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		<title>No Shelter for Safe Investors in Utilities</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/no-shelter-for-safe-investors-in-utilities/14109</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/no-shelter-for-safe-investors-in-utilities/14109#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 17:23:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=14109</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Vulnerable companies in the utility sector are certainly showing shorting opportunities. Andrew Gordon of Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge suggests that although the &#8220;recession has finally caught up to the utilities,&#8221; there is opportunity for triple digits gains.</p>
<p>This from Andrew:</p>
<blockquote><p>Two weeks ago I sold the Virginia-based utility company Dominion Resources (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Dominion+Resources">D</a>).  I got out at a double-digit profit.</p>
<p>Of all the utilities in the S&#38;P 500, Dominion had the best earnings growth (38.5%) last quarter. So why did I get rid of the stock?</p>
<p>When I recommended it in mid-2005, electricity consumption was still rising and regulated rates were providing cover for rising energy costs. Dominion also had productive gas fields in Texas and expanding Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) ports.</p>
<p>But now the sector is&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vulnerable companies in the utility sector are certainly showing shorting opportunities. Andrew Gordon of Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge suggests that although the &#8220;recession has finally caught up to the utilities,&#8221; there is opportunity for triple digits gains.<span id="more-14109"></span></p>
<p>This from Andrew:</p>
<blockquote><p>Two weeks ago I sold the Virginia-based utility company Dominion Resources (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Dominion+Resources">D</a>).  I got out at a double-digit profit.</p>
<p>Of all the utilities in the S&amp;P 500, Dominion had the best earnings growth (38.5%) last quarter. So why did I get rid of the stock?</p>
<p>When I recommended it in mid-2005, electricity consumption was still rising and regulated rates were providing cover for rising energy costs. Dominion also had productive gas fields in Texas and expanding Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) ports.</p>
<p>But now the sector is heading in the wrong direction.</p>
<p>In the last week alone the utility sector lost 8.2 percent. Only the financial, conglomerates and industrial goods sectors have done worse – recording bigger losses over the past week and last three months.</p>
<p>I got out just in time. Since I exited my position in Dominion, it has lost 9.1 percent. But as you can see, Dominion has lots of company&#8230;</p>
<p><img src="http://investorsdailyedge.com/Issues/Charts/February%202009/022409DailyIDE.jpg" border="0" alt="" width="504" height="329" /></p>
<p>As recently as last quarter, utilities were holding up fine. Their profits had risen an average of 5.3 percent (unweighted) and 0.9 percent (weighted). Along with health care and consumer staples, utilities formed a strong line of defense against the encroaching recession.</p>
<p>So what the heck happened?</p>
<p>Listen, utilities have certain advantages, like fixed prices, monopoly-like markets, and a consistent revenue stream.</p>
<p>But that revenue stream has sprung a few leaks. Listen to CEO Lewis Hay of Florida Power &amp; Light (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=FPL">FPL</a>)&#8230;</p>
<p>“A lot of people think demand for electricity is inelastic. It&#8217;s not. Our customers are cutting back, and they&#8217;re not paying their bills, either.”</p>
<p>I wrote to my readers last week that “I’m not quite ready to put utilities in the same category as banks&#8230;<strong>” </strong></p>
<p>But utilities are sounding more and more like banks. Here’s another utility CEO, Michael Morris of American Electric Power (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=American+Electric+Power+">AEP</a>), sounding off&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;Clearly, industrial sales will be off,&#8221; he said, “we’re selling less electricity to neighboring utilities as their needs drop.”</p>
<p>The recession has finally caught up to the utilities. As a result, utilities are husbanding their cash along with all the other companies&#8230;</p>
<p>APE is cutting back spending from $2.5 billion to $1.25 billion. FPL is and Georgia Power is also cutting back.</p>
<p>And in the strongest sign yet that the utility sector is no refuge for investors, two utilities cut their dividend last week: Ameren (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Ameren+">AEE</a>) and Constellation Energy (<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:CEG">CEG</a>).</p>
<p>Investors made a lot of money shorting banks. I’m not ready to put utilities in the same camp as the banking sector, but the weaker companies in the utility sector definitely represent shorting opportunities. My <em><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/product.aspx?id=1621" target="_blank">Red Flag</a></em> portfolio used to be full of banks and financials. My bets that their shares would sink made mostly triple-digit gains.</p>
<p>Last week I added a couple of utilities to the portfolio. The utility sector is catching up to the rest of the economy – and not in a good way. <img src="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/someimage.gif" border="0" alt="end WP import block" hspace="0" vspace="0" width="1" height="1" /></p>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/Article.aspx?Id=1944">Source: Why Utilities Are No Longer a Refuge for Safe Investors</a></p></blockquote>
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		<title>French Nuclear Giant Areva Links Up With Northrop</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/french-nuclear-giant-areva-links-up-with-northrop/7061</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 14:23:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=7061</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In a sign that the planned construction of new nuclear reactors in the U.S. market could jump-start the nation’s moribund manufacturing sector, France’s <a onclick="s_objectID=&#34;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI_1&#34;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI" target="_blank">Areva SA</a> and  defense-industry giant Northrop Grumman Corp. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&#34;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI_2&#34;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI" target="_blank">NOC</a>) have formed a joint venture to make nuclear reactor vessels, steam generators and other related components at Northrop’s Newport News shipyard in Virginia.</p>
<p>The venture –  Areva Newport News LLC – <a onclick="s_objectID=&#34;http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=AP&#38;date=20081023&#38;id=9315636_1&#34;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=AP&#38;date=20081023&#38;id=9315636" target="_blank">will  emanate from a $360 million investment</a>, and will lead to the construction of a 300,000-square-foot production-and-engineering facility, the two companies said yesterday (Thursday). It will employ 500 workers when completed in 2011, according to an <strong><em>MSNMoneycentral</em></strong> report.</p>
<p>Mike Petters,  president of Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding, the unit that has signed on to work  with Areva, told <strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong> that “<a onclick="s_objectID=&#34;http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122478915169263567.html?mod=googlenews_wsj_1&#34;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122478915169263567.html?mod=googlenews_wsj" target="_blank">we’ve&#8230;</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In a sign that the planned construction of new nuclear reactors in the U.S. market could jump-start the nation’s moribund manufacturing sector, France’s <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI" target="_blank">Areva SA</a> and  defense-industry giant Northrop Grumman Corp. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI_2&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ACEI" target="_blank">NOC</a>) have formed a joint venture to make nuclear reactor vessels, steam generators and other related components at Northrop’s Newport News shipyard in Virginia.<span id="more-7061"></span></p>
<p>The venture –  Areva Newport News LLC – <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=AP&amp;date=20081023&amp;id=9315636_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=AP&amp;date=20081023&amp;id=9315636" target="_blank">will  emanate from a $360 million investment</a>, and will lead to the construction of a 300,000-square-foot production-and-engineering facility, the two companies said yesterday (Thursday). It will employ 500 workers when completed in 2011, according to an <strong><em>MSNMoneycentral</em></strong> report.</p>
<p>Mike Petters,  president of Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding, the unit that has signed on to work  with Areva, told <strong><em>The Wall Street Journal</em></strong> that “<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122478915169263567.html?mod=googlenews_wsj_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122478915169263567.html?mod=googlenews_wsj" target="_blank">we’ve  watched manufacturing wane in shipbuilding and we’ve watched for other  opportunities to go into adjacent areas</a>…We think a nuclear renaissance is  coming and we have the work force.”</p>
<p>The facility  will promote U.S. market sales of Areva’s “<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Pressurized_Reactor_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Pressurized_Reactor" target="_blank">evolutionary  power reactor</a>,” or EPR. Areva is seeking to get the reactor design certified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for use in the U.S. market, <strong><em>The Journal</em></strong> reported.</p>
<p>The deal is also the latest illustration that commercial nuclear power – which has been on a more or less permanent hiatus in the U.S. market since the 1979 near-meltdown at the Three Mile Island nuclear powerlant near Harrisburg, Pa.— may finally be making a comeback in the energy-starved U.S. market.</p>
<p>There hasn’t been a single new nuclear plant built since the  Three Mile Island accident; this new manufacturing facility <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.dailypress.com/news/dp-local_announcement_1024oct24,0,6211156.story_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.dailypress.com/news/dp-local_announcement_1024oct24,0,6211156.story" target="_blank">will  be the first of its kind built in this country in 35 years</a>, the Newport  News <strong><em>Daily Press</em></strong> reported.</p>
<p>The state-run  Areva is trying to compete in an industry in which Japanese firms – such  as  Hitachi Ltd. (ADR: <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AHIT_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AHIT" target="_blank">HIT</a>) and Toshiba  Corp. (OTC: <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3ATOSBF_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3ATOSBF" target="_blank">TOSBF</a>), have come to play a large role. No surprise, too, that China is building up its nuclear capabilities, and has global objectives for that business.</p>
<p>“Our target is  80% U.S. content” for U.S. nuclear power plants, Anne Lauvergeon, chief  executive of Areva, told  <strong><em>The  Journal</em></strong>. Lauvergeon believes Areva’s linkup with Northrop will give the French company a competitive advantage over rivals that are more reliant on imported goods. That’s why she said that she’s emphasizing the need to have 80% of the content for U.S. reactors to be built domestically.</p>
<p>Orders from U.S. nuclear operators could top $100 billion in coming years, and some are hoping that a wave of nuclear construction could also bolster the U.S.’s ailing manufacturing sector.</p>
<p>Areva’s Lauvergeon said her company’s existing heavy manufacturing facility at Chalon/Saint Marcel, France, is operating at capacity with a five-year backlog of orders. Nucelar plants built with Areva’s design are under construction in France, Finland and China. Three U.S. utilities have selected Areva’s design including Constellation Energy Group Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACEG_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACEG" target="_blank">CEG</a>), PPL Corp. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ppl_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ppl" target="_blank">PPL</a>) and Ameren Corp. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ameren_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ameren" target="_blank">AEE</a>).</p>
<p>With its decision to invest so heavily in the U.S. market – and to involve a partner – it’s clear Areva is highly confident that plans to build new nuclear plants in North America will move forward, <strong><em>The Journal</em></strong> reportedSource:  	  <a class="titleref" onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/10/24/areva-northrop-grumman/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/10/24/areva-northrop-grumman/">French Nuclear Giant Areva Links Up With Northrop in  Groundbreaking Production Venture</a></p>
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