Saturday, November 21st, 2009

Short Russian ETF (RSX) As Oil Slumps

Nov 21st, 2008 | By Andrew Snyder | Category: ETFs

Americans might rejoice as fuel prices tumble. But it means catastrophe for Russia. Its stock market is already down 80% this year, and Andrew Snyder says the country faces more economic woes in 2009. That’s why he recommends shorting the Market Vectors Russian ETF (NYSE:RSX).

This from Today’s Financial News:

Regardless of this man’s selfishness, I eventually pulled up to the pump and put five gallons of gas at $1.93 each into my tank. A ten-dollar fill-up was more than enough to put a smile back on my face.

It would have taken twice that to fill my tank, but I took a bet that prices would be even lower by the time I needed to refuel. I saved five gallons of tank space for gas at $1.85 in just a couple of days.

So far, my prediction is paying of. After nose-diving from the $60 handle, crude prices dipped below $50 this morning. It is the first time in nearly 24 months that we have seen prices that low.

With crude prices dropping, it is no wonder other components of the energy sector are plunging as well. Most importantly, the price of a gallon of gasoline on the wholesale market dropped by more than 6% this morning to trade at $1.034.

Natural gas dropped almost a dime to a level where $6.644 will get you 1,000 cubic feet. And for all you folks waking up to sub-freezing temperatures and snow flurries in the Northeast this morning, you will be glad to know heating oil declined by 5.33 cents to $1.706 per gallon.

In a time when America is facing a major recession and job losses are reaching monumental levels (542,000 workers applied for first-time unemployment benefits last week), falling energy prices are a greatly needed silver lining for consumers. Just imagine if we were still paying $4 per gallon of gas. It would not be pretty.

Our gain is their loss

For the folks depending on record-high oil prices to fuel their economy, the situation is downright horrid. If Venezuela is in financial trouble, then the situation in Russia is downright catastrophic.

Investors should be drooling on their shirts looking for ways to take advantage of Moscow’s troubles. In the office this morning, we were debating all the opportunities face investors. We came up with at least half a dozen great opportunities. As we gather our thoughts and complete our research, we will share what we know.

For now, take a look at the Market Vectors Russian ETF (NYSE:RSX). It invests directly in about 30 Russian securities. It gives investors an easy way to play a market that is down nearly 80% so far this year.

As energy prices continue to drop, Russia’s economy will slow even further. With about 40% of its revenues dependent on the energy industry, the government is in a desperate situation.

When it compiled its 2009 budget earlier this year, Moscow used $95 oil as its base figure. With prices about half of that figure, the country is sitting on a serious deficit. To make matters worst, the country has already lost nearly $100 billion in its emergency reserves thanks to efforts to shore up the ruble and preserve what is left of its economy.

I may have started the day on a bad note waiting to pump cheap gas in my truck, but Russia is about to start 2009 in absolutely horrendous shape.

If I could only make one investment during this entire crisis, I would take a significant short position in the Russian economy. The ETF mentioned above gives investors a fantastic opportunity to do just that.

Source: Oil and Russia: Check out the Market Vectors Russian ETF (RSX)


AdvertisementAt Hot Stock Confidential , we've averaged over 32% gains in just 26 trading days

42% on Nymox Pharmaceutical Corp....
23% on Emergent BioSolutions Inc....
38% on the first half of our position in a U.S. refiner...
26.68% on Synta Pharmaceuticals...

How's your favorite financial newsletter working out for you?

Hot Stock Confidential = Damn Good Stocks.

Learn more...

More on this topic (What's this?)
Oil Prices Search For a Bottom
Stage Set For The Return To Record-High Oil P…
Off the Subject
Read more on Oil, Market Vector Russia ETF Trust at Wikinvest
Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

By Andrew Snyder

Related Articles



About the Author

Andrew is a contributor to Daily Reckoning Australia and Today's Financial News.

See All Posts by This Author



Today's Financial News provides an independent and practical perspective on the U.S. and global investment markets. We provide you with a free, reliable, easy, up-to-date, and focused resource to help you make your financial decisions with commentary, interviews, recommendations, and video. Today's Financial News includes the analysis and opinions of those editors whom we have come to trust over the course of the years.

See All Posts from This Publication

2 comments
Leave a comment »

  1. i'm going long on this !!

  2. LOL LEARN TO TRADE BEFORE YOU GIVE TRADING ADVICE. THIS IS HTB.

Leave Comment