Saturday, November 21st, 2009

Stocks Extend Last Week’s Rally on Risk Appetite

Aug 24th, 2009 | By Contrarian Profits | Category: Financial News

European and Asian stocks extended last week’s rally on Monday and crude oil marched higher after U.S. economic news and stronger-than-expected data from the euro zone spurred expectations for economic recovery.

But an early rally in U.S. stocks faded about midday in New York after Treasuries rose as investors swooped in to take advantage of sharp losses on Friday.

Oil rose to a 10-month high near $75 a barrel and other commodities also surged as optimism that major economies were pulling out of recession drove hopes of rebounding demand. .

Global stocks as measured by MSCI’s all-country world index <.MIWD00000PUS> rose 1.2 percent and was on track for a fifth straight session of gains.

The yen fell while the U.S. dollar slid against commodity currencies, such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars, as investors became more comfortable with riskier trades given the upbeat assessment of the world economy.

“Economic data is in favor of a stronger recovery than expected. We can be quite bullish on risky assets,” said Romain Boscher, head of equity management at Groupama Asset Management.

Euro zone industrial new orders in June rebounded 3.1 percent month-on-month, or more than expected, the European Union statistics office Eurostat said.

In the United States, economic activity improved again in July from extremely weak levels earlier this year, suggesting the recession is waning, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago showed.

In addition, China’s latest data for July indicated that while growth was moderating after a strong second quarter, the recovery remained on track to achieve the government’s goal of 8 percent growth for the full year.

“The Chinese news was good and we had some positive news out of Europe as well,” said Rob Montefusco, a trader at Sucden Financial in London. “Technicals are pointing upwards.”

But U.S. stocks pared earlier gains. About 1 p.m. (1300 GMT), the Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 15.34 points, or 0.16 percent, at 9,521.30. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index <.SPX> was up 1.11 points, or 0.11 percent, at 1,027.24. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was down 1.49 points, or 0.07 percent, at 2,019.41.

European shares hit their highest closing level in nearly 10 months, boosted by banks and miners.

The FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top European shares ended 0.9 percent up at 975.19 points, the highest closing level since early November.

Banks were among top gainers, with DJ STOXX banking index <.SX7P> rising 1.8 percent.

Japan’s Nikkei average <.N225> jumped 3.4 percent, booosted by hopes for a global recovery and lifted by camera maker Canon Inc <7751.T> and other exporters.

Investors increased their risk-taking in the wake of stronger-than-expected U.S. existing home sales data and upbeat comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Copper prices rose to their highest in more than a week, helped by strong investment demand and bets the economic crisis is petering out.

Jesper Dannesbee, a senior commodities strategist at Societe General, said real demand has not improved that much it but will improve gradually through the year.

“This is follow through from Friday. There is a general appetite for risky assets driven by cheap money and lax monetary policy,” Dannesbee said.

Gold edged below $950 an ounce, under pressure from a firmer dollar, but remained rangebound as support from higher oil prices and investor demand prevented it falling further.

Spot gold was at $949.80 per ounce

U.S. Treasury debt prices rose, with the 30-year bond gaining more than a full point, as investors did some bargain hunting after Friday’s sharp losses and after the Federal Reserve bought government debt.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 19/32 in price to yield about 3.49 percent.

Benchmark euro zone government bonds ended flat as data bolstered the recovery view, but caution on its sustainability eased the selling pressure.

“The stock market has been the barometer for growth and potential inflation,” said Troy Buckner, managing principal of NuWave Investment Management in Morristown, New Jersey. “And yes. it’s been an extreme correlation between equity market movements and commodities, especially copper, aluminum and crude oil.”

But Buckner said that prices have climbed “too far too fast,” leading his firm to short crude and heating oil, while reducing long positions in copper and aluminum.

Euro zone government bonds ended flat as economic data bolstered the view the global economic recovery is under way but caution about the recovery eased selling pressure. Investors worried whether new U.S. debt issuance this week would be welcomed by buyers.

U.S. crude rose 51 cents to $74.40 a barrel.

Aug 24 (Reuters)


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