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Recession Runs Rampant

Nov 17th, 2008 | By Joel Bowman | Category: Financial News

Losses in equities worldwide top $25 trillion. What say ye, Obama?… Japan, eurozone enter recession, Gulf bourses continue to tumble… Turning fear into profit: A special volatility report, and plenty more…

The bloodletting continues.

On Friday the 15-nation Euro-zone announced that it is officially in a recession. GDP contracted by 0.2% for a second consecutive quarter over on the continent with Germany and Italy leading the way backwards. France narrowly escaped an “official” recession – two consecutive quarters of negative growth – by the narrowest of margins, posting 0.1% growth.

It has been 15 years since the last time Europe experienced such a large-scale downturn. Back then, of course, each country was able to act independently on monetary policy. Now they must seek permission from EU executive before rushing to save their own behinds. We wonder how the bureaucratic behemoth is taking the news and, more to the point, how it will react.

Socialist E.U. MPs were quick to satisfy our curiosity, outlining their solutions hours after the recession was announced in a report containing five helpful tips on how to deal with it. They read:

  • Targeting measures to help on those who need it most and in particular small firms and vulnerable households. This will involve rapidly restoring levels of lending to households and businesses, especially SMEs
  • A European ban on mega-bonuses and golden parachutes;
  • Refusal of compulsory redundancies
  • Implementation of a European Green Investment package to boost the economy, avoid a long-lasting recession and help Europe to meets its climate and energy goals
  • Revival of the Doha world trade talks to reach successful, development-friendly conclusions.

Let’s see here… We’ve got a promise of more talking, an increase in needs-based lending, protectionism in the job market, oversight on private compensation and a twist of environ-socialism, just to keep the voters happy. We’ll be interested to see how that turns out for them.

Meanwhile in capitalist Japan, the world’s second largest economy is losing fluids quicker than like a hemophiliac in a samurai fight. It too announced this morning that the long gray cloud of recession hangs over its islands. Growth there slowed 0.1% during the past three months, on top of a 0.9% slump the previous quarter.

It seems recession known’s no party lines.

Here in the Middle East, where the political process has scarcely evolved beyond medieval feudalism, markets continue their relentless slide, wiping out billions of investor dollars and bringing the much-lauded real estate sector to its knees.

Since July 1, Dubai’s real estate index has shed a stunning 75%. Emaar, the largest developer in the region, has fallen more than 57% in the past seven trading days alone! When even the king’s newspapers start using words like “battered” and “thrashed,” you know you’re in trouble.

Preposterous as it may seem, the expectations of kings, prime ministers, dictators and the Joe the Plumbers of the world now rest on the shoulders of one man.

Source: Recession Runs Rampant


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By Joel Bowman

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Joel Bowman is a contributor to the Rude Awakening.

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The Rude Awakening doesn't care about yesterday's trading activity, it cares about tomorrow's. This uncompromising e-letter is dedicated to highlighting phenomena in the financial markets that others don't see.

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