Source: Investment News Briefs Wednesday, July 15, 2009

The identity of the bank that is alleged to have failed the bank stress test was not revealed.

The bank-stress-test findings were reported yesterday (Sunday) by CNBC.com, which said it obtained the information from a source that it did not identify. The source did not identify the company, CNBC.com reported.

“At least one firm – under the [bank] stress test assumptions – will require more capital,” the source said.

The bank-stress-test results were contained in a two-dozen-page report that the government released Friday. But the results had already been “conveyed” to the firms, meaning the bank in question is aware of the U.S. central bank’s assessment, according to the published report.

This round of bank stress tests was essentially a two-step process. The first step – outlining how the banks have been analyzed – was taken care of with the report released over the weekend.  The second step – releasing the results to the public – will be taken care of when the actual results are released May 4, which is one week from today (Monday).

Neither the U.S. Federal Reserve nor the U.S. Treasury Department would comment.

The bank stress tests have a very specific purpose. Financial institutions that are found to have inadequate capital will have six months to raise the money via the private sector. If that doesn’t work, the government has said the financial institutions will be eligible for an infusion of capital via the federal government’s so-called “Capital Access Program.”

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said he would be open to banks repaying their Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) loans, as long as the availability of credit (borrowing) was not adversely affected.  As a Money Morning special report detailed last week, the credit markets don’t seem to be loosening up: Lending dropped by more than 20% from October 2008 to February 2009, despite initiatives to encourage such activity.

According to the conclusion of the report released over the weekend, “most banks currently have capital levels well in excess of the amounts needed to be well capitalized.”

However, as Money Morning has reported, the tests have become a “no-win” situation for the Obama administration.

“There are two things that are terribly wrong,” William M. Isaac, the Secura Group chairman who served as head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) from 1981 to 1985, told CNBC.com. The first problem – and a big one – is the fact that the details were announced at all.

“I can’t imagine what Treasury was thinking when it made that move. It has been causing incredible angst in the markets,” said Isaac. “The second big problem is that the Treasury is directing the stress testing, apparently with direct involvement of the White House at the highest levels. Bank regulation by law is supposed to be carried out by the independent banking agencies without any political interference.”

Market Matters

As Money Morning reported Friday – in a Wall Street version of the old “he said/(s)he said” drama, Bank of America Corp. (BAC) Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Lewis claimed that ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. “Hank” Paulson Jr. and central bank Chairman Ben S. Bernanke threatened to remove him from office if he backed out of the Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (SQD) merger or (publicly) discussed the mounting losses.

Paulson had previously testified that Lewis must have misinterpreted their comments, but then seemed to blame Bernanke for the threat (Translation: Paulson tried to throw Bernanke “under the bus.”).

New York Attorney General Andrew M. Cuomo has been investigating the activities surrounding the merger to determine why shareholders were kept in the dark about the financial “challenges.”

Shifting to autos, Italy’s Fiat SpA (OTC ADR FIATY) emerged as a potential major global player as it attempts to forge a partnership with (soon-to-be-bankrupt?) Chrysler LLC, and also has interest in buying General Motors Corp.’s (GM) Opel unit. Meanwhile, GM will be closing 13 production plants over the summer to trim inventory and seems likely to miss a $1 billion debt payment due June 1 as it too moves closer to bankruptcy protection.

How bad is GM’s plight: GM may close its Pontiac division after 82 years of operation, The Wall Street Journal and MarketWatch.com reported over the weekend.

While the earnings news of the week found plenty of winners and losers, ultimately analysts perceived a bit of “cautious optimism.”  Bank of America and Morgan Stanley (MS) failed to live up to the favorable showings by Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) and other financials, though techs like Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), Apple Inc. (AAPL) and International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), beat Wall Street expectations, and brought new hope that the downturn was nearing an end. (Watch for an updated “Hot Stocks” feature on IBM here in Money Morning later this week).

Unfortunately, Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) posted the first quarterly revenue decline in its 23-year history, though investors still cheered its ability to reduce costs during these challenging times for PC sales. McDonald’s Corp. (MCD), AT&T Inc. (T), and Ford Motor Co. (F) were among the diverse group of companies reporting better-than-expected results, while United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), and Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL) issued disappointing numbers.

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), the subject of a recent “Buy, Sell or Hold” feature here in Money Morning, bucked the negative trend facing many retailers and posted higher quarterly earnings and revenue.

Additionally, U.S. retailers J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (JCP) and Coach Inc. (COH) each expressed positive sentiment that sales activity seems to picking up.  Oracle Corp. (ORCL) snapped up Sun Microsystems Inc. (JAVA) for $7.4 billion after IBM chose to pass, and PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) is attempting to purchase two related bottling companies as corporate execs seek favorable deals in this environment.  Such merger-and-acquisition (M&A) transactions often signal boardroom confidence and also indicate that the “worst” part of a downturn may be over.

Oil prices surged above the $51-a-barrel level late in the week as traders overlooked the higher inventory levels and instead focused on some favorable signs that the economy may be closing in on turnaround mode.

With a six-week winning streak on the line, investors offered their best “clutch hitting” late Friday, pushing all major indexes to higher levels. Early in the week, after investors digested negative news from the likes of Bank of America and GM, prognosticators said the weekly stock-market winning streak was all but over. However, some better-than-expected earnings and economic reports brought out the “bulls” for one final run.  The Nasdaq Composite Index ended the week in positive territory, and the other equity indexes were virtually flat from last week’s closing levels (with the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffering a slight decline).

Economically Speaking

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global downturn will be far worse than previously expected.  For 2009, the IMF expects the world economy to contract by 1.3%, its first such decline in 60-years, with over 10 million employees losing their jobs.  Unfortunately, its projections for the United States are even more dire (-2.8% for the year), with domestic financial institutions suffering $2.7 trillion in losses, almost twice the IMF’s prior estimates from just six months ago.

While much of the economic data of the week confirmed the IMF’s weak projection, analysts found a few positive signs that the downturn very well may have bottomed out.  While both new home sales and durable goods orders declined in March, the results beat the weaker Street expectations and came in the aftermath of some (relatively) strong February numbers.

In another promising sign of stability within the housing sector, the median price of an existing home sold in March actually rose for the second straight month.  Still, the record unemployment filings last week revealed the ongoing difficulties facing job seekers amid these tight labor conditions.  Likewise, leading economic indicators, a predictive report, dropped for the third consecutive month and many economists expect the recession to last at least until late third quarter.

Weekly Economic Calendar

Source: Controversial Stress Tests Reveal Only One Bank Needs Capital, but Worries Remain

Among the earnings season headlines: Bank of America Corp. (BAC) will be issuing its final earnings report of the pre-Countrywide Financial Corp. (CFC) merger era and investors hope that Wachovia Corp. (WB) follows in the recent footsteps of Citigroup Inc. (C) and JP Morgan’s Chase & Co. (JPM), the latter two of which both provided better-than-expected (though certainly negative) results.

Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) gives its shareholder a bit more ammunition for the never-ending Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) buyout controversy, as Yahoo execs are clearly hoping against hope some decent numbers can save their skin (musings known by the acronym “WWID” – for “What Would Icahn Do?).

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) will shed some light onto the U.S. consumer spending/retail sector pictures; however, investors should remember that those Internal Revenue Service rebate checks have likely all been spent by now. The U.S. Federal Reserve stays in the limelight as the Beige Book provides the country one more look at the mindset of U.S. policymakers.

The energy-supply data will be analyzed more closely as investors hope that prices are headed down to more manageable levels. And, of course, the Freddie Mac (FRE)/Fannie Mae (FNM) saga merits continued close scrutiny. Anyone interested in some newly issued stock of these financially strapped companies? [For a related Money Morning story containing the latest developments in the Fannie/Freddie saga, please click here.]

Last week provided investors with a nice reprieve from the daily surge in oil prices, as well as an apparent rebound in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index – out of bear-market territory. But at least with the stock-price rebound, there’s a real question about whether this represents the first leg of a new bull-market uptrend, or is just a bear-market “head fake” that will separate many investors from their money. [For a special weekend market bulletin, in which Money Morning Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald argues that last week’s reversal in trading trends was such a "head fake," please click here. The report is free of charge.]

The backdrop for such a “bear trap” was just about perfect as the week ended, for the overall investor-market mindset had shed the dire outlook of recent weeks and months. Bad earnings somehow didn’t seem so bad. Negative forecasts somehow didn’t seem so negative. Cautionary comments by the central bank didn’t translate automatically and immediately into marketplace fears. Weak economic releases somehow didn’t seem so weak. Investors departed for the weekend with a newfound confidence (or, as we fear, overconfidence). Again, this begs the question: Is this the start of a new, bullish trend, or is it just an aberration that will soon yield to a resumption of downward stock prices and rising food-and-energy costs?

Stay tuned…

Coming up in the week ahead: Leading Economic Indicators (Today/Monday), Fed Beige Book (Wednesday), Existing Home Sales (Thursday), Durable Goods Orders (Friday), New Home Sales (Friday).

Market Matters

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae stayed in the headlines last week as U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson announced plans for a “non-bailout” government bailout, complete with improved borrowing terms and an expanded line of credit (and which required congressional approval, easier said than done). By week’s end, Freddie toyed with the idea of “going at it alone” (like any good private enterprise should) and opened discussions about raising capital by offering up to $10 billion in new stock. Given the company’s current “dire” financial position, any new shares must offer great incentives to potential investors. Currently, Freddie’s outstanding preferred stock yields in the neighborhood of 14%.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) emerged from hibernation and offered a few regulatory ideas of its own. With “short interest” at all-time record levels, the SEC initiated actions aimed at limiting investors’ abilities to engage in short-selling strategies (which many observers have labeled as the “speculative excesses” that are responsible for everything from soaring energy prices to plummeting stock prices). Not be upstaged, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) took possession of IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (OTC: IDMC), another troubled institution engaged in “risky” mortgage lending, which opened again as a federally-owned institution. (So who’s next and just what will that cost the taxpayers?)

Bailouts and new regulations aside, the financial crisis still has a way to go – and possibly a very long way [To read my two-part report from last week about a Japan-style "Lost Decade" for the U.S. economy, including the investments you can make to sidestep this long malaise, please click here. Both reports are free of charge.]

In terms of earnings season, while Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), JP Morgan Chase, and Citigroup announced weaker earnings (or losses) for the last quarter, their results actually beat Wall Street’s expectations. Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (MER) helped shore up its capital position by selling its 20% interest in Bloomberg LP for roughly $5 billion. The world’s largest brokerage firm also reported its fourth-straight quarterly loss and was downgraded by Moody’s Corp. (MCO) immediately after the release. Outside of financial-services companies, airlines – Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL), Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) and American Airlines Inc. parent AMR Corp. (AMR) – did as expected in this earnings season, and reported massive losses.

Google Inc. (GOOG) and Microsoft were among the earnings-season headlines, issuing disappointing forecasts, despite reporting quarters that saw earnings jump by more than 35%. Oil-services giant Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB) reaped the benefits of higher energy prices and manufacturer Honeywell International Inc. (HON) raised its forecast for the rest of the year.

Investors enthusiastically received the positive (yet negative) earnings news from the (depressed) financials and also reacted to a pullback in oil prices. Early in the week, the dollar dropped to a record low against the euro and oil continued its endless climb. After that, however, in four consecutive trading sessions, crude plunged by more than $15 a barrel to a market price of less than $130 – its lowest-such close in more than a month.

Excellent supply reports showed that oil-and-gas inventories actually rose last week as demand slowed, given the higher prices. Mid-week, investors took the opportunity to seek out some bargains as the Dow soared close to 500 points and experienced its best two-day percentage gain since October 2002. The other indexes lagged (thanks Google), though still ended the week in positive territory. Bonds tumbled as investors unwound previous flight-to-quality trades. The week came to a close with plenty of uncertainty, but also with the slightest glimmer of hope out in the market that the financial (and oil) madness may one day come to an end (although we here at Money Morning still believe that “end” is well down the road).

Economically Speaking

News from the economic front was not quite so positive last week as those inflationary fears we’ve been warning about for more than a year appear to finally be coming to fruition.

The June Producer Price Index (PPI) rose at its fastest pace in 27 years and wholesale prices now stand more than 9% higher than they were at this time last year. Likewise, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped by 1.1% in June as energy prices skyrocketed by more than 6.5% during the month.

For those economists who choose to discount the energy statistics, core CPI experienced its worst showing since January and reflected escalating prices in airline tickets, among other areas. (Since ticket prices are directly tied to the price of jet fuel – a form of “energy price” – shouldn’t those optimistic economists factor travel out of the “core” equation as well?)

Retail sales rose by a slower-than-expected 0.1% in June, as weakness in auto sales overshadowed the consumers’ desires to spend those government rebate checks. In fact, many naysayers previously warned not to put too much stock in recent retail statistics as they are more reflective of that (temporary) economic stimulus than they are of any real motivation for consumers to shop.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chief Ben S. Bernanke was in the spotlight again last week (as he seems to be every week, these days), as he delivered his mid-year testimony to Congress and discussed the Fed’s ongoing challenges of stimulating a weak economy without prompting additional inflationary pressures. The central bank chair continued to walk a fine line between these two crises and the minutes from last month’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed the difficult balance.

While many Fed-watchers expected the next move in rates to be higher, the continued economic weakness makes a rate escalation potentially deadly to the weak economy. For now, the central bank pretty clearly believes that the best move may just be no move at all. The Fed also announced some new rules aimed at protecting residential homebuyers against the “predatory” practices of those (now defunct) mortgage originators.

These days, lenders actually may be required to verify a potential borrower’s income to determine if he or she qualifies for a loan. (What a shame IndyMac never thought of that before.)

Weekly Economic Calendar

Source: New Bull Market or Bear-Market Trap? Investors Look to Earnings Season for Clues

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Halliburton (HAL)… oil services
Patterson-UTI (PTEN)… oil services
Carbo Ceramics (CRR)… oil services
Atwood Oceanics (ATW)… oil services
Key Energy Services (KEG)… oil services
National Oilwell Varco (NOV)… oil services
Spectra Energy (SE)… gas pipelines
U.S. Steel (X)… you guessed it
Schnitzer Steel (SCHN)… scrap steel
Fluor (FLR)… infrastructure
Quanta Services (PWR)… infrastructure
Crude oil, Natural gas, Gasoline, Corn, Soybeans, Cocoa

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

JetBlue (JBLU)… airline
US Airways (LCC)… airline
Continental Airline (CAL)… airline
MGM Mirage (MGM)… casinos
Boyd Gaming (BYD)… casinos
Wynn Resorts (WYNN)… casinos
Las Vegas Sands (LVS)… casinos
Monarch Casinos (MCRI)… casinos
Winnebago (WGO)… RVs
Thor Industries (THO)… RVs
Fleetwood Enterprises (FLE)… RVs
Goodyear Tire (GT)… tires
News Corp (NWS)… media
Hershey (HSY)… candy
Playboy (PLA)… eye candy
American Express (AXP)… credit cards
Capital One Financial (COF)… credit cards
International Gaming (IGT)… gambling machines
Circuit City (CC)… landfill stuffing continues to suffer
Veolia Environnement (VE)… world’s largest water stock
Honeywell (HON)… conglomerate
General Electric (GE)… conglomerate
United Technologies (UTX)… conglomerate
XM Satellite Radio (XMSR)… satellite radio
Legg Mason (LM)… asset management
Callaway Golf (ELY)… golf equipment
Whole Foods (WFMI)… expensive groceries
General Motors (GM)… read the letter from the Chairman
Lead, Nickel

Source: Brian Hunt’s Market Notes Monday, June 30, 2008

The airline industry has been battered by the surge in oil prices. Major companies have already cut services, raised fees, and announced job losses. And share prices have collapsed since the start of the year: United Airlines (UAUA) is down a whopping 84.6%, Delta Airlines (DAL) 64.8%, Continental (CAL) 48.7% and Northwest (NWA) 58.9%.

So why invest now? Eric says a correction in crude oil prices is inevitable; and when fuel goes down, airline stocks will fly again…

Why the World’s Worst Business Is Now One of the Best Buying Opportunities on the Planet

by Eric Roseman

Skyrocketing energy prices are making the headlines almost daily since last spring. Over the last 12 months, crude oil prices have more than doubled and gas prices are heading to US$5 per gallon.

Meanwhile, out in the financial markets, investors are blindly buying energy stocks. Commodity fund managers are lunging after crude oil and natural gas futures. A full-blown mania now surrounds the energy pits.

In just about every facet of global business and consumer livelihood, high energy prices are wreaking havoc. Prices are rising, if not soaring, for most goods across the world. Oil’s ubiquitous role is forcing consumers and companies alike to boost spending, reducing discretionary income and slicing corporate profits.

Oil’s “Unstoppable” Prices Are Yesterday’s News

But surging oil is yesterday’s news. Demand destruction is underway. There will be a point when high prices finally force consumers to use less oil products, buy less gas and other distillate fuels. Granted it doesn’t seem like it, but consumers are already buying less gas since April.

What Goes Up WILL Come Down: Oil’s Path This Year

Since March 31st, crude oil prices have soared more than 35% — an astonishing rally in a short period of time. At some point, a correction looms. That’s when some sectors suffering from expensive oil will post some spectacular gains. That includes my absolute favorite contrarian play right now: Airlines.

The Worst Business in the World

Yes, I know the airline industry is arguably the worst business in the world right now.

Soaring jet fuel prices, expensive labor costs and rising airport user fees are forcing carriers worldwide to cut routes, reduce capacity, and shed labor. Many analysts forecast several big carriers, mostly in the United States, will probably collapse this year if jet fuel prices remain at these elevated levels.

In fact, you could say airline stocks have been a one-way ticket to the poorhouse lately. That’s certainly been the case over the last 18 months as input costs have surged, mainly because of a 100%-plus rally for jet fuel.

Airline stocks also earn the dubious ranking as the worst performing sector of the market over the last 12 months — even worse than the financials!

Since June 2007, the AMEX XAL Airline Index of global carriers has collapsed a formidable 62%. Over the same period, jet fuel prices have doubled. Airlines have cut capacity. Also, executives in the business are warning that we’re facing the worst economic climate for the industry since 9/11. In short, these are dark times for airline executives, employees and passengers.

Notice: It’s the Exact Opposite of Oil in the Airline Sector

How Many Airlines Do You Know that Are Raising Dividends?

Historically, I’ve avoided the airline sector like the plague. I’ve only turned bullish on this sector a handful of times in my 16-year investment career.

But at these bombed-out levels and ultra-low valuations the airlines are just too contrarian to ignore. Plus, I see a major catalyst coming for rapid price appreciation in the airlines on the heels of lower oil prices in the months to come.

I’m now buying one of the best-managed airlines in the world. This blue-chip company just raised its dividend again recently. The stock now pays an effective 8% per annum in one of the world’s strongest currencies. That yield is almost twice the rate paid by 10-year bonds in the United States and Europe.

This stock is also trading at a 52-week low, still earning profits and has most of its jet fuel hedged at about US$75 per barrel. How many airlines do you know that are still making money, yet alone raising dividend payments?

The way I see it, if oil prices suffer a 20% correction or more, which is highly likely after a nonstop blistering rally since last summer, industries leveraged to the price of oil or in this case, jet fuel, will rocket higher.

Since the advent of the sub-prime debacle in July 2007, every segment of the commodity bull market has suffered a correction — except the energy complex. The rally has literally been unstoppable so far.

Go Against the Herd for the Best Profits By Christmas

All secular bull markets face corrections — even oil. These corrections tend to be brutal. So you can expect oil prices to post a savage correction. When that happens, the industries that have been handcuffed by high oil prices will post major reversals — including the best-managed airlines.

Plus, global governments are now throwing everything they can at high oil prices, including the Saudis, so the odds of a brief respite are growing more likely by the day.

If oil prices decline, as I expect them to, then input costs for all carriers will decline markedly, if even for just several months. There is certainly enough room to juice this speculation for at least a quick 35% to 50% profit, possibly more. Plus, add some dividends into the picture, profitable earnings, and a big bear market rally and you should hit a home-run in airlines before December.

Sometimes, it pays to look the other way behind the trail of a blazing bull market in energy prices. In this case, some airlines will reward investors with big profits over the next 6-12 months. I’m betting on it.

Source: Why the World’s Worst Business Is Now One of the Best Buying Opportunities on the Planet

Crude futures encountered a volatile week last week as traders analyzed the contrasting news from aboard. On one hand, the news that Saudi Arabia may be increasing oil production and that China is hiking gasoline and diesel fuel prices should dampen demand and move prices lower. On the other hand, Israel threatened Iran’s nuclear facilities and rebels reportedly attacked a Chevron Corp. (CVX) plant in Nigeria late last week (both should contribute to higher oil prices). For now, crude stands around the $135 per barrel level.

Despite his low popularity rating, President George Bush has yet to relinquish the limelight as he blamed the Democratic Congress for the record gas prices. Playing his own political game, President Bush proposed lifting the ban on drilling in certain environmentally friendly regions, knowing full well that such an idea will be met with great resistance. He also acknowledged that such measures would have little impact on the current state of the energy sector as new drilling would take years to implement and even longer to generate any real results.

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEH) announced a startling $2.8 billion loss in the second quarter, its first since going public, though the company avoided (for now) becoming the next Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. (BSC) by raising $6 billion in new capital. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) both reported declining earnings, though each bested The Street’s already dire expectations.

Rumors have Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (MER) and Citigroup Inc. (C) taking more write-downs, negating prior speculation that the worst of the credit crisis had ended. That speculation resurfaces on a fairly regular basis, and whenever it does, we’ve emphatically told Money Morning readers to ignore it. Our view was supported this week over in Europe when analysts at Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (RBS) said looming write-offs would cause a global stock-market crash by September.

In non-financial corporate news last week, FedEx Corp. (FDX) reported a quarterly loss and projected a pretty negative outlook for 2009 due to soaring fuel costs. After its snubbing by Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) denied any interest in other Internet acquisitions at this time. Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL) and UAL Corp. (UAUA) (United Airlines) are teaming up in a “non-merger” alliance to help create new revenue sources and cost efficiencies without the risks and red-tape of a full-fledged transaction.

In the “misery-loves-company” category, the global markets struggled mightily last week as the Shanghai Composite Index fell to a 16-month low and has declined about 50% on a year-to-date basis. Likewise, indexes in Tokyo, Bangkok, and Hong Kong have followed suit.

Here at home, the Dow Jones Industrial Index plunged below 12,000 for the first time in more than three months, as rising food and energy prices and ongoing negativity from financials continued to weigh on investors. Bonds, which had come under pressure lately over future Fed policy, were the recipients of a flight-to-quality mentality as some investors sought the safe haven of the Treasury markets. For the time being, however, it’s all about those skyrocketing food and energy prices.

But then again, don’t economists always downplay “volatile food-and-energy prices” as they tell us to focus on so-called “core” inflation?

Source: All Eyes Will be on the Fed as Investors Look for Signals on Both Inflation and Interest Rates

• In reporting a $164.8 million loss (or $1 per share), electronics retailer Circuit City Stores Inc. (CC) suspended its 4-cent dividend. The company also forecast a wider second-quarter loss but said it expects a “gradual recovery” in the second half, Reuters reported.

• Mitsubishi Motors Corp. (PINK: MMTOF) plans to introduce a line of plug-in hybrids as soon as 2013. The company’s all-electric i MiEV minicar plans to be charged from a standard electric outlet. About 1,000 of them will go on sale to fleet customers starting April 1, 2009, Bloomberg reported.

• Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL) and United Air Lines Inc. announced yesterday (Thursday) that despite deciding not to merge in April, the two carriers would form an alliance that includes linking their networks and operations worldwide, The New York Times reported. As part of the deal, Continental will join the Star Alliance, of which United is already a member.

• Western oil majors will return to Iraq for the first time in 36 years, The New York Times reported yesterday (Thursday). Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), Chevron Corp. (CVX), Royal Dutch Shell PLC (ADR: RDS.A, RDS.B), BP PLC (ADR: BP) and Total SA (ADR: TOT) are at the forefront for contracts on the countries largest oil fields and are currently in talks with the government’s oil ministry, MarketWatch reported.

• Shares of Citigroup Inc. (C) dropped over 1% with a 23 cent decline to close at $20.17 yesterday (Thursday) after Chief Financial Officer Gary Crittenden said there would be “substantial” additional write-downs and losses on consumer loans, Bloomberg News reported. Citigroup has already written down $42 billion, or approximately 10% of the $396 billion in total write-downs.

• Matthew Tannin and Ralph Cioffi, two former Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. (BSC) managers, were arrested yesterday (Thursday) on securities fraud and other charges linked to the collapse of a hedge fund that bet heavily on subprime mortgages before the market collapsed, The Associated Press reported. The FBI announced Thursday that it had arrested about 300 real estate industry players since March.

• Transocean Inc. (RIG) said yesterday (Thursday) that BP PLC (ADR: BP) extended an ultra-deepwater drilling contract for five more years, The Associated Press reported. The extension for the semi-submersible vessel GSF Development Driller II begins in November and is expected to generate up to $1.06 billion in revenue over the life of the contract.

• Bank of America Corp. (BAC) expects to complete its acquisition of mortgage lender Countrywide Financial Corp. (CFC) by July 1, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters yesterday (Thursday). Bank of America has agreed to pay about $4 billion for Countrywide.

Source: Global Investing Roundups: Friday, June 20th, 2008

• Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL) became the latest airline to announce reduced flight service and jobs cuts yesterday (Thursday). Continental will eliminate 3,000 jobs and 16% of its flight capacity, The New York Times reported. The cost cutting efforts follow similar moves from UAL Corp.’s (UAUA) United Airlines, Northwest Airlines Corp. (NWA) and Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL).

• France Telecom SA (ADR: FTE) announced yesterday (Thursday) that it was pursuing a $42 billion bid for Sweden’s TeliaSonera AB (PINK: TLSNF), The Associated Press reported. TeliaSonera dismissed the initial offer as too low, but France Telecom reported it has the backing of the French government and could up its bid.

• The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) announced yesterday (Thursday) that both the percentage of loans in foreclosures, as well as the number of foreclosure starts, climbed to levels not seen since 1979, MarketWatch reported. For one- to four-unit properties, 2.47% of all mortgages outstanding were in foreclosure, up from 2.04% in the fourth quarter, according to the MBA’s latest National Delinquency Survey. At the end of first quarter 2007, only 1.28% of such homes were in foreclosure.

• The number of U.S. citizens filing first time unemployment claims fell last week, the Department of Labor said yesterday (Thursday). Initial jobless claims decreased by 18,000 to 357,000 in the week that ended May 31, the lowest level in more than a month, due in part to the Memorial Day holiday, Bloomberg News reported.

• Stocks in China fell to a six-week low Thursday (yesterday) on speculation that the government would tighten prices to curb inflation. The move that would shave profits from the country’s commodity titans. The CSI 300 Index, which tracks 300 stocks traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen, fell 1 percent to close at 3,512.14, the lowest since April 23, Bloomberg reported.

• The U.S. government announced yesterday (Thursday), via the Department of Justice, that it is suing Honeywell International Inc. (HON) for selling material used in bulletproof vests that it alleges was defective, The Associated Press reported. According to the DOJ, Honeywell had scientific data that showed the ballistic material, known as Zylon, “degraded quickly over time, especially in hot and humid conditions,” leaving the vests unfit for use. The department also alleges that Honeywell failed to notify the government or the vest manufacturer, Armor Holdings Inc., of the defect.

• E.I. Du Pont De Nemours & Co. (DD), commonly known as DuPont, said yesterday (Thursday) that it is targeting a 40% increase in soybean and corn yields over the next 10 years through its Pioneer Hi-Bred unit, according to Thomson Financial. The company expects DuPont Agriculture & Nutrition segment sales to grow by 6% to 8% and earnings by more than 15% on average between 2007 and 2010.

• Swiss pharmaceutical maker Novartis AG (ADR: NVS) spent nearly $1.3 million lobbying the U.S. government in the first quarter on drug and health care issues, according to a recent disclosure form, The Associated Press reported. Novartis lobbied on bills designed to ensure the government has a sufficient stockpile of influenza vaccine in case of an outbreak.

Source: Global Investing Roundups: Friday, June 6th, 2008

I managed to pack in four barbecues (or “cookouts” to put it in American lingo) over the weekend – all pretty close to home – so not too much damage done. And with soaring gasoline and food prices contributing to a projected 3.6% rise in consumer prices this year, it might be the best way to go.

Gas prices obviously remain front-and-center of the news, so let’s check in and see how it’s affecting consumers on both sides of the Atlantic, plus an industry that is arguably getting hammered even harder.

National Average Gas Price

Following a daily march higher over the past three weeks, the current national average gas price per gallon sits at an ugly $3.93. But with gas in 11 US states already over $4 a gallon, this number is now more for headlines than anything else. Bottom line: It’s expensive!

Little wonder that AAA projected a drop in Memorial Day travelers this year – the first decline since 2002. Many have also scaled back their plans, due to rising gas prices. And MasterCard reported a 7% drop in gas sales in the week leading up to the holiday.

But it wasn’t just Americans feeling the pressure at the pump this weekend…

Truck JamLike in the US, Monday was also a holiday in Britain, with the long weekend giving Brits a similar chance to hit the road for a short break.

Trouble is, UK gas prices are 17% higher than this time last year, with diesel prices almost 30% higher. The national average is currently $1.14 a liter and $1.26 a liter respectively. In US terms, that’s about $10.16 and $11.23 per gallon.

You can see why 16% of respondents to an Automobile Association survey said they plan to use their cars less.

What bothers many Brits, though, is that about 60% of fuel costs go into the government’s coffers in taxes. And today, the nation’s truckers took their protest to the streets.

In a mass demonstration against high prices and the government’s planned 2 pence per liter fuel tax rise (set to come into effect in October, having been postponed from April), hundreds of truckers set off from various parts around the UK and conducted a “go-slow” along the motorways.

One convoy ended at London, where the truckers handed a petition to the government at Downing Street. The other convoy, starting from further afield, handed its petition to the Welsh Assembly in Cardiff because (ironically), the trip to London would have cost too much.

The underlying problem that the trucking industry faces today is certainly not exclusive to Britain, though. High fuel prices are hammering both British and American truckers. So could America see a similar backlash?

America’s Big Rigs Have Big ProblemsActually, it already has. You may remember some truckers driving their rigs to the Capitol in Washington, D.C. in early April to protest against high fuel prices and imploring Congress to provide some relief measures.

You can see why. While diesel prices are up 30% in Britain over the past year, the price has blasted 80% higher in the US – from $2.50 a gallon this time last year to $4.50 today, according to the New York Times.

When it costs $1,125 to fill up a 250-gallon fuel tank, that clearly crushes any kind of profit margin that trucking companies hope to generate.

In fact, the American Trucking Association says times are so tough today that during the first quarter, 935 companies with fleets of five trucks or more went out of business. That’s up an astonishing 143% from the 385 in Q1 2007 – and is the worst quarterly “bust rate” since 2001.

In total, 45,000 trucking vehicles have permanently pulled off America’s highways since early 2007, according to America’s Commercial Transportation Research.

The domino effect of this is far-reaching. Reduced profits can erode employee wages, decrease supplies of goods, and create more potential for failing companies. In turn, that can cause bankruptcy and dents GDP growth.

So is there a way to play these developments?

Hit The Road (The Railroad, That Is)In a desperate attempt to offset some of the costs, some trucking firms are turning to rail companies.

While trucks can only haul so much and are directly impacted by rising gasoline costs, rail companies can absorb soaring oil prices more easily, as they can haul more goods. A few of the biggest names in this area include:

Burlington Northern Sante Fe (NYSE: BNI) – a firm that Warren Buffett has invested heavily in… Union Pacific Corp (NYSE: UNP)… and CSX Corp (NYSE: CSX).

All three are also members of the Dow Jones Transportation Average (^DJT), which is a remarkable story itself…

Transports Bust The TrendRemarkably, despite the march in oil prices to over $130 a barrel, that hasn’t stopped the Dow Transports from surging, too.

This is a major reversal in the historical trend. Oil prices and the Dow Transports usually move in opposite directions – and you’d think that with fuel being the biggest expense for Transportation Index companies and high oil prices pressuring so many areas of the transportation sector, the index that represents these firms would also be under severe pressure.

Not so. The DJT is actually up 15% in 2008, and as my colleague Jim Stanton reported in his bi-weekly “Sector Watch” column last Monday (May 19), the index raced to an all-time high of 5,550.17 on the same day. Jim applied some technical analysis to the index – and how to play the next move profitably through the index’s ETF – so take a look.

With the index made up of airlines like American (NYSE: AMR), Continental (NYSE: CAL), JetBlue (Nasdaq: JBLU) and Southwest (NYSE: LUV), plus shipping companies FedEx (NYSE: FDX) and UPS (NYSE: UPS) – all of which are buckling under the weight of high oil and gas prices – economists are now hotly debating whether it’s throwing the market a curveball.

Traditionally seen as a sign of US economic strength and turnarounds, the fact that the index is soaring while consumers and the economy are struggling is a source of confusion.

Continental’s management ended months of speculation by announcing that a merger with troubled United would do more harm than good, even with the intense pressure airlines are under due to record high oil prices and the competitive threat posed by the recent deal between Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corp. (NWA).

“The risks of a merger at this time outweigh the potential rewards,” Chief Executive Officer Larry Kellner said in a letter. “While some would prefer to see Continental pursue a merger, we strongly believe we have made the right decision.”

As for the niche carrier Eos, in grounding itself it joins Skybus Airlines, Aloha Airgroup Inc.’s Aloha Airlines and ATA Airlines Inc., which have already ceased operations, as well as U.S. charter operator Champion Airlines, which announced plans to stop flying at the end of May.

Frontier Airlines Holdings Inc. (FRNT) also has filed for bankruptcy protection, but at this time plans to keep flying.

The Eos downfall was “no surprise,” Calyon Securities airline analyst Ray Neidl told The Associated Press. “We saw it happen with other smaller, undercapitalized airlines. Basically, there are too many airlines. We’re in a period of consolidation. The weaker guys, [facing] $120-a-barrel oil, are finally succumbing.”

With jet fuel the single largest expense for carriers, merging to capitalize on economies of scale makes sense. And as the world’s new largest carrier, the Delta/Northwest merger now has the competitive advantage.

But while Continental still might be able to go it alone – even against a stronger potential rival – United is in a much weaker financial position and needs a partner. The carrier wasted no time in turning its attentions to U.S. Airways Group Inc. (LCC).

“Consolidation is under way – ensuring you have the right partner is everything,” United Airlines Chief Executive Glenn Tilton said in a statement. “We will pursue all options to ensure a strong, sustainable future for our airline.”

While talks with U.S. Airways are not yet at the advanced stage United had reached with Continental, management is doing its best to accelerate discussions, hoping to finalize any deal before the end of the year – and before there’s a possible change in the political party in the White House.

When it comes to mega-mergers – and industry consolidations in which there might be a perceived decline in competition – the Bush administration is seen as being more of a proponent for deals that require Justice Department approval in order to proceed.

Analysts say that U.S. Airways and United could mesh well due to similar pay structures and complementary fleets. In addition, United and U.S. Airways are both members of the Star global marketing alliance.

Bigger is Better

Atlanta-based Delta announced it would buy the Eagan, Minn.-based Northwest for $3.63 billion, all in stock, creating a single carrier with a combined enterprise value of $17.7 billion.

Delta Chief Executive Richard Anderson will be chief executive officer of the combined company. Delta Chairman Daniel A. Carp will become chairman of the new Board of Directors.

The carriers decided to go ahead with a merger despite being their respective pilot’s unions being unable to come to agreement. Delta’s 7,000 pilots endorsed the deal by supporting a new labor agreement that includes an equity stake.

While Northwest’s 5,000 pilots will be asked to join a contract before the deal closes, the union is expected to oppose deal after the unions could not agree on how to assign pilot seniority – a key determinant of shifts, pay scale and what airplanes they fly – in the new organization.

It is expected that the Delta/Northwest merger will be approved later this year.