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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; 12 Months</title>
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		<title>Gold &#8211; this Bull keeps running</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/gold-this-bull-keeps-running/21180</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/gold-this-bull-keeps-running/21180#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Dec 2009 12:42:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bill Bonner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics & Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[12 Months]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Bonner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Reckoning]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Resident GoldBug at The Daily Reckoning, UK Edition, Bill Bonner offers his analysis of gold, the stock market and the end of the depression.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Resident GoldBug at <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.co.uk">The Daily Reckoning, UK Edition</a>, <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/bill-bonner/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Bill Bonner</a> offers his analysis of gold, the stock market and the end of the depression.</strong></p>
<p>Gold’s best part is still ahead. And this is not just a bull market; this is a fortune maker.</p>
<p>Bill Bonner (<a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.co.uk">The Daily Reckoning, UK</a>):<br />
Yesterday, gold closed at $1,200. Long-term <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a> sufferers can finally hold their heads up. We bought gold at the beginning of the bull market. New readers, with no gold buried in their back yards, may wonder: is it too late?</p>
<p>Here is a quick answer: no. We’re still a long way from gold’s ultimate destination. Our ‘Trade of the Decade’ was to buy gold on dips and sell stocks on rallies. The idea of that trade was that gold and stocks were going in opposite directions. Stocks were supposed to go down. Gold was supposed to go up. They would meet at some point, we imagined.</p>
<p>But lately they’ve been going in the same direction. Yesterday, for example, stocks rose with gold; the Dow added 126 points.</p>
<p>Which poses a bit of a dilemma. We think stocks are more likely to go down than up. Will gold go down too? Yes, probably.</p>
<p>Does that mean you shouldn’t buy gold here? No, not necessarily. If you’re trading, we’d suggest you wait. Gold is ready for a correction.</p>
<p>But it is usually a mistake to trade in and out during a major bull market. If the trade goes against you, you end up sitting by the sidelines as the market roars forward. You miss the best part.</p>
<p><strong>Gold’s best part is still ahead.</strong><strong> And this is not just a bull market; this is a fortune maker. </strong>Gold still hasn’t entered the bubble phase. It is just a very strong bull market. Eventually, it will soar&#8230; adding $100 in a single day. It will take our breath away. You want to be in it when that happens.</p>
<p>But is $1,200 the best price you can get to enter the gold market? Probably not. But it’s not a bad price. You can wait for a better one; but don’t wait too long.</p>
<p>John Hussman puts the odds of a major market crash sometime in the next 12 months at 80%. If stocks go, gold is likely to go down too. And it could stay down for a long time.</p>
<p>We keep our Crash Alert flag flying&#8230; and have a hunch the crash will come sooner rather than later. <strong>Day after day, the bubble gets bigger&#8230; and the pins get closer. Greece? Britain? The US?</p>
<p></strong>Click <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.co.uk/gold-investment/gold-bull-bubble-86495.html">here</a> for the rest of Mr. Bonner&#8217;s analysis at The Daily Reckoning, UK Edition.</p>
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		<title>Gold &#8211; Not the end, but possibly a correction</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/gold-not-the-end-but-possibly-a-correction/21138</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/gold-not-the-end-but-possibly-a-correction/21138#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Nov 2009 14:59:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Karim Rahemtulla</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[12 Months]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AUY]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Karim Rahemtulla]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nyse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Options Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Price Of Gold]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Xcelerated Profits Report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yamana Gold]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=21138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The price of gold has surged this year, taking gold shares upwards with it. Readers of my Xcelerated Profits Report have rung the register with 45% profits on Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) and a triple-digit winner on Golden Star Resources (NYSE: GSS). We’re also up big on Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) at the moment.

All is good, right?

On the surface, perhaps. But not if you believe what the options market is saying…]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Karim Rahemtulla, options expert at <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Investment U</a>, looks at the near term potential of a gold correction, and how options plays could help maintain a positive portfolio.</p>
<p>Karim Rahemtulla (<a href="http://www.investmentu.com">Investment U</a>):<br />
Of all the great investments you could have made in 2009, gold is right up there among the best of them.</p>
<p>The price of gold has surged this year, taking gold shares upwards with it. Readers of my Xcelerated Profits Report have rung the register with 45% profits on Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) and a triple-digit winner on Golden Star Resources (NYSE: GSS). We’re also up big on Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) at the moment.</p>
<p>All is good, right?</p>
<p>On the surface, perhaps. But not if you believe what the options market is saying…</p>
<p>Yamana Options Signal a Share Price Drop</p>
<p>Using Yamana as an example, the options market is betting that over the next 12 months or so, Yamana may fall from current levels of around $13 back into the single digits again.</p>
<p>Just take a look at the January 2011 $7.50 put options (the right to sell Yamana shares at $7.50), currently trading at $0.70 cents per contract. This means the put buyer thinks Yamana’s price will fall to $6.80 – almost 50% below current levels – in order to be in the money. The $6.80 price is derived from subtracting the price of the option from the strike price ($7.50 minus $0.70 = $6.80). This tale is similar across other gold shares, too.</p>
<p>These put options are expensive relative to Yamana’s share price – the result of gold prices moving sharply in previous weeks and causing the volatility in gold stocks to increase.</p>
<p>As a quick refresher, the price of an option is based on four major factors:</p>
<p>The price of the underlying shares<br />
The options strike price<br />
The time to expiration<br />
The volatility of the underlying shares<br />
Two Ways to Play Gold Prices… But Only One Viable Option</p>
<p>So if you’re a gold investor looking to participate in the market, what can you do to protect your profits, or buy shares at a lower price? Here are two potential ways…</p>
<p>Click <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/November/falling-gold-prices.html">here</a> for the rest of Mr. Rahemtulla&#8217;s Analysis at <a href="http://www.investmentu.com">Investment U</a>.</p>
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		<title>Fine Wines &#8211; not your grandfather&#8217;s Investment Fund!</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/fine-wines-not-your-grandfathers-investment-fund/20987</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/fine-wines-not-your-grandfathers-investment-fund/20987#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 13:13:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jody Clarke</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=20987</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Up 9.5% over 12 months, the Liv-ex 100 Fine Wine Index (below) has clawed back some of last year&#8217;s losses, when the industry&#8217;s main benchmark index fell 14.6% in 2008. So should you be piling into the fine wine market?</p>
<p>Probably not. First off, new Asian buyers and a &#8220;whole pile of Johnny-come-lately types&#8221; are fuelling current demand. A six-litre bottle of Château Pétrus 1982 recently sold for a record £60,000 at auction in Hong Kong, a city where wine imports rose by more than 40% in the first eight months of the year. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, in Christie&#8217;s spring 2009 global sales, Asian and Chinese buyers accounted for 61% of the total sale value, compared to 7% in 2005. &#8220;With demand coming&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Up 9.5% over 12 months, the Liv-ex 100 Fine Wine Index (below) has clawed back some of last year&#8217;s losses, when the industry&#8217;s main benchmark index fell 14.6% in 2008. So should you be piling into the fine wine market?<span id="more-20987"></span></p>
<p>Probably not. First off, new Asian buyers and a &#8220;whole pile of Johnny-come-lately types&#8221; are fuelling current demand. A six-litre bottle of Château Pétrus 1982 recently sold for a record £60,000 at auction in Hong Kong, a city where wine imports rose by more than 40% in the first eight months of the year. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, in Christie&#8217;s spring 2009 global sales, Asian and Chinese buyers accounted for 61% of the total sale value, compared to 7% in 2005. &#8220;With demand coming almost entirely from Asian buyers, and with that demand so heavily biased towards one particular producer, it would be wrong to start heralding the return of a bull market&#8221;, say the people over at the Vintage wine fund.</p>
<p>Asia is beginning to resemble Japan in the late 1980s, when cash-flush companies and property developers splurged on trophy works by artists such as Van Gogh.</p>
<p>But there&#8217;s another reason why wine just isn&#8217;t such a great investment. </p>
<p>Read the rest of the story on <a href="http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/is-wine-worth-a-punt-94608.aspx">MoneyWeek.com</a>.</p>
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		<title>Riots in Haiti&#8230; Unrest in Egypt&#8230; and Food Rationing in New England and California?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/riots-in-haiti-unrest-in-egypt-and-now-food-rationing-in-new-england-and-california/1444</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/riots-in-haiti-unrest-in-egypt-and-now-food-rationing-in-new-england-and-california/1444#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Apr 2008 12:29:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/riots-in-haiti-unrest-in-egypt-and-now-food-rationing-in-new-england-and-california/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Rice has now shot up 75% in the last two months alone. Corn is up 30% this year. Wheat has managed 120% gains over the past 12 months.</p>
<p>With staple foods racing to record high prices, the world&#8217;s poor are feeling the pinch of the global <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/tag/food-crisis/">food crisis</a>. But the effects are not limited to the third world. Costco stores in northern California are imposing limits on buying  of oil, flour, and rice reported a <a href="http://www2.nysun.com/article/74994?page_no=1" target="_blank">recent article in the NY Sun</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-story-of-the-impatient-cow/">Dan Denning says to keep an eye on dairy prices,</a> &#8220;No one is mentioning cows, though. Cows eat grain. Grain is more expensive. Dairy prices are rising as a result. Dairy Australia reports that East Coast dairy farmers are trucking milk all&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rice has now shot up 75% in the last two months alone. Corn is up 30% this year. Wheat has managed 120% gains over the past 12 months.</p>
<p>With staple foods racing to record high prices, the world&#8217;s poor are feeling the pinch of the global <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/tag/food-crisis/">food crisis</a>. But the effects are not limited to the third world. Costco stores in northern California are imposing limits on buying  of oil, flour, and rice reported a <a href="http://www2.nysun.com/article/74994?page_no=1" target="_blank">recent article in the NY Sun</a>.<span id="more-1444"></span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-story-of-the-impatient-cow/">Dan Denning says to keep an eye on dairy prices,</a> &#8220;No one is mentioning cows, though. Cows eat grain. Grain is more expensive. Dairy prices are rising as a result. Dairy Australia reports that East Coast dairy farmers are trucking milk all the way across the Nullarbor to Western Australia. Western Australia exports 20 million litres of milk a year to Singapore and Malaysia. But with local demand growing so fast, the cows in WA just aren’t working hard enough to meet demand.</p>
<p>What do you think the embedded energy cost is in a litre of Australia milk that ends up in Singapore? You have the petrol to power the tractor that harvests the grain that feeds the cow who’s milk must be refrigerated as its trucked across the continent via internal combustion engine to be transported on a coal or oil powered ship in containers made of plastic (oil) to Singapore where a lorry driver with a refrigerated truck that runs on petrol takes it to a store whose lights and freezers are kept bright and cool by coal-fired power. All so you can have some milk with your cake in Singapore’s fabulous Changi airport as your carbon foot print grows to the size of Godzilla’s paws.&#8221;</p>
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