Here’s how this rain affects consumers and investors: The states of Iowa and Illinois are the world capitals of corn production. Over 27 million acres there are devoted to growing corn. They anchor production for the world’s top corn-exporting nation. All that rain keeps farmers out of the field and damages the crop. Corn soared 11% this week as a result.

The most active corn contract has increased 86% in the past year. Corn is the chief feedstock for cattle, pigs, and chicken. It’s a primary ingredient in soda pop and cereals. To learn just how pervasive corn is in your life, we recommend reading the excellent book, The Omnivore’s Dilemma. Read it and
get ready to pay out the nose for food…

Brian Hunt

Source: Soon You’ll Pay Even More for Food

MarketWatch reports that corn stocks are set to suffer because US farmers are cutting back corn acreage this spring to grow more soybeans.

Corn futures for July delivery today closed down 1 cent at $6.2925 a bushel. The contract had ended Thursday’s session at $6.3025 a bushel, an all-time high.

Meanwhile, the price of hogs has barely inched its way higher in the last two years — it’s risen by a measly 17% since the beginning of 2006. When you adjust for inflation, hogs are only up 9.9%. So it’s not difficult to see how spiraling corn prices will play havoc with livestock prices — particular hogs and cattle.

“The prices of all commodities – and corn in particular – have soared, but hogs remain as cheap as ever,” says Ian Davis in The Growth Stock wire.

“Hogs, like most commodities, went nowhere for 30 years. In 1977, hogs sold for about 55.5 cents per pound. Today hogs sell for only about 79 cents per pound. That’s a rise of 42% in 31 years, or an annualized return of 1.1%… well below the inflation rate.

“But now, the brutal combination of pricey corn, increased energy costs (for processing and shipping), and cheap hogs is wreaking havoc on hog farmers worldwide.

“This trend cannot continue. Hog farmers are not running charities. When the input costs for hog producers soar, the price of hogs must also rise. By buying hogs, we are piggybacking (excuse the pun) on the uptrend in agriculture and crude oil.”

Read on here to find out what livestock ETF Ian recommends to his readers to profit from corn’s upswing.

Tom Dyson also thinkswe’re approaching a major bull move in hogs and cattle.

“When the gold price rises jewelry gets more expensive,” says Tom in DailyWealth. “It’s the same way with farm animals. When the corn price rises, livestock must get more expensive. Corn has doubled in the past 18 months, but livestock prices are still in the same range they were six years ago. They will catch up with corn.

“Here’s how you play it: Buy a livestock ETF. Two trade in London under the symbols CATL.L and HOGS.L. They track the Dow Jones AIG sub-indexes for live cattle and hogs.

AP reports that grain prices ended mixed last week on the Chicago Board of Trade. However, livestock prices rose, with beef and pork futures climbing on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange — a strong indicator that a livestock ETF may be a great way to cash in on the ongoing surge in food prices.

“Two years ago,” explains quant expert Ian Davis in The Growth Stock Wire, “making money was simple…You just grabbed a newspaper, closed your eyes, and randomly pointed to a commodity… any commodity.

“But a few commodities are being left behind…

“The price of hogs has barely inched its way higher in the last two years. In fact, it’s risen by a measly 17% since the beginning of 2006. When you adjust for inflation, hogs are only up 9.9%.

“But now, the brutal combination of pricey corn, increased energy costs (for processing and shipping), and cheap hogs is wreaking havoc on hog farmers worldwide.

“This trend cannot continue. Hog farmers are not running charities. When the input costs for hog producers soar, the price of hogs must also rise. By buying hogs, we are piggybacking (excuse the pun) on the uptrend in agriculture and crude oil.

Read on to find out what livestock ETF Ian recommends to profit from this uptrend.

What we’re thinking about is that we have entered a much more dangerous and troublesome period in world financial history. The planet was leveraged up. Now it is going to be de-leveraged.

We have been talking about the battle between the forces of inflation and the forces of deflation. It is not clear which way it will go…or when. The feds – who favor inflation – seem to have the upper hand one week. The next week, Mr. Market – who seems to have thrown his lot in with the force of deflation – seems ahead on points.

Meanwhile, many of the foot soldiers are lost, separated from their units…shooting at their own men…and often blowing themselves up. Many don’t know which side they are on and are willing to switch sides at any minute. But in the fog of war you always get a lot of people bumping into one another. That’s why we get such peculiar reports from the front – such as when the feds cut short rates (which is inflationary)…but long rates nevertheless go up (which is deflationary). Or when the unemployment numbers go up (which is deflationary)…causing the dollar to fall (because investors expect another inflationary rate cut!)

No, we don’t know exactly which way it will go (so don’t ask us when gold will hit $2,000…or when the Dow will break below 10,000). But it scarcely matters. Because, we’re like the innocent civilians caught in the crossfire. Sooner or later, our assets are going to be shot down…and our liabilities are going to blow up. In other words, dear reader, this is not a war in which you should try to speculate on which side will win…this is a time to keep your head down.

It’s a Liquidation War…in which mistakes will be corrected BOTH by inflation and deflation. Take stock prices, for example. Our guess is that they’ll be taken down – either by inflation or deflation, or both. Prices will fall either in nominal terms, in other words, or relative terms. Already, adjust the Dow to the price of gold, or wheat, or oil, or copper and you get a very different picture. Instead of being flat over the last 10 years…the Dow is down a half to two-thirds.

“It’s the Greater Depression,” said Doug Casey at dinner Monday night, with a satisfied look on his face. “I’ve been expecting it for a long time. I was a little early. But now, it seems to be finally getting going.”

What happens in a Greater Depression? We don’t know, but we think we’re going to find out.

And we imagine its most important feature will be a general markdown of debt and the relative value of Western assets – stocks, houses, currencies, and labor. The East and developing world is on the rise; even if it stays put, the West, in relative terms, will sink.

Some assets will go into default – which is what is happening in the financial industry lately. UBS (NYSE:UBS) alone has lost 38 billion. Hedge funds are going broke. And the captains – present and past – of the financial industry are pointing fingers at each other.

Many people say we’ve seen the bottom for equities, and the financial sector in particular. Maybe in nominal terms. And maybe in the East and the developing world. But in America, in real, inflation-adjusted terms, we’d expect more of a selloff. The S&P is still selling for more than 18 times earnings; there is still plenty of room on the downside.

The financial sector looks particularly bad; there’s probably a lot more bad news coming. And since it was the big winner for the 25 years, it probably needs a bear market of at least 5 or 10 years. At the beginning of the boom in finance, which began roughly during the first Reagan Administration, people still wanted their children to grow up to be doctors, lawyers and businessmen. At the end of it, every mother’s son was encouraged to into ‘finance.’

But now, the bubble in finance is over. It will probably take many years before values appear and prices begin to rise – just look at what has happened in the NASDAQ. Or look at our favorite example – Japan. Many people thought Japanese stocks were a once-in-a-lifetime bargain after the Nikkei Dow crashed in 1990. Well, they’re an even bigger bargain today!

*** “Señor Bonner…I have to tell you. I won’t be able to work here any more.”

Francisco, who has been our ranch foreman, quit. He explained why:

“There’s no money in cattle now. So my father sold our ranch over in Angustura. We’re buying a big farm in Bolivia. It’s about 7,500 acres. Very rich. And with lots of water. It’s not in the high part of the country. It’s out on the eastern plain, where the Amazon begins.

“The place we’re getting is practically virgin land. It was farmed many years ago, and then abandoned. I don’t know why. And we’re going to plant soybeans. You just stick the seeds in the ground; three months later you have a crop you can market. And with prices this high, we can’t resist.

“Farming soybeans is about the easiest farming there is. You only have to go out to the farm a couple of times. And you don’t need any labor – it’s all mechanized. Labor is cheap in Bolivia, but it’s still a lot easier when you don’t have to deal with farm labor. And now with these genetically modified plants, it makes it easy to kill the weeds. We just spray herbicide from the air; it kills everything but the soybeans, because they’ve been modified to resist it.

“We’re going to plant about 1,000 acres this spring. Then, we’ll add another 1,000 next year. Some of the land is still covered by jungle. It’s just the opposite of here. Here it never rains. There, they get plenty of rain. We would plant more land, but the Bolivian government has banned clearing any more jungle. At least, there’s some restriction on it.

“And in Bolivia, the government lets you sell your crop on the world market, without taking half of it. [He was referring to the Argentine government's 49% tax on soy exports].

“Everybody is planting soybeans. But I’m not worried about the price going down. It can fall in half, and we’d still make money.”