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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Bayer</title>
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		<title>How to Earn Outsized Profits in Copycat Pharmas Like Alkermes (ALKS)</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-earn-outsized-profits-in-copycat-pharmas-like-alkermes-alks/3908</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-earn-outsized-profits-in-copycat-pharmas-like-alkermes-alks/3908#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jul 2008 13:36:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dr. George Huang</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ALKS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bayer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DRRX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Huang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JAZZ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jnj]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KVA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MRK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pfe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pharma stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Drug discovery is high-risk,  high-reward. It takes about 10 years and $1 billion to bring a new drug to market. And only one of 10,000 new prospects ever makes it to pharmacy shelves. Those that do fetch monopoly-like margins and can bring in billions in sales.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Take Lipitor – the world&#8217;s best-selling cholesterol drug – for example. Each $3 Lipitor pill only costs Pfizer about $0.25 to make. So the company collects 90% profit margins. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">One way the drug industry has learned to reap those outsized rewards with less risk is through &#8220;me-too&#8221; drugs. Me-too drugs are essentially copycats – like generics but with fat margins. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">For example, after <strong>Pfizer&#8217;s (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APFE">PFE</a>)</strong> Viagra wowed the market, <strong>Eli Lilly (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ALLY">LLY</a>)</strong> and <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=7679585">Bayer </a></strong>jumped into the&#8230;</font></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Drug discovery is high-risk,  high-reward. It takes about 10 years and $1 billion to bring a new drug to market. And only one of 10,000 new prospects ever makes it to pharmacy shelves. Those that do fetch monopoly-like margins and can bring in billions in sales.</font><span id="more-3908"></span></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Take Lipitor – the world&#8217;s best-selling cholesterol drug – for example. Each $3 Lipitor pill only costs Pfizer about $0.25 to make. So the company collects 90% profit margins. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">One way the drug industry has learned to reap those outsized rewards with less risk is through &#8220;me-too&#8221; drugs. Me-too drugs are essentially copycats – like generics but with fat margins. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">For example, after <strong>Pfizer&#8217;s (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APFE">PFE</a>)</strong> Viagra wowed the market, <strong>Eli Lilly (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ALLY">LLY</a>)</strong> and <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=7679585">Bayer </a></strong>jumped into the fray. Now the market has three drugs – Viagra, Cialis, and Levitra – to treat the same condition. Viagra and Cialis fetch more than $1 billion per year. Levitra, the laggard, still generated $500 million in 2007 sales. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">But the me-too well is running dry. These days, the FDA won&#8217;t approve new drugs unless they offer a clear advantage over what&#8217;s already on the market. Recently, me-too drugs vying to compete with <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMRK">Merck</a></strong>&#8217;s Januvia (a diabetes drug) and Gardasil (a cervical cancer vaccine) faced serious setbacks. Neither drug satisfied the FDA&#8217;s higher standards.</font></p>
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<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Now a new class of drugmakers is taking a slightly different tack: They pick existing drugs and make them better. So a company might make a drug available as a pill rather than an injection. Or it might change a three-pill daily regimen into a once-a-day routine. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">These so-called &#8220;specialty pharma&#8221; companies start with what works and go from there. With thousands of drugs on the market, specialty pharmas have no shortage of lucrative products to choose from. Here&#8217;s an example of how it works </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Until recently, many schizophrenics had to struggle with a complex dosing routine that included capsules of Risperdal (a popular treatment option). So <strong>Alkermes (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ALKS&amp;hl=en">ALKS</a>)</strong>, one of the biggest specialty pharma outfits, collaborated with <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AJNJ">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a>, Risperdal&#8217;s maker, to create Risperdal Consta. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The new version is a bimonthly injection, and it generates more than $1.2 billion in revenue a year. Besides Alkermes, investors can choose from a handful of pure-play specialty pharma outfits </font></p>
<table align="center" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="100%">
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#cccccc" valign="bottom" width="38%">
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><strong>Company</strong></font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#cccccc" valign="bottom" width="16%">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><strong>Symbol</strong></font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#cccccc" valign="bottom" width="22%">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><strong>Market    Cap</strong></font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#cccccc" valign="bottom" width="24%">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><strong>Projected    2008 Sales</strong></font></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Alkermes</font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ALKS&amp;hl=en"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">ALKS </font></a></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$1.3    billion </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$200    million </font></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">KV Pharmaceuticals </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=KVA&amp;hl=en"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">KVA </font></a></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$1.1    billion </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$600    million </font></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Jazz Pharmaceuticals </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=JAZZ&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den"></a><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">JAZZ </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$170    million </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$80    million </font></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Durect</font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:DRRX"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">DRRX </font></a></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$330    million </font></p>
</td>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="bottom">
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">$30    million </font></p>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Specialty pharmas boast profit margins almost as big as the brand-name drug business 70% or higher. And by modifying drugs the FDA has already cleared, they take on much less risk.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Recently, the industry has far outperformed the general market These five stocks are up 3.5% over the last three months, while the S&amp;P is down 8%. I&#8217;ve been busy digging through the short list in search of the best company. If you are looking for a low-risk way to get in on the lucrative drug business, this is a great place to start. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Good investing,</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><strong>George  Huang</strong><strong>, editor, <em>S&amp;A FDA Report</em></strong></font></p>
<p><a href="http://www.growthstockwire.com/archive/2008/jul/2008_jul_18.asp">Source: Where to Earn Monopoly Profits, Minus the Risk</a></p>
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		<title>Global Investing Roundups: Friday, April 25th, 2008</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-april-25th-2008/1575</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-april-25th-2008/1575#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Apr 2008 11:55:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arby]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Astrazeneca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AZN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bayer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BAYRY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bmy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bristol Myers Squibb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CLS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Suisse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MER]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nelson Peltz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NEM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PEP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pepsico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triarc Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Pepsi Chugs Along on Foreign Sales; Credit Suisse Continues its Struggles; Peltz is Thinkin’ Wendy’s; Drugmakers’ Earnings Sedated; Dubai Aerospace to Dump $2 Billion on More Planes; Merrill Maintains Dividend; Mining CEO Bullish on Gold; Celestica’s Profit Comeback.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>PepsiCo Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=pep"><font color="#016a43">PEP</font></a>) announced yesterday (Thursday) that a big rise in international revenue helped offset higher commodity costs and boost its first-quarter profit by 5%. Net income for the first quarter jumped to $1.15 billion (70 cents per share), up from $1.10 billion (65 cents per share) last year. Revenue in the international division grew the most, rising 27%, the <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080424/earns_pepsico.html"><font color="#016a43">Associated Press reported</font></a></em></strong>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Credit Suisse Group</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cs&#38;hl=en"><font color="#016a43">CS</font></a>), Switzerland’s second-largest bank, announced a ($2.1 billion) loss for the first quarter. The bank also said it had net&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pepsi Chugs Along on Foreign Sales; Credit Suisse Continues its Struggles; Peltz is Thinkin’ Wendy’s; Drugmakers’ Earnings Sedated; Dubai Aerospace to Dump $2 Billion on More Planes; Merrill Maintains Dividend; Mining CEO Bullish on Gold; Celestica’s Profit Comeback.<span id="more-1575"></span></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>PepsiCo Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=pep"><font color="#016a43">PEP</font></a>) announced yesterday (Thursday) that a big rise in international revenue helped offset higher commodity costs and boost its first-quarter profit by 5%. Net income for the first quarter jumped to $1.15 billion (70 cents per share), up from $1.10 billion (65 cents per share) last year. Revenue in the international division grew the most, rising 27%, the <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080424/earns_pepsico.html"><font color="#016a43">Associated Press reported</font></a></em></strong>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Credit Suisse Group</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cs&amp;hl=en"><font color="#016a43">CS</font></a>), Switzerland’s second-largest bank, announced a ($2.1 billion) loss for the first quarter. The bank also said it had net writedowns of $5.3 billion for big buyout loans and mortgage-backed securities. The bank, which employs 48,000 people worldwide, said earlier this week that it was cutting a further 500 employees in addition to the 1,000 jobs it has already eliminated in investment banking, the <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/24284634/for/cnbc"><font color="#016a43">Associated Press reported</font></a></em></strong>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Billionaire <a s_oc="null" href="http://stocks.us.reuters.com/stocks/OfficersDirectorsDetails.asp?rpc=66&amp;symbol=TRYb&amp;officerID=18258"><font color="#016a43">Nelson Peltz</font></a>’s <strong>Triarc Companies Inc.</strong> agreed to buy <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=WEN%3AUS"><font color="#016a43">Wendy’s International Inc.</font></a> for about $2.4 billion, bring the third-biggest U.S. hamburger chain under the same umbrella as his <strong><a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4851429"><font color="#016a43">Arby’s Restaurant Group Inc.</font></a></strong> restaurants, <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=a7X9cyt8NG2k&amp;refer=home"><font color="#016a43">Bloomberg News reported</font></a></em></strong>. Wendy’s put itself up for sale last June, under pressure from Peltz, who controls nearly 10% of Wendy’s and has repeatedly pressed the chain for better financial results.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Earnings for <strong>AstraZeneca PLC</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AAZN"><font color="#016a43">AZN</font></a>), <strong>Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABMY"><font color="#016a43">BMY</font></a>) and <strong>Bayer AG</strong> (OTC:<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3ABAYRY"><font color="#016a43">BAYRY</font></a>) declined for the first quarter, as the drugmakers faced increased competition from generic manufacturers. AstraZeneca’s net income unexpectedly fell 3.7% to $1.50 billion. Bristol-Myers’ first-quarter net income fell 4.2% to $661 million. Bayer reported that profit that beat analyst estimates, but net income fell 73% to $1.21 billion.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>State-owned aviation company <strong>Dubai Aerospace Enterprise </strong>said it plans to spend a further $2 billion through 2009 to expand its fleet. In November, the company ordered 200 <strong><a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=14150184"><font color="#016a43">Airbus SAS</font></a></strong> and <strong>The Boeing Co.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ba&amp;hl=en"><font color="#016a43">BA</font></a>) planes, <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/regions/mideast.html"><font color="#016a43">Bloomberg reported</font></a></em></strong>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Merrill Lynch &amp; Co. Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mer&amp;hl=en"><font color="#016a43">MER</font></a>) shares gained after the securities firm announced it would maintain its dividend yesterday (Thursday). The board of directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of 35 cents per common share payable May 28, 2008, to shareholders of record on May 8, 2008, the company <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.ml.com/index.asp?id=7695_7696_8149_88278_95339_96710"><font color="#016a43">announced in a statement</font></a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Newmont Mining Corp.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=nem&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl=en"><font color="#016a43">NEM</font></a>) Chief Executive Officer <a s_oc="null" href="http://stocks.us.reuters.com/stocks/OfficersDirectorsDetails.asp?rpc=66&amp;symbol=NEM&amp;officerID=678081"><font color="#016a43">Richard O’Brien</font></a> said yesterday (Thursday) that gold could reach $1,100 an ounce in 2009, <strong><em><a s_oc="null" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssIndustryMaterialsUtilitiesNews/idUSN2431236020080424"><font color="#016a43">Reuters reported</font></a></em></strong>. O’Brien went on to cite a number of factors that make him bullish on gold, including &#8220;diminishing mine output, strong jewelry demand, inflation and the dollar weakness.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Celestica Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:CLS&amp;client=ft"><font color="#016a43">CLS</font></a>), maker of <strong>Microsoft Corp.’s</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:MSFT"><font color="#016a43">MSFT</font></a>) Xbox 360 video-game console, earned $29.8 million in profit for the first quarter compared to a $34.3 million loss for the same period on the prior year. Earnings of 13 cents per share compared to a loss of 15 cents per share the year prior beat analyst expectations, sending the stock up over 30% prior to the close yesterday (Thursday).</li>
</ul>
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