxford Club gives readers a great way to spot winning companies in a down market by using insider trading statistics. In this article he tells you where to look… what everything means…

And even the name of one inside-buying opportunity where the director of the company made the single–largest insider purchase in the nation.

This from Alex:

Last year was a disaster for most stock market investors. The S&P 500 fell 38%, its worst year since 1931.

The worst damage occurred in the fourth quarter. And the first quarter of this year isn’t looking much different.

We’re back within spitting distance of the November 20 low.

Yet I know a number of stock traders who are making good money right now. How? By tracking insider trading…

Tracking Insider Trading – Getting Started

The easiest way to begin tracking insider stock trading is to watch what top executives and board members are doing, as they have access to all sorts of material, non-public information. They know:

  • The direction of sales since the last quarterly report.
  • Whether there are any new products or services in development.
  • If the company has gained or lost any major customers.
  • Whether there is any takeover interest in the company – or whether anyone is talking about taking it private.

In short, they have a huge advantage when they go into the market to trade. That is why Uncle Sam requires them to file a Form 4 with the SEC – electronically – within two business days of any purchase or sale of their companies’ shares.

This information is pure gold. Let me give you an example.

A few weeks ago, David Abrams, a Director of Crown Castle International (NYSE: CCI) made the single-largest insider purchase in the nation. He bought 4.5 million shares at a cost of more than $60 million.

Based in Houston, Crown Castle leases cell towers and antenna space to wireless communications companies. Most of these are in the United States, although more than 1,400 are in Australia.

  • The company has more than 24,00 towers in prime markets and is actively building more to lease.
  • Recent earnings, released earlier in the month, contained few surprises.
  • While earnings were in the red, revenue was still growing at 9%. And I noticed that site rental revenue, gross margins and recurring cash flow all exceeded expectations.
  • Moreover, the company had lost three-quarters of its market value and was selling below book value.

Finding Insider Trading Buying Opportunities

This looked like an insider trading buying opportunity. So I sent an alert to subscribers of The Insider Alert, apprising them of the details and recommending the stock.

We had no idea that the market would only grind lower in the weeks just ahead of us.

But it didn’t matter. Eight weeks later we stopped out of the stock with a 58% gain. (Along the way, we also locked in profits of 135% and 235.8% in the April $15 calls.)

Is it always this easy? Of course not.

Tracking Insider Trading – Due Diligence Is Required

When tracking insider trading due diligence is required, in particular, you need to find out:

  • How many insiders are purchasing,
  • How much they’re buying,
  • And what their past track records are.

These are all key.

But it is hard to get a more clear-cut buy signal than when you see top executives buying significant amounts of their own companies’ stock, with their own money, at current market prices.

Right now I’m seeing record amounts of insider purchases at many companies.

Some investors complain that these insiders have a huge advantage over ordinary investors. I agree.

That’s why you should watch what they do very closely. And, when the fundamentals are right, climb on board.

Source: Tracking Insider Trading: How to Pick a Winner in a Down Market


AdvertisementIt's Official: We're In A Bear Market -- But The Next Big Profit Wave Is Taking Place RIGHT NOW!

A small group of ordinary individuals have discovered profits in a highly focused sub-niche of the currency market - that is literally driven by political and monetary uncertainty.

The following report outlines the exact details of how 487 BETA-testers had the opportunity to collect, on average, an extra $5,970 every 30 days following a simple 3-step formula.



More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Insider Trading at Wikinvest
Tags: , , ,

By Alexander Green

Related Articles



About the Author

Alexander GreenAlex Green is Investment Director of The Oxford Club, a private financial organization dedicated to building and preserving the wealth of its members, independent of Wall Street's dubious influence.

See All Posts by This Author



Everything you want to know about investing, but don’t trust anyone enough to ask. Founded in 1999, the goal of Investment U is to give you impartial, no-nonsense advice on how to build long-lasting wealth. Our mission is to analyze and discuss all the important financial tools at your disposal. The insights and analyses offered by Investment U delivered three times a week in our e-letter can make a dramatic difference in any investor's net worth and financial security.

See All Posts from This Publication

Leave Comment