Look to Frontier Markets As US Turmoils Spreads
Oct 2nd, 2008 | By David Newman | Category: Stock Market InvestingGlobal markets remain coupled to the US. The iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (NYSE:EFA) – an equity benchmark for international stock performance – is following the S&P 500 on its downward trajectory. However, David Newman in The Sovereign Society says some frontier markets in South America, Africa, and the Middle East are defying this trend…
This from The Sovereign Society:
Recently so much talk has been made about whether the global economy is coupled, decoupled…re-coupling, decoupling, or who knows what. Do individual countries economies move alone or are they all intertwined in one big global economic cesspool?
For example, if I showed you a chart of two indexes, but didn’t tell you what they were… you could tell me if they track each other just by looking at them.
Here we’ve got two indexes that over the last year seem to be following the same pattern. While they’re not exact… they track each other pretty well. The two lines on the chart represent the S&P 500 index and the iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (a broad measure of 21 individual country indexes).
Are these coupled, do they move together? Well in simple investing terms, the answer is yes. The S&P 500 index over the last year is down 22% and the MSCI EAFE Index is down about 26%. So are global markets coupled?
Well the answer isn’t always as clear as the example seems…some are and some aren’t.
Just because the broad U.S. markets have been heading south all year and the larger more familiar international countries’ markets have also been on a year-long losing streak…don’t think that every market is following lock-step.
There are opportunities out there in the global markets. Not everyone is facing the same crises as the United States. Some South American countries, the Middle East, parts of Africa and others offer intriguing opportunities.
Source: Does the Entire World All Dance to the Same Tune?
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What do you think of frontier markets in todays slowing economy? I saw the ETFs as well. http://www.frontiermarketsetf.com has info on them, but do you just think frontier markets are too risky? Even using an ETF? Thanks
Nothing is without risk. That being said, frontier market ETFs are some of the more exciting (i.e. yes, risky) vehicles out there that allow exposure to hot new markets for the individual investor. You might also look to U.S.-based companies that have significant operations in these emerging and frontier markets.