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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Barry Ritholz</title>
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		<title>Jim Cramer Sell Recommendation a Strong Buy Signal</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-cramer-sell-recommendation-a-strong-buy-signal/5965</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-cramer-sell-recommendation-a-strong-buy-signal/5965#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Oct 2008 17:31:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Barry Ritholz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contrarian Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Downturn Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Cramer]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-cramer-sell-recommendation-a-strong-buy-signal/5965</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Stock &#8216;guru&#8217; <strong>Jim Cramer </strong>says it&#8217;s time for investors to get out of stocks.</p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27045699/" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">a report on MSNBC</a>, Cramer told <strong>Ann Curry </strong>on TODAY Monday: “Whatever money you may need for the next five years, please take it out of the stock market right now, this week. I do not believe that you should risk those assets in the stock market right now.”</p>
<p>The Big Picture blogger, Barry Ritholz, says <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/10/contrary-cramer.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Cramer&#8217;s strong sell recommendation could be a strong buy signal</a> for contrarian investors.</p>
<blockquote><p>As I have said in the past, I don&#8217;t like to harp on any one person. I also don&#8217;t want to be a Cramer stalker. But DAMN if that headline doesn&#8217;t smell like a giant buy signal.</p>
<p>The market down&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stock &#8216;guru&#8217; <strong>Jim Cramer </strong>says it&#8217;s time for investors to get out of stocks.</p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27045699/" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">a report on MSNBC</a>, Cramer told <strong>Ann Curry </strong>on TODAY Monday: “Whatever money you may need for the next five years, please take it out of the stock market right now, this week. I do not believe that you should risk those assets in the stock market right now.”</p>
<p>The Big Picture blogger, Barry Ritholz, says <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/10/contrary-cramer.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Cramer&#8217;s strong sell recommendation could be a strong buy signal</a> for contrarian investors.</p>
<blockquote><p>As I have said in the past, I don&#8217;t like to harp on any one person. I also don&#8217;t want to be a Cramer stalker. But DAMN if that headline doesn&#8217;t smell like a giant buy signal.</p>
<p>The market down 30%, the VIX spiking to 56, and Cramer giving a panicky SELL on TV this morning. We have a 9,500 downside target, and the likelihood of an emergency action makes us want to get long &#8212; at least for a trade . . .</p>
<p>We are putting a toe in the water here.</p></blockquote>
<p>Click on the following link to watch <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/27045406#27045406" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Cramer&#8217;s sell re</a><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/27045406#27045406" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">commendation</a>.</p>
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		<title>13 Out of 15 Dow Selloffs Ended With a Healthy Snap-Back</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/13-out-of-15-dow-selloffs-ended-with-a-healthy-snap-back/3527</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/13-out-of-15-dow-selloffs-ended-with-a-healthy-snap-back/3527#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jul 2008 18:02:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry Ritholz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Downturn Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Pendergraft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Barry L. Ritholz of <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">BigPicture.com</a> has an interesting piece today about historical <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/07/markets-after-b.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Dow selloffs</a>.</p>
<p>Ritholz charted the 15 biggest one-month Dow selloffs. Turns out there&#8217;s often a healthy snap-back 6 and 12 months after significant one month sell offs.</p>
<p>Out of the 15 selloffs there were 13 cases of a snap-back. Except in 1973 and 2001, where even larger losses came a year later. </p>
<p>So the odds are US stocks good turn good again soon.</p>
<p>Rick Prendergraft in Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge thinks <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/expect-oversold-stocks-to-rally-this-week/3519" title="Read more at ContrarianProfits.com">the momemtum is still bearish</a>, however.</p>
<blockquote><p>The problem is the long-term trend is still to the downside.  The bearish  crossover of the 10-month and 20-month moving averages on the S&#38;P that I  pointed out in last week’s article is just getting started.</p>
<p>I look&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Barry L. Ritholz of <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">BigPicture.com</a> has an interesting piece today about historical <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/07/markets-after-b.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Dow selloffs</a>.</p>
<p>Ritholz charted the 15 biggest one-month Dow selloffs. Turns out there&#8217;s often a healthy snap-back 6 and 12 months after significant one month sell offs.</p>
<p>Out of the 15 selloffs there were 13 cases of a snap-back. Except in 1973 and 2001, where even larger losses came a year later. </p>
<p>So the odds are US stocks good turn good again soon.</p>
<p>Rick Prendergraft in Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge thinks <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/expect-oversold-stocks-to-rally-this-week/3519" title="Read more at ContrarianProfits.com">the momemtum is still bearish</a>, however.</p>
<blockquote><p>The problem is the long-term trend is still to the downside.  The bearish  crossover of the 10-month and 20-month moving averages on the S&amp;P that I  pointed out in last week’s article is just getting started.</p>
<p>I look for a mild rally over the next week or so, and then when the earnings  start rolling and falling short of expectations, the selling will resume.  Not  all companies will get hit, as some will beat expectations and some will rally  because the expectations are so low that they can’t help but go up.  Overall, I  look for earnings to disappoint as a whole and the low from March on the S&amp;P  will be taken out over the summer.</p>
<p>Historically, over 60 percent of companies beat their earnings expectations.   In Q1, only 48 percent beat expectations.  I would expect more of the same this  quarter.</p></blockquote>
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