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Put This Emerging Market Tiger in Your Tank!

May 28th, 2008 | By Mike Burnick | Category: Oil Investment & Alternative Energy

A month ago, I wrote an article here in the A-Letter detailing the global food crisis. According to data from the World Bank, global food prices have soared 83% in the past three years alone.

There’s also another crisis brewing at the moment – that’s becoming more painfully obvious with each passing day: A global energy crisis! In many ways, the two are closely connected…

U.S. corn-based ethanol production is a big reason why corn prices surged 56% higher in the past 12 months alone. About one-third of the entire U.S. corn crop is being diverted from kitchen tables to gas tanks.

As a result, people are rioting in poor countries around the world. They’re taking to the streets in protest over U.S. corn-based ethanol. They complain bitterly that we are trading THEIR food for OUR fuel. But there is a better way…

In fact, there is an “emerging” alternative bio-fuel source that is a lot more efficient than corn-based ethanol, and doesn’t require the same food vs. fuel trade-off.

In fact, Brazil is leading the great fuel revolution – with sugar cane-based ethanol…

Brazil’s Big Ethanol Advantage

Brazil is far and away the global leader in ethanol production technology. In fact, the country began large-scale development of ethanol as an alternative fuel source amid the oil shock of the late 1970’s and early 80’s.

Today, ethanol accounts for 50% of Brazil’s total annual automotive fuel consumption. More than 70% of new cars sold in the country are flex-fuel capable. That means they’re able to run either on gasoline, ethanol, or some combination of the two.

Currently, Brazil is the world’s second-largest ethanol producer, and largest exporter, with total output of about six billion gallons a year.

The country has its sights set on becoming the dominant global exporter of ethanol by 2020. Brazil’s global ethanol exports could total as much as 200 billion gallons a year within that time – that’s over 30-times today’s ethanol production. Talk about a growing industry!

U.S. and Europe Just Can’t Compete with Brazilian Ethanol

Memorial Day Image

Brazil enjoys a big advantage over other nations – as the world’s lowest cost ethanol producer. As shown in the graph above, Brazil can distill bio-fuels from sugar cane at a significant cost advantage to other nations.

Neither U.S. corn-based ethanol, nor wheat-based ethanol from Europe, can come close to matching the Brazilians on a production cost basis.

The sugarcane plant, which flourishes in Brazil’s tropical climate, produces a “yield” of 6,000 liters of ethanol per hectare of land. That’s about twice the yield of corn-based ethanol!

In fact, Brazilian ethanol is about 40% cheaper to make than in the U.S. – and costs less than half the price of European ethanol.

When Trade Tariffs Fall, Brazilian Ethanol Will Flow

Of course Washington, in their infinite wisdom, maintains silly trade tariffs equal to 54-cents a gallon on imported ethanol. This ridiculous trade barrier benefits a relatively small number of U.S. corn farmers at the expense of millions of American drivers.

In spite of this, Brazil’s largest ethanol export market remains the United States. In fact, Brazil shipped us more than 430 million gallons of ethanol last year – up fourfold from 2004! Wholesale gasoline prices in the U.S. are leaping above US$4 a gallon, and will keep spiraling higher as crude oil goes through the roof during what’s shaping up to be a long, hot summer.

Naturally, pressure is mounting for Congress to eliminate this silly, protectionist ethanol tariff. When that happens, the floodgates will open wide for much-cheaper Brazilian ethanol to flow freely into U.S. markets.

By leveraging the strength of its vast sugarcane growing region, and building on its already well-established ethanol producing technology, Brazil is perfectly positioned to benefit.

In fact, this emerging market tiger could easily become the Saudi Arabia of ethanol within the next decade. You heard it here first!

MIKE BURNICK, Senior Editor & Global Markets Analyst

P.S. Want to know more about the great fuel revolution – including the alternatives that may be running your car within the next 10 years? Click here to read my FREE special report to get all the details.

Source: Put This Emerging Market Tiger in Your Tank!


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By Mike Burnick

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About the Author

Mike Burnick serves as a Senior Editor and Director of Research for The Sovereign Society and editor of Market Shock Trader and Global Market Investor. He also hosted his own investment radio program. Mike is the founder and president of Jupiter Capital Management, an investment advisory firm.

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The Offshore A-Letter specializes is an elite global investment opportunities, asset protection strategies, tax management solutions, second citizenship and residency programs and offshore structures.

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