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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; American Waterworks</title>
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		<title>Cash Dodges a Bullet</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/cash-dodges-a-bullet/1659</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/cash-dodges-a-bullet/1659#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2008 16:58:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justice Litle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Waterworks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AWK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBKR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intrepid Potash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSCI Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nyse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Share Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Term Prospects]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/cash-dodges-a-bullet/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>With the new  issues market heating up, Cash McDash has had a very busy week.  Not all IPOs are highfliers &#8212; some are outright duds.  Find out how Cash deals with those.This company  you might call an “E-Trade on steroids” looks like a buy.</p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>So I’m  guessing you had a busy week.</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>How can you  tell? I know you can’t see the dark circles under my eyes through the phone. Is  my voice twitching?</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> Haha &#8212; no,  you sound fine. But the calendar really picked back up. You had to be in there  making all kinds of moves.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> You’re  starting to sound like a trader now! I like it!</p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>Whaddaya mean  “sound” like a trader? I’ve been runnin’ and gunnin’ for as&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the new  issues market heating up, Cash McDash has had a very busy week.  Not all IPOs are highfliers &#8212; some are outright duds.  Find out how Cash deals with those.This company  you might call an “E-Trade on steroids” looks like a buy.<span id="more-1659"></span></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>So I’m  guessing you had a busy week.</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>How can you  tell? I know you can’t see the dark circles under my eyes through the phone. Is  my voice twitching?</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> Haha &#8212; no,  you sound fine. But the calendar really picked back up. You had to be in there  making all kinds of moves.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> You’re  starting to sound like a trader now! I like it!</p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>Whaddaya mean  “sound” like a trader? I’ve been runnin’ and gunnin’ for as long as you… maybe  just not as quick on the draw…</p>
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<p><strong>CASH: </strong>I know, I’m  just playing with ya. Our mutual love of markets is how we became friends in  the first place. And yes, there were a bunch of deals this week. It’s  definitely kept me busy. We already talked about what a success <strong>Intrepid Potash (IPI:NYSE)</strong> was right  out of the gate, and the stock actually booked an even higher close on Friday. What  a great story!</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> Are you  buying more IPI then?</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>Not right  this moment. I’m still holding half of my position to see where the momentum  takes it, but I wouldn’t be a big buyer again just yet. Patience is a virtue…</p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>Indeed.  Speaking of patience, what happened with American Waterworks? You weren’t too  excited about the short-term prospects on that one. I think you were getting a  share allocation when we last talked.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> Ugh. Yeah,  I got all I wanted on <em>that</em> deal.</p>
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<td bgcolor="#f2ead7" width="305"><em><strong>Previously in the Cash McDash series: </strong></em><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_042308a.html" target="_blank"><strong>Cash Explains the Options Game</strong></a><strong><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_041608a.html" target="_blank">Cash Digs Into Potash</a></strong><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_040808a.html" target="_blank"><strong>Cash Continues to Roll</strong></a><strong>The Beginning: <a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_12908a.html" target="_blank">Introducing Cash McDash</a></strong></td>
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<p><strong>JL: </strong>Uh-oh. If you  never get enough of the good ones, that’s not great sign.</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>You can say  that again. When you get all the stock you signed on for and your guy calls you  back and says, “Great news! I can get you another 10,000 shares, no problemo!”  you know it’s going to be a long day.</p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>So did you,  ah, take a bath on American Waterworks then?</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>Ouch, bad pun  alert. Nah, I’m too slippery for that. I got dinged, but it was small beer  compared to my IPI gains. I’m now actually out of American Waterworks  completely. But my guys are all thankful that I took shares off their hands…  and their managers are excited to see that I’m still long.</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> Come again?  You said you were out of the stock completely, but the managers still think  you’re long it?</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> Heh. This  kind of thing is a big reason why we use a pen name in these conversations.</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> That and the  fact it’s fun to goof around with your name.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> True &#8212;  can’t underestimate the value of having a little fun. But as far as day-to-day  trading goes, I play little games with these underwriters all the time. It’s  not uncommon for a “long” position with one investment house to be neutralized  by a “short” position elsewhere &#8212; without the first party being any the wiser.  This isn’t anything exceptional. It’s just a part of doing business when your  business involves maintaining relationships on the street. With a stock like <strong>American Waterworks (AWK:NYSE)</strong>, I knew  I’d have to protect myself by taking some “covert action.” So I did.</p>
<p><strong>JL: </strong>For the  benefit of our readers, can you quickly hit the highlights of what made AWK a  bad deal? What were the danger signs, or clues, if you will?</p>
<p><strong>CASH: </strong>Sure. Since  AWK didn’t have enough demand from the get-go, they had to lower the price  significantly to get the deal done. That was clue No. 1. Clue No. 2 was when I  got all the stock I asked for from at least from different brokers. With that,  I knew they were having trouble finding a home for all the shares &#8212; certainly  not a positive development. Finally, when the actual stock issued, it  immediately traded down 50 cents or more. That put me in full damage-control  mode.</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> So what does  that look like? Explain how you control the damage without stepping on the toes  of the underwriters. Obviously, we know that if you just liquidate your  holdings en masse, the underwriters will get their feelings hurt and you won’t  be on the list the next time a good deal prices.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> Right. I  went to a good discount broker, another of my many contacts, and got a borrow  on the stock. In other words, I found someplace else to short it. Sometimes this  is difficult and I have to look more than one place before I find stock I can  short.</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> To keep our  readers up to speed, let me get this straight. In order to short a stock, a  trader first has to get a legal “borrow,” which involves finding someone else’s  long shares. The trader then sells this “borrowed” stock on the market, with  the understanding that he will eventually re-purchase the shares and return  them to the broker. And this is all usually pretty cut and dry established  stocks, but can take a bit more time to pull off with a brand-new or thinly  traded stock.</p>
<p><strong>CASH:</strong> Exactly. So  once I got hold of a borrow, I spent the rest of the day shorting the same  amount of American Waterworks stock I held long in my underwriter accounts. So  now, if AWK trades up big, I’ll be ticked because I’ll lose just as much on my  shorts as I make on my longs. That’s the price of neutralizing the downside.</p>
<p><strong>JL:</strong> But you don’t  see a big uptick for AWK anyway.</p>
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