Steve McDonald looks ahead to the investment climate in the new year. He sees a bounce in the Dow reaching as high as 11,000. But an economic recovery will depend on whether the Obama administration can restore confidence in the public. For 2009’s top money-makers, Steve picks six high-dividend stocks and two corporate bond plays.

This from Investor’s Daily Edge:

So, for what it’s worth, here are my predictions for 2009, please adjust the time frame as necessary.

The bailouts will work. The banking/credit crisis will ease in early 2009, and with it businesses should be able to start borrowing again.  Once the money flows open up we should see some relief from the recession.

Ford (NYSE:F) will survive, I’m not sure about General Motors (NYSE:GM). Chrysler has been dead for a long time. The future of autos is electric and hybrids, not minivans or trucks. This should not be news to anyone except GM and Chrysler.

The market will rebound to the range of about 10,000 to 11,000. Any significant move above these levels will be a function of how well the next administration handles their responsibilities in the early months of 2009. There are very real concerns.

We have elected the most inexperienced candidate, ever. This, during a time when what we need is wisdom, real down home, paid your dues, learned the hard way wisdom. What we have is a person with zero experience that many feel is a leader who can offer change. This may work.

It will work only if he makes all the right moves between January and June. If he makes any serious stumbles, or what are perceived to be serious stumbles, he will lose what is already a skeptical, beaten up American people, and that could be disastrous.

All he really has to do is to be able to explain what he is doing and why, and make us believe it’s good. Not perfect, but at least good.

The confidence of the American people is so badly damaged that we can’t survive another first six months of a new presidency like the last candidate that promised to change Washington, Jimmy Carter. Can’t remember what it was like? Read the editorials in the NY Times for the period of January 1977 to October 1977. Ouch!!

On the other hand, Obama may be able to pull the same smoke and mirror act he did in the campaign. It’s up to the press to let him continue to get away with it. I think they will. If so we may be in for a surge in confidence and better times. And confidence is what we need to get the show on the road. The press however is very fickle, and Mr. Obama may find himself on the other end of that information juggernaut that gave him the presidency.

Everything the government can do is being done to help us through this mess. The success we see in 2009 will be a function of whether the people of this country can get out the funk we are in, start spending and start looking a little further down the road than tomorrow. Pushing them out of the funk has fallen on the shoulders of the new president. It may be the finest hour of any president since FDR. Let’s hope.

Where to make the most money in ‘09: beaten up, high quality, dividend-paying stocks [like General Electric (NYSE:GE), Bristol Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY), Verizon (NYSE:VZ), AT&T (NYSE:T), Lorillard (NYSE:LO) and Altria (NYSE:MO) etc.)].

Also, corporate bonds at a discount, look at banking, aluminum and other metals, consumer goods, tobacco, insurance, just stay in the short maturities, three years or less and investment grade only. This is not the time to be in junk bonds.

As promised here are two bond ideas. As I tell everyone in The Bond Trader, no matter how good these look to you, don’t load up on them. You should have 10 to 20 bonds in your portfolio not one or two with high coupons.

The first is a pure income play. It is about a ten-month maturity with a yield of 7.35. It is perfect if you want to get a good return on money you don’t know what to do with right now. It’s a Goldman Sachs bond of 10/1/2009, cusip 38141GAD6.

The second is what I call a total return bond, at a discount and a good coupon. The total return is about 22.2%. It is an Alcoa bond of 1/15/12. The coupon is 6 percent and you should be able to buy it around 94. The cusip is 013817AF8.

A return of 7.35 percent for the income folks and 22.2 percent for the total return folks, Merry Christmas.

Source: A Few Freebies To Get 2009 Off To A Good Start