Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Shrinking Money Supply Putting Brakes on Inflation

Sep 17th, 2008 | By Charles Delvalle | Category: Politics & Economics

At the end of last month, Charles Delvalle at Investor’s Daily Edge said what we’re getting ready to see is not inflation at all… but deflation. That’s because in July the money supply grew under the rate of inflation. In real terms, that means the money supply shrank. Charles says data now suggests shrinking money supply is putting the brakes on inflation.

In August, producer prices fell 0.9 percent thanks to the big drop in energy prices. Now, if the prices producers are paying each other are dropping, then we should see a small drop in consumer prices.

Lo and behold, consumer prices for August fell 0.1 percent. Gasoline prices fell 4.2 percent, and fuel oil prices fell a massive 9.6 percent (the most in five years).

As the economy continues to slow, we will continue to see drops in inflation readings. As inflation wanes, the attractiveness of gold and silver will wane with it. And this should give the Fed some more room to continue dropping rates.

While I’m not calling an end to inflationary times (or the bull-run in precious metals), we should see a slowdown over the next 12 months.

Source: The Slow Unwinding of Inflation


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More on this topic (What's this?)
Jim Rogers Says Massive inflation is Coming
Two years out: Deflation or Inflation?
Inflation Slows; Overall CPI Drops in August
Read more on Inflation at Wikinvest
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By Charles Delvalle

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Charles DelvalleCharles Delvalle is a self-taught market-timing professional and value analyst who uses a combination of technical indicators and fundamental research to achieve consistent gains on stocks, commodities and options. Charles is also a staunch contrarian and takes pride in finding undervalued sectors and discovering great companies on the cheap. He questions government reports and the status quo. In addition to swing trading options, Charles is also Co-Editor of the monthly advisory service - INCOME.

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Investor's Daily Edge is a free investment e-letter delivered every day before the market opens. In each issue you'll receive clear recommendations and practical strategies for protecting your portfolio and multiplying your money, whether the market is rising or falling.

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