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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; continued unemployment claims</title>
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		<title>What Record Unemployment Means for Macy’s (M)</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/what-record-unemployment-means-for-macy%e2%80%99s-nysem/13503</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/what-record-unemployment-means-for-macy%e2%80%99s-nysem/13503#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 16:18:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Charles Delvalle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chart of the Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Delvalle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[continued unemployment claims]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macys Inc.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Us Gdp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US unemployment crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wal Mart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WMT]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=13503</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This recession isn’t like anything we’ve seen previously. Even I’ve cut back on the egregious amount of fast food dining I do in the face of deflation.</p>
<p>And although you hear about layoffs, most people simply don’t understand the scope of these layoffs. That is until now…</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/021209_cod.jpg"></a></p>
<p>This is a chart of Initial and Continued Employment Claims which I grabbed from <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/">www.calculatedriskblog.com.</a></p>
<p>As you can see, continued jobless claims have now eclipsed the peaks we saw during the mid-70’s and early-80’s recessions. Yet we are still expected to continue seeing heavy job losses throughout the remainder of the year.</p>
<p>There’s no way you can expect consumer spending (which makes up 70% of GDP) to rebound until jobs start being created again. That means high-end&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This recession isn’t like anything we’ve seen previously. Even I’ve cut back on the egregious amount of fast food dining I do in the face of deflation.<span id="more-13503"></span></p>
<p>And although you hear about layoffs, most people simply don’t understand the scope of these layoffs. That is until now…</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/021209_cod.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-13506" title="021209_cod" src="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/021209_cod.jpg" alt="021209_cod" width="600" height="398" /></a></p>
<p>This is a chart of Initial and Continued Employment Claims which I grabbed from <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/">www.calculatedriskblog.com.</a></p>
<p>As you can see, continued jobless claims have now eclipsed the peaks we saw during the mid-70’s and early-80’s recessions. Yet we are still expected to continue seeing heavy job losses throughout the remainder of the year.</p>
<p>There’s no way you can expect consumer spending (which makes up 70% of GDP) to rebound until jobs start being created again. That means high-end retailers like <strong>Macy’s (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=m">M</a>)</strong> which used to see a lot of sales from the middle-class over the past few years, should continue to see shares slide as the middle class tightens up and starts shopping at places like <strong>Wal-Mart (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=WMT">WMT</a>)</strong> instead.</p>
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