Thursday, September 02nd, 2010

Is Obama a closet capitalist?

Posted on: Jan 19th, 2010 | By Andrew Snyder | Filed under Notes From the Investment Underground

It’s a huge day in the nation’s history. As with a couple of other great revolutions, America’s latest smack to the face of an overpowering government comes from Massachusetts.

Six months ago, few would have guessed one of the most left leaning of states would hold the fate of the nation’s healthcare and a super-majority in its hands. But disappointingly, I am far from convinced a GOP win means the end of Obamacare.

I take Pelosi and her cronies at face value when they say they will cram this legislation down our throats at any cost. (I’m paraphrasing her actual words, but we all know that’s what she meant).

I can picture her and Barney Frank feverishly pouring through 234 years of laws, looking for any loophole to twist to their advantage in case Brown receives a concessionary phone call later tonight.

Healthcare and all the ways it will affect your life will be a popular topic for months, if not years to come. The majority of the healthcare sector today is trading in positive territory thanks to the brewing storm in the Bay State. It’s a small prelude of the volatility that is to come.

It is sad to think we only have a couple of more days to cover it all in Notes.

Because we’re operating on borrowed time, I’m going to put off the speculation of healthcare for tomorrow when we know (or at least hope to know) Massachusetts’ decision.

For now, let’s stick with what we know for sure.

One thing that is 100% going to happen is, in just a few weeks, Obama is going to unveil his latest budget proposal. In it is going to be increased defense spending (which I’ve already covered) and also decreased fiscal dedications to NASA.

Instead of giving cash directly to the top space agency, Obama wants to embrace his capitalism roots (there’s a line you don’t see every day) and give the cash to the private sector.

Now that the space shuttle fleet is up for sale, NASA needs a new way to get its astronauts into orbit. Of course, the big recipients of NASA-based money, Washington cozies like Lockheed Martin, Boeing and Raytheon, are not so keen on the idea.

After all, if NASA outsources the shuttles duties, they stand to lose a long-producing cash cow.

But that’s not the case for companies like Orbital Sciences (NYSE:ORB), SpaceX and Rocketplane Kistler that could be the recipient of healthy government contracts as Obama puts a toe into the private sector.

Unfortunately, Orbital Sciences is the only publicly traded of the three, but with a Street value of less than a billion bucks, it offers investors a shot at a “smallish” space-industry up-and-comer.

There are a couple of arguments against Orbital Sciences.

First, its price tag is inflated. With a trailing P/E of nearly 25, investors have obviously priced in lots of growth potential. But if Uncle Sam starts writing the company a couple extra checks each year, the current bottom line will look paltry in comparison.

But then there are the naysayers that believe the private sector cannot compete with the deep pockets and industry experience of NASA. They cite factors like national security and safety.

While I believe safety and quality is almost always better in the private sector, security is an issue Obama must measure before he goes and cuts NASA’s budget. Space superiority has been a significant ingredient in the country’s defensive success over the last 50 years.

The bottom line is if you’re looking for a place to put some speculative dollars and get your tax dollars back where they belong – in your pocket – than the aerospace sector is worthy of an in-depth look.

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Andrew Snyder is Editor of Taipan's Strategic Trader blog and regular contributor to Taipan's Tipping Point Alert. Andy's first year in the world of finance and investing involved learning the intricate details of the financial industry as an advisor. He specialized in handling the vast portfolios of very wealthy clients, where he excelled at making them even wealthier. Since then Andy has received his Master's Degree in Business Administration, has had an award-winning book published and has been featured in numerous publications. With his background in research, his hedge fund-style education and knowledge of the market, Andy is acclaimed for his no-nonsense style of writing and his sharp, deep-thinking market research analysis. His goal is to use his knack for Wall Street research and analysis to lead his readers to breaking short-term investment opportunities.

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  1. thanks for the post. Maybe we can also think of obama as capitalist since during his term the first thing that is lacking is capital. Still capitalist? it’s still going to argued

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