Sound the alarm bells! A collision with reality is dead ahead!

The elephant in the room blasted out a mighty honk last weekend in a report by Access Economics, as reported in today’s Australian. “Batten the hatches,” Access says. “This is not just a recession. This is the sharpest deceleration Australia’s economy has ever seen.” Access adds that the federal budget is “buggered.”

“Leading economic forecaster Access Economics warns in its quarterly Business Outlook, released today, that the nation’s economic boom will ‘unwind scarily fast’, halving corporate profits, costing more than 300,000 people their jobs and blowing out the current account deficit to more than $100 billion.”

Dire stuff indeed. But the question from last week remains, is this massive dose of negative…

Government bonds flourished as commodities and equities plunged in 2008. But Theo Casey says a new bull market in corporate bonds could soon take its place. As investors seek higher returns than Treasuries, demand for high-grade corporate debt, particularly if backed by the government, could soar.

This year’s healing process will begin in the credit – not equity – markets, says Eric Roseman. Even if a big bear market rally emerges, uncertainty and volatility will still plague stock markets. Meanwhile, investors in high-grade corporate bonds can receive historically high dividend payments while they wait for prices to recover.

Diversification proved largely futile in 2008, as assets across the board came crashing down. But the right combination of hedges and ’safe havens’ can still return big profits, says Eric Roseman. He gives three investments that every portfolio should include in 2009.

Income is vital for investors right now, says Eric Roseman. He says investors should begin to accumulate long-term positions in “busted” credit markets. Investment-grade corporate debt currently offers great yields and, in some cases, is government-guaranteed. These bonds may not have bottomed out yet, but now is the perfect time for value investors to test the waters.

Steve McDonald looks ahead to the investment climate in the new year. He sees a bounce in the Dow reaching as high as 11,000. But an economic recovery will depend on whether the Obama administration can restore confidence in the public. For 2009’s top money-makers, Steve picks six high-dividend stocks and two corporate bond plays.

Friday FY08 Week 49: Quote of the week: Every tree and plant in the meadow seemed to be dancing, those which average eyes would see as fixed and still. – Jalāl ad-Dīn Muhammad Rūmi

Here are four thoughts to trip over as we round yet another sharp corner on the path to economic recovery.

GM is essentially already bankrupt, says Horacio Marquez. And it has been for years. This clearly makes the company one to avoid for investors. But Horacio says there are still some ways for those with a big risk appetite to make big profits with the giant automaker.

Weak auctions for government bonds strengthen the case to buy high-grade corporate paper, says Eric Roseman. Many of the world’s top companies have stronger balance sheets than governments. And the coming tidal wave of T-bonds means corporate bond yields may never be this high again.

Tuesday’s mega-rally will have many investors itching to get back into the stock market. But Eric Roseman says chasing a short-term bounce could be a big mistake. Similar up-crashes during the Great Depression were followed by prolonged downturns. But Eric says this could be a good time to “nibble” at some quality blue chips or non-Treasury bonds.