Monday, November 23rd, 2009

Let Silver Breathe

Mar 12th, 2008 | By Charles Delvalle | Category: Gold Market

Even though I’ve been calling for higher silver prices, I have to admit that the latest run caught me off guard. It seemed like every day I looked at silver, the price just kept going higher and higher. But buying silver now – after the run-up – wouldn’t be the most prudent thing to do.

$silver silver continuous contract chart graph
Since last September, silver prices have jumped nearly 91 percent. This run up the charts was due mainly to inflation expectations moving higher. And now that the Fed has demonstrated a bias toward improving growth (instead of controlling inflation), silver prices should move higher still.

But you rarely see a 91-percent gain in six months without some kind of consolidation. In fact, back in November, silver moved down 12 percent and couldn’t pass its November high until January. That was a clear consolidation pattern. And I think we’re going to see more of the same in the months ahead.

So do yourself a favor. Don’t buy silver until you see it around $17-$18 an ounce (around its 50-day moving average). And then hold on for the long haul.

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By Charles Delvalle

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Charles DelvalleCharles Delvalle is a self-taught market-timing professional and value analyst who's followed and invested in the market for the past ten years. He uses a unique combination of technical and fundamental research to pinpoint rapid profit opportunities with stocks and options. Charles is also a staunch contrarian and takes pride in finding undervalued sectors and discovering undervalued, cash-rich companies. He frequently mocks government stupidities and points out the "inaccuracies (or lies, take your pick) that government reporting frequently dispels as "truth".

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