Monday, November 23rd, 2009

Oil Blasts to New Record

May 7th, 2008 | By Doug Casey | Category: Oil Investment & Alternative Energy

In the energy market Tuesday, crude for June delivery roared to new intraday and closing records, finishing at $121.84/barrel, up $1.87, after an intraday peak of $122.73. June reformulated gasoline gained 6 cents, to $3.12/gallon.

The causes of rising oil prices “have been chronicled repeatedly here — demand from China and India, the falling dollar making oil an inflation hedge, speculation, OPEC supply restraints, supply threats in Iran, Iraq and Nigeria, and refinery bottlenecks in the U.S.,” summarized John Kilduff, of MF Global.

Unlike gold, which has yet even to approach its alltime inflation-adjusted high, oil is now well “above the $101.70 peak hit in April 1980, the year after the Iranian revolution,” said Kilduff.

“Now we are in unexplored territory,” Kilduff said. “Add to it, the significant recent supply disruptions in Nigeria and additional inflationary pressures that surely must be the result of a loose monetary policy and the path of least resistance is higher still for energy markets.”

“Spare oil capacity is also a large factor for the rise in prices,” wrote James Williams, of WTRG Economics. “Spare capacity is limited — under 2 million barrels per day, which means the oil production industry is at about 97% utilization.”


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Doug CaseyDoug Casey is a contrarian investor, sought-after public speaker and author of several books. His work "Crisis Investing" held the position of # 1 bestseller on the New York Times list for 26 consecutive weeks. Doug's unusual views on the economy - and just about everything else - have gained a huge following in the investment community, and it certainly helps that his stock recommendations of undervalued junior exploration companies have made his subscribers millions. Now in its 27th year, Doug's monthly newsletter, the International Speculator, is one of the most established and esteemed publications on gold, silver and other natural resource investments. Together with the Casey Energy Speculator, it covers a broad range of carefully selected stocks with the very real potential of double- and triple-digit returns within 12 to 24 months.

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