New Iron Ore Discovery to Save China’s Multibillion Pound Building Spree
Jun 12th, 2008 | By Garry White | Category: Emerging MarketsOne clever mining company owns the lot… and it’s positioned next door to its biggest customer. Broker Cannacord Adams says this firm’s shares should be DOUBLE what they trade for today. But that’s not the half of it! China is DESPERATE for concrete and steel.
You can see why… it’s the fastest growing nation in the world. Its building rate is mind blowing. And it’s set to continue - at ALL costs.
Over the next few years it plans to build the equivalent of ten New York Cities!
And since the recent earthquake the Chinese government has promised to rebuild all the damaged cities in Sichuan and the surrounding areas. This will accelerate demand for these products even further.
But China has a problem… and it’s a big fat expensive one.
You see, to make steel you need iron - and China doesn’t have enough high-grade iron ore within its borders…
It means they are at the mercy of the world’s big exporters - BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Vale.
These miners charge what rates they like to ship the stuff over… and the cost is phenomenal. China has NO CHOICE but cough up.
But one firm newly placed just outside its borders could be about to save their bacon… and it kicks off as early as next month!
An iron ore miner with an edge over all its competitors - including the Big Boys!
At first glance there’s nothing unique about this company. It’s a miner… it gigs for iron ore… its reserves are sound.
But they have one thing that gives their business the edge over all their competitors: Its location.
Consider this… the current freight rate from Australia (BHP and Rio’s ore) to China is around $50 per tonne. Rates from Brazil (Vale’s ore) to China standing at around $100 per tonne.
This means transport costs to China are many times of the cost of mining the ore.
Wouldn’t it be better for Chinese steel mills if they could get their iron sourced more locally so transport costs were slashed?
Of course it would. If you could offer the mills iron ore or pig iron on these terms the Chinese would snap your hand off…
Well this company is scheduled to produce its first ore for sale THIS MONTH.
I will be recommending this company in the next issue of Smart Commodities UK, which drops on Saturday 22 June. To get all the exclusive details on this as soon as they’re published click here.
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Why one broker thinks these shares are 100% undervalued
By 2012, the company plans to produce up to 10.7m tonnes of iron ore concentrate. From that up to 5 million tonnes of pig iron will be produced.
It also recently announced the acquisition of two mining licenses that could DOUBLE the iron resources of the company.
Broker Cannacord Adams recently reviewed all of the company’s projects and came up with a net asset per share valuation that is double the current share price.
With the outlook for ore prices, I reckon this valuation looks pretty conservative, because iron ore prices remain on the up.
Iron ore prices will continue rise China’s voracious demand has caused iron prices to rise significantly. Recently, Rio Tinto managed to secure a hike of 95% for supplies of iron ore to a few small Chinese firms after intense negotiations.
Renaissance Capital estimated that there was a 30m-tonne gap in expected iron ore shipments and actual deliveries in 2007. There have been problems with weather as well, with many mines flooding in Northern Australia and in Vale’s operations Brazil.
Citigroup is also bullish on the iron ore price. In a note to clients last week, the broker said: “The iron ore market remains under-supplied and only a sharp deceleration in Chinese steel production will change this. We expect iron ore to rise by 30% in 2009… but this may be conservative.”
I am very excited about the prospect for this share. I like the location of its mines, the quality of its management and the pricing outlook for its main source of revenues.
The valuation is attractive and the fact production is set to start imminently should secure good news flow in the months to come - but you’ll have to wait a couple of weeks to find out exactly which company it is as I complete my research.
So sign up here to be sure you’re ready!
Regards,
Garry White
Editor
Smart Commodities UK
Please note: Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future results.
Source: New Iron Ore Discovery to Save China’s Multibillion Pound Building Spree
Garry White is the editor of financial newsletters Garry Writes and Outstanding Investments UK.