Penny Stock Prospecting

By Dan Denning

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Are you getting dizzy yet trying to keep track of all the takeover activity in the Aussie market? From the big fish to the little fish, all of fishes in Australia’s resource ocean are on the Chinese menu.

–Hao, our guide to our first visit to China in 2004, put it to us this way while we ate Peking Duck in Beijing: If it has got four legs and is not a chair, if it has two wings and it flies but is not an aeroplane, and if it swims and is not a submarine, the Cantonese will eat it.

–”China may be chasing Twiggy,” reports Matthew Stevens in today’s Australian. “There is talk in New York that the Rudd Government has approved an application from China’s Baosteel to acquire 16 per cent of the iron ore maverick, Fortescue Metals Group (ASX: FMG). Fortescue says it does not know whether its biggest Chinese customer has even made an application to the Foreign Investment Review Board, let alone received a green light.”

–Fortescue is the low-hanging fruit in the iron ore sector. It’s easy pickings. It aims to be the third major ore producer in the Pilbara, behind BHP Billiton (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO). It’s not surprising that Baosteel-China’s largest steel maker-would go over the biggest plum in the pie.

–What IS surprising is just how far into the iron ore sector Chinese companies are drilling for ownership of undefined resource bases that are years away from production. It speaks to the strength of demand for iron ore…and the itch in Chinese pockets to trade U.S. dollars for real assets before the dollar falls even more…or before the Chinese revalue their own currency.

–First up on the menu yesterday was FerrAus (ASX: FRS), a member of the North West Iron ore Alliance we mentioned last Thursday. China’s Shanghai-listed Western Mining Company announced its intention to take a 10% stake in FerrAus at $1.15 a share through a share placement arrangement. Regulators have to approve the deal.

–Here’s the interesting thing about this deal; Western Mining is a base metals miner. It doesn’t even produce iron ore. It just likes the cut of FerrAus’s jib. And for its part, Adelaide-based FerrAus hasn’t even proven up its indicated resource of 43 million tonnes. But hey, when the market value of the assets is going up, these kinds of deals get done.

–And there are more of them. Gindalbie Metals (ASX:GBG) shot down rumours that Angang and Iron and Steel was seeking to increase the 13% stake it already has in the mid-West iron ore junior (a member of the Geraldton Iron Ore Alliance). Investors may or may not have been convinced. But they seemed to like Gindablie’s announcement that it would spend $10 million this year on 12 drilling targets that it hopes will yield 80-100 million tonnes of hematite ore in the Pilbara. The shares closed up 16%.

–And the beat goes on. Prosperity Resources (ASX:PSP) announced that Shougang Holding Limited would buy up to 19.9% of the company through a share placement. To be honest, we had never even heard of Propserity Resources until this morning. Perhaps we are not digging and drilling thoroughly enough.

–We do like at least one thing about the company, though-its ticker symbol. PSP is the acronym we’ve taken to using for a new research service we hope to launch soon, the Penny Stock Prospector.

–We want to offer your our research into the junior mining and energy shares…and hopefully suss out the shares that are moving. It will be as close as you can get to pure speculation. But there’s so much going on in the resource sector now that it’s more than we can cover in Diggers and Drillers.

–Low-hanging fruit is easy to pick. But there’s plenty of fruit on the tree if you’re willing to shake the tree a little. If the PSP sounds like something you’d be interested or you have a hot share tip you can’t wait to share, drop us a line at dr@dailyreckoning.com.au

–By the way, the Koreans are getting busy too. Posco, the world’s fourth-largest steel maker, announced its intention to buy 19.9% of Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR). The mineral grab goes on.


Source: www.bigcharts.com

–What do you think of the chart above? Seriously. Can you really believe spot crude oil is up 53% in the last year? Oil rocketed up in New York overnight, busting through US$120 before settling just below at US$119.67 by the time trading got going thismorning in Sydney.

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About the Author

Dan DenningDan Denning is a contributing editor to Diggers & Drillers and a regular columnist for Money Weekly, a Taiwanese financial publication. From 2000 to 2006, Dan was the editor of Strategic Investment of Agora Publishing. His reporting and analysis for The Daily Reckoning is read by more than 500,000 people regularly.

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The Daily Reckoning Australia

The Daily Reckoning Australia offers an independent and critical perspective on the Australian and the global investment markets. We don't tell you what the news is. You can find that out anywhere for free. Instead, we try and tell you what news is worth paying attention to and what it might mean for your money. We deliver you straightforward, humorous and useful investment insights from a worldwide network of analysts, contrarians, and successful investors.

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