All Posts Tagged With: "commodities prices"

Who’s Really Behind Skyrocketing Oil and Commodities Prices?

American consumers are feeling the pain both at the pump and in the grocery store. Meanwhile with real full-time unemployment rates climbing towards 10%, penny-pinching consumers are wondering just who is to blame.

Is the Fed to Blame for Chinese Inflation?

Last year, China was viewed as the driver behind rising commodities prices.

Now the blame for spiraling food and oil prices is increasingly being laid at the door of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke for cutting the fed funds rate to 2% and unleashing yet another wave of inflationary surplus liquidity.

The fallout is now being seen as India, China, the Philippines and Indonesia hike their own interest rates to rein in rising prices.

Consumer prices jumped 7.7% last month, down from 8.5% in April, but inflation there remains top of the list of economic concerns.

Gold Prices Fall to Lowest Level in a Week

A strengthening dollar and a drop in oil prices caused spot gold prices to fall more than 2% today – its lowest level in a week, according to Thomson Reuters.

Dan Denning in The Daily Reckoning Australia doesn’t think this is a cause for concern: “After regrouping, shaking out the weak hands, and giving the dollar its due, gold is on the march again.

India and Other Emerging Economies Continue to Struggle With Inflation

India’s wholesale price index rose 7.82% for in the week ended May 10, the Ministry of Commerce and Industry reported. It marked the 13th straight week that the inflation rate has been above the central bank’s 5.5% target, highlighting the increased pressures many developing nations are under given soaring commodities prices.

What Commodities Bubble?

Although it’s tempting to describe sky-high commodities prices as being the latest ‘bubble’ to hit the markets, for commodities such as crude oil and corn, basic supply and demand may be pushing up prices. This from The Wall Street Journal:

Prices, to be sure, are soaring — crude oil fetched $132.19 a barrel in New York on Friday, up 103% from $64.97 a year earlier. Yet crude has posted similarly massive increases a number of times in the past three decades. Most notably, in the spring of 1980, as gasoline lines lengthened, the price of crude oil was 150% above the year-before level.

Brazilian Government Bond Yield Stays Put

The yield on the Brazilian government’s zero-coupon bond due January 2010 was little changed at 14.32 percent, according to a report on Bloomberg.

More from this story:

Brazil’s interest-rate future yields rose after Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA, the country’s second-biggest non-government bank, boosted its forecast for central bank interest-rate increases.

Emerging Markets Investments Soar on Commodities Boom

Emerging markets investments are soaring on the back of the ongoing global commodities boom. This morning in New York, MSCI’s benchmark Emerging Markets Index (MSCI EM) reached a fresh 2008 record of 1246.85, close to 8% below its all-time high last November.

Speaking to Thomson Reuters, Matthias Siller, an emerging markets investment strategist at Baring Asset Management said, “You can make a strong case that emerging markets are well-placed in any scenario going forward – many of them are enjoying a commodities boom and many of their companies are ridiculously cheap at current valuations.”

“As long as we’re seeing strong commodity prices, the implication is that the emerging markets are still growing. The supply constraints in commodities are here for at least several more years, so these stocks should continue to do well,” said Walter Hellwig, who helps oversee $30 billion at Morgan Asset Management in Birmingham, Alabama, speaking to Bloomberg.

“The combined gross domestic product of the four BRIC [Brazil, Russia, India and China] nations made up 12% of global GDP last year”, says Profit Watch editor Manraaj Singh.

“That’s up from just 8% in 2000. That’s impressive enough, but these countries still have a long way to go. Goldman Sachs predicts that the BRIC economies, as a whole, could overtake the G7 countries by 2035. Most of us will be around to see that happen. The rapid rise of the BRICs has been fantastic news for early investors in those markets. In the past two years, shares in the BRIC nations have risen by 70% – and that’s after the recent declines. The average increase in emerging markets overall was 42%.”

Investors need to be aware of the risk posed by emerging markets investments, says Money Week editor Merryn Somerset Webb.

“In April, the Brazilian central bank hiked rates by 0.5% to 11.75%, and with growth strong, inflation back to 4.7% and inflation expectations rising steadily, rates may have to go higher than the 13% economists are penciling in.

“As the past year has shown, Brazil will not be immune to a likely relapse in global markets amid fears over the American and global economies – note that the Bovespa index is highly cyclical, with the energy and materials sectors comprising 60% of the index. There will probably be better long-term buying opportunities in the months ahead.”

Wheat Prices Set to Spike as UN Warns of Disease Threat

Wheat prices may be set for a major spike after a UN warning that a new “highly pathogenic strain of wheat stem rust called Ug99″ threatens 25% of the world’s wheat crops.

This from The World Tribune:

Scientists and international organizations focused on controlling wheat stem rust have said 90 percent of world wheat lines are susceptible to Ug99. The situation is particularly critical in light of the existing worldwide wheat shortage.

The Next Big Thing

As times change, so do trends. In the old days, the louder and more powerful your car, the better. Now, green is the name of the game and everyone wants to drive super quiet, efficient hybrids.

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