Monday, November 23rd, 2009

LA Times Was Wrong: Gas Is Not Cheaper Than in the ’60s

Aug 14th, 2008 | By Dave Gonigam | Category: Oil Investment & Alternative Energy

On Monday, the Los Angeles Times had this to say about gas prices: “You may not believe it, but fuel is more affordable than it was during the early ’60s.” Dave Gonigam in The Daily Reckoning’s blog, Desidooru Saloon, says the claim is flawed, if not completely irrelevant…

In a Los Angeles Times column that sorely needed the intervention of a capable editor (memo to owner Sam Zell: Your budget cuts have hit bone. But don’t say I didn’t warn you about what you were taking on), author Indur Golkany and Cato Institute senior fellow Jerry Taylor flail about trying to explain. After three or four warm-up paragraphs, the crux of the argument is buried at the end of this passage:

But it’s difficult to square that worry with what we call the “affordability index” — the ratio of the average person’s disposable income to the price of gasoline.

After studying the average yearly price of gasoline from 1949 to 2007, and assigning the number “1″ to the ratio in 1960, we found today’s prices comparable to what they were in 1960 (1.35 today to 1.00 in 1960, with a high of 3.32 in 1998). The higher the gasoline affordability index figure, the lower the price of gasoline relative to disposable income.

Disposable income is the income you have after you take out taxes but before you take out food, clothing, shelter, entertainment or any other expense, discretionary or otherwise.

You want hard numbers? Here’s what the authors furnish:

…[P]erception is not reality where gas prices are concerned. By June of this year, disposable income had risen by an average of $1,627 per person over last year’s figures, according to the Department of Commerce, while the average person’s real expenditures on gasoline increased by about $490. Our incomes are still outpacing gasoline price increases. The problem is that our incomes aren’t outpacing the increase in gas prices lumped together with increases in everything else — air conditioning, food, etc. Our homes, meanwhile, are losing value.

That’s true as far as it goes. But comparing the present day to 1960 in this regard seems like apples and oranges. “Disposable income” then is a completely different animal from “disposable income” now: Thanks to the schemes of the Fed and the finance sector it enables, Americans’ disposable income is being eaten up by debt service to a degree unheard of — indeed unimaginable — in 1960. Americans have far less equity in their homes now. They have student loan debt. They have credit card debt. Those weren’t line items on most household budgets in 1960.

So no wonder it seems as if gasoline is taking a bigger bite. And don’t expect it to get any better.

Source: Is Gas Really Cheaper Than in 1960?


AdvertisementWall Street Lies EXPOSED!

They've led you to believe that investors who want outsized gains must take on ridiculous risks.

Click here to learn how a Small One-Time Investment Could Grow Until It's Larger Than All of Your Other Investments Combined.



More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Gasoline, Oil at Wikinvest
Tags: , ,

By Dave Gonigam

Related Articles



About the Author

Dave Gonigam is a contributor to Whiskey & Gunpowder, Daily Reckoning and Desidooru Saloon.

See All Posts by This Author



The Daily Reckoning offers a "uniquely refreshing" perspective on the global economy, investing and the ability to live well in uncertain times. You will learn what you can expect from today's markets and how to prosper in the face of uncertainty.

See All Posts from This Publication

Leave Comment