Oil Slightly Lower
Apr 29th, 2009 | By Doug Casey | Category: Oil Investment & Alternative EnergyIn the energy market on Tuesday, crude for June delivery backed off, slipping below $50 to close at $49.92/barrel, down 22 cents. May reformulated gasoline dropped just under a penny, to $1.3995/gallon.
Analysts said the day’s action was all about fear once again, as the concern is that a spreading swine-flu outbreak will curtail travel and delay recovery in the global economy, in turn reducing oil demand.
“The disease brings SARS and the resulting collapse in Asian oil demand to mind,” wrote Hussein Allidina, a commodities analyst at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS).
Allidina added that, “Oil’s recent rally has been fueled by the green shoots of economic recovery, and the outbreak will draw attention to the fragility of the recovery, and hence the basis for oil’s rally.”
However, “if the outbreak remains contained, its impact will be much less significant than SARS,” Allidina said.
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Doug Casey is a contrarian investor, sought-after public speaker and author of several books. His work "Crisis Investing" held the position of # 1 bestseller on the New York Times list for 26 consecutive weeks. Doug's unusual views on the economy - and just about everything else - have gained a huge following in the investment community, and it certainly helps that his stock recommendations of undervalued junior exploration companies have made his subscribers millions. Now in its 27th year, Doug's monthly newsletter, the International Speculator, is one of the most established and esteemed publications on gold, silver and other natural resource investments. Together with the Casey Energy Speculator, it covers a broad range of carefully selected stocks with the very real potential of double- and triple-digit returns within 12 to 24 months.