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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Crude Stocks</title>
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		<title>Oil Slips Below $69 on Equities</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-slips-below-69-on-equities/20292</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2009 19:00:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bnp Paribas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Information Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Futures]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil prices fell below $69 a barrel on Tuesday as economic concerns sent investors into safer havens, outweighing positive U.S. manufacturing and home sales data.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for October delivery fell $1.39 to $68.57 a barrel by 1:32 p.m. EDT (1732 GMT).</p>
<p>London Brent crude dropped $1.38 to $68.27.</p>
<p>U.S. stocks dropped as investors&#8217; confidence in the economic recovery wavered.</p>
<p>&#8220;The dollar is strengthening and equities are coming off hard so (oil futures) did the same,&#8221; said Tom Knight, trader at Truman Arnold in Texarkana, Texas.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar rose as the slide in the U.S. stocks boosted the currency&#8217;s safe-haven appeal.</p>
<p>Oil futures had risen earlier in the day as the market focused on a report showing a jump in U.S. manufacturing and pending home sales.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil prices fell below $69 a barrel on Tuesday as economic concerns sent investors into safer havens, outweighing positive U.S. manufacturing and home sales data.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for October delivery fell $1.39 to $68.57 a barrel by 1:32 p.m. EDT (1732 GMT).</p>
<p>London Brent crude dropped $1.38 to $68.27.</p>
<p>U.S. stocks dropped as investors&#8217; confidence in the economic recovery wavered.</p>
<p>&#8220;The dollar is strengthening and equities are coming off hard so (oil futures) did the same,&#8221; said Tom Knight, trader at Truman Arnold in Texarkana, Texas.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar rose as the slide in the U.S. stocks boosted the currency&#8217;s safe-haven appeal.</p>
<p>Oil futures had risen earlier in the day as the market focused on a report showing a jump in U.S. manufacturing and pending home sales.</p>
<p>&#8220;It looks like the whole complex is failing to sustain the gains &#8230; basically, the market&#8217;s not done yet on the downside,&#8221; said Tom Bentz, senior commodity analyst, BNP Paribas Commodity Futures Inc in New York.</p>
<p>Oil has risen from a low of $32.40 in December, helped by economic recovery optimism that lifted global stocks &lt;.MIWD00000PUS&gt; to 10-month highs last month.</p>
<p>U.S. DATA</p>
<p>Oil traders will look for fresh direction from U.S. weekly crude stockpiles data.</p>
<p>Analysts expect the data to show a 600,000-barrel fall in U.S. crude stocks following an increase in refinery utilization, a preliminary Reuters poll of analysts showed.</p>
<p>The American Petroleum Institute (API) will release its weekly inventory report at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release its data on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT.</p>
<p>Adding to already high inventories, OPEC has reduced its compliance with agreed production curbs, a Reuters survey on Tuesday found.</p>
<p>OPEC supply in August rose for a fourth consecutive month as Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and Venezuela increased their production, taking overall output discipline to 68 percent from a revised 70 percent in July.</p>
<p>The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meets on Sept. 9 in Vienna to reconsider its output policy.</p>
<p>Sept 1 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>U.S. Crude Stocks Rise Unexpectedly</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-crude-stocks-rise-unexpectedly/20138</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2009 15:45:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gasoline Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economic Slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opec]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell to near $71 a barrel on Wednesday, extending hefty losses from the previous session, as rising stockpiles of U.S. crude outweighed positive economic data.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for October fell 79 cents to $71.26 a barrel by 12:40 p.m. EDT (1640 GMT), after falling $2.32 on Tuesday. Brent crude fell 49 cents to $71.33 a barrel after losing $2.44 the previous day.</p>
<p>The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical arm of the Department of Energy, reported on Wednesday that crude stocks in the world&#8217;s largest energy consumer rose by 200,000 barrels last week.</p>
<p>While the build in crude stocks was nowhere near as large as the 4.3 million rise reported by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday, it still confounded initial market predictions&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell to near $71 a barrel on Wednesday, extending hefty losses from the previous session, as rising stockpiles of U.S. crude outweighed positive economic data.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for October fell 79 cents to $71.26 a barrel by 12:40 p.m. EDT (1640 GMT), after falling $2.32 on Tuesday. Brent crude fell 49 cents to $71.33 a barrel after losing $2.44 the previous day.</p>
<p>The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical arm of the Department of Energy, reported on Wednesday that crude stocks in the world&#8217;s largest energy consumer rose by 200,000 barrels last week.</p>
<p>While the build in crude stocks was nowhere near as large as the 4.3 million rise reported by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday, it still confounded initial market predictions for a 1.1 million barrel drop.</p>
<p>&#8220;We remain in a situation of massive over-supply, which is off the charts, but it does appear to be peaking,&#8221; Summit Energy analyst Brad Samples said.</p>
<p>Gasoline stocks fell by 1.7 million barrels last week according to the EIA, against expectations for a smaller 1 million barrel drop, while distillates rose by 800,000 barrels compared with predictions for a 300,000 barrel build.</p>
<p>SELL-OFF?</p>
<p>Investors took the opportunity to lock-in profits on Tuesday after crude touched the key psychological $75 mark for the first time since last October, crowning a near 130 percent jump in prices from the lows at the turn of the year.</p>
<p>Some analysts said the failure to break through the key level may signal that prices have topped out, with demand for oil still depressed by the global economic slowdown and signs of a broad recovery still murky.</p>
<p>&#8220;The price action of the past 24 hours would appear to favor additional price declines,&#8221; said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch &amp; Associates.</p>
<p>Prices took some support from U.S economic data released on Wednesday showing a mild recovery in the housing market, but earlier data on durable goods orders suggested lingering weakness in the manufacturing sector.</p>
<p>Equity markets were mixed with Wall Street edging higher while European bourses generally dipped, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.</p>
<p>Venezuela&#8217;s oil minister Rafael Ramirez said OPEC is unlikely to raise output at its September meeting, despite concerns from some quarters that oil prices are too high for a still fragile global economy.</p>
<p>&#8220;Inventories have declined but they remain above average. We need for them to come down to the average levels,&#8221; Ramirez said.</p>
<p>Another member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Iran, said oil demand was set to increase next year by up to 1 million barrels per day after this year&#8217;s sharp decline.</p>
<p>Aug 26 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>Oil at One-month High Near $72 on Economy Prospects</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-at-one-month-high-near-72-on-economy-prospects/19627</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 17:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Of Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brent Crude]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Prices]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil rose more than $2 to hit a one-month high near $72 on Monday as positive Chinese economic data and firmer equities bolstered hopes of economic recovery and higher energy demand.</p>
<p>U.S. crude rose as much as $2.37 to hit $71.82 a barrel, the highest since July 1. By 1351 GMT, it was trading $1.73 higher at $71.18.</p>
<p>Brent crude gained $1.46 to $73.16.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are getting close to the resistance area for crude oil and we need the continued support of equities,&#8221; said Olivier Jakob, an analyst at Petromatrix. &#8220;As long as this continues, the dips are going to be bought.&#8221;</p>
<p>European shares hit a new high for 2009, led by banks. U.S. stocks opened higher.</p>
<p>The latest gain in oil prices brings oil within sight&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil rose more than $2 to hit a one-month high near $72 on Monday as positive Chinese economic data and firmer equities bolstered hopes of economic recovery and higher energy demand.</p>
<p>U.S. crude rose as much as $2.37 to hit $71.82 a barrel, the highest since July 1. By 1351 GMT, it was trading $1.73 higher at $71.18.</p>
<p>Brent crude gained $1.46 to $73.16.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are getting close to the resistance area for crude oil and we need the continued support of equities,&#8221; said Olivier Jakob, an analyst at Petromatrix. &#8220;As long as this continues, the dips are going to be bought.&#8221;</p>
<p>European shares hit a new high for 2009, led by banks. U.S. stocks opened higher.</p>
<p>The latest gain in oil prices brings oil within sight of the 2009 high of $73.38 set in June, where Jakob and other analysts who use past price moves to predict direction see key resistance that prices could struggle to rally beyond.</p>
<p>On Friday, crude rallied almost 4 percent as data showed the U.S. economy shrank at a smaller-than-expected 1 percent annualised pace in the second quarter, raising hopes the recession was easing.</p>
<p>The market climbed about 2 percent last week &#8212; the third straight week of gains &#8212; which helped to reverse steep losses in the middle of the month and brought July&#8217;s monthly decline to a marginal 0.6 percent.</p>
<p>&#8220;The U.S. growth number has confirmed that the worst is behind us and the focus now is to find out how quick the recovery will be,&#8221; said Ben Westmore, a commodities analyst at the National Bank of Australia.</p>
<p>China&#8217;s crude stockpiles in June, including both state strategic and commercial reserves, declined 2.7 percent from a month earlier, the first fall in four months, China OGP, a newsletter run by Xinhua, reported on Monday.</p>
<p>Analysts said a weak dollar, which slid to its lowest point this year on Monday against a basket of currencies amid increased risk appetite, would offer support to oil.</p>
<p>Supply curbs by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries since last year in response to falling demand have helped crude rally from below $33 in December.</p>
<p>However, output from 11 members from the OPEC rose slightly in July, lowering its compliance rate to its agreed supply curb to 71 percent from 72 percent in June, a Reuters survey showed.</p>
<p>LONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>Oil Falls Below $65 on U.S. Stock-build</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-falls-below-65-on-us-stock-build/19326</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 14:30:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil Futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Consumer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U S Energy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell below $65 a barrel on Wednesday, curbing a week of gains after data showing an unexpected rise in U.S. crude stocks suggested demand in the world&#8217;s top energy consumer was still weak.</p>
<p>The market awaited U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data due at 1430 GMT to see if they would confirm the trend from Tuesday&#8217;s American Petroleum Institute (API) figures.</p>
<p>U.S. crude oil for September delivery was down 90 cents at $64.71 a barrel by 1407 GMT, having fallen to a low of $63.76. London Brent crude for September lost 50 cents to $66.37.</p>
<p>The fall followed five days of rises that had pushed U.S. crude oil futures up more than 10 percent in just a week.</p>
<p>&#8220;The market has exhausted itself&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell below $65 a barrel on Wednesday, curbing a week of gains after data showing an unexpected rise in U.S. crude stocks suggested demand in the world&#8217;s top energy consumer was still weak.</p>
<p>The market awaited U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data due at 1430 GMT to see if they would confirm the trend from Tuesday&#8217;s American Petroleum Institute (API) figures.</p>
<p>U.S. crude oil for September delivery was down 90 cents at $64.71 a barrel by 1407 GMT, having fallen to a low of $63.76. London Brent crude for September lost 50 cents to $66.37.</p>
<p>The fall followed five days of rises that had pushed U.S. crude oil futures up more than 10 percent in just a week.</p>
<p>&#8220;The market has exhausted itself and needs to pause,&#8221; VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said in a research note. &#8220;Today, all attention will be on the weekly U.S. fuel inventories.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose unexpectedly last week as domestic refining activity slumped, the API said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Commercial oil inventories jumped 3.1 million barrels to 349.883 million barrels, reversing a stretch of weekly declines triggered by thin import levels and defying analyst expectations for a 2.1 million barrel drop.</p>
<p>A Reuters survey of 15 analysts forecast the EIA would report a drop in crude oil inventories as slow imports countered a decline in refining activity.</p>
<p>HIGH STOCKS</p>
<p>But refined products supplies were expected to have risen, despite the lower domestic refinery capacity use.</p>
<p>Global oil inventories are at historically high levels, equivalent to around 62 days of forward demand by the industrialised countries of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).</p>
<p>Robert Montefusco, broker at Sucden Financial in London, said oil came under additional pressure on Wednesday after disappointing results from U.S. bank Morgan Stanley .</p>
<p>Morgan Stanley reported its third consecutive quarterly loss on Wednesday, saddled with a charge related to repaying government loans and the accounting impact of improvement in its debt prices.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are not getting to much help from the stock market,&#8221; Montefusco said. &#8220;We&#8217;ve had some poor figures from Morgan Stanley so that has put pressure on stocks and oil too.&#8221;</p>
<p>But data showing apparent oil demand in the world&#8217;s second-largest energy user rose for the third month in a row offered some support.</p>
<p>China&#8217;s implied oil demand in June rose 1.8 percent over a year ago, Reuters calculations from official data showed on Wednesday.</p>
<p>July 22 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>Largest Gold ETF Reports Fresh Outflow</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/largest-gold-etf-reports-fresh-outflow/19321</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 14:00:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Comex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dxy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Etf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spot Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U S Gold]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Gold held just under $950 an ounce today, Wednesday, as the dollar steadied against a basket of currencies with weakness in the euro underpinning prices, but gains were capped by lack of physical demand for the metal.</p>
<p>A slide in oil prices is also undermining support for gold, analysts said.</p>
<p>Spot gold was at $947.85 an ounce at 1402 GMT, against $948.15 an ounce late in New York on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were up $1.30 at $948.20 an ounce.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are stuck in a range,&#8221; said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at MKS Finance in Geneva. &#8220;We have to break below $944 or above $955 in order to see some interest&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gold held just under $950 an ounce today, Wednesday, as the dollar steadied against a basket of currencies with weakness in the euro underpinning prices, but gains were capped by lack of physical demand for the metal.</p>
<p>A slide in oil prices is also undermining support for gold, analysts said.</p>
<p>Spot gold was at $947.85 an ounce at 1402 GMT, against $948.15 an ounce late in New York on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were up $1.30 at $948.20 an ounce.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are stuck in a range,&#8221; said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at MKS Finance in Geneva. &#8220;We have to break below $944 or above $955 in order to see some interest in the market.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;With stocks opening lower and the euro not performing that (well), gold could test the lower end of its range,&#8221; he added.</p>
<p>The dollar &lt;.DXY&gt; was steady versus a basket of six major currencies on Wednesday, with the euro declining and the yen firming, as risk appetite worsened after a weak earnings report from Morgan Stanley .</p>
<p>A weaker dollar supports commodities priced in the U.S. unit, such as gold, as it makes them cheaper for holders of other currencies.</p>
<p>Oil also slipped on Wednesday, falling below $65 a barrel, as a surprise rise in U.S. crude stocks pressured prices. U.S. stock markets opened weaker, but soon pared losses.</p>
<p>Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet said $960 an ounce was proving to be a major resistance level for gold prices.&#8221;I would look towards the dollar for any major moves in gold,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our view for currencies is that the euro will reach $1.50 towards the end of the year. If that is going to be the case, I don&#8217;t think $960 is going to hold as a strong resistance.&#8221;</p>
<p>Gold last stood above $960 in early June.</p>
<p>SOFT DEMAND</p>
<p>The world&#8217;s largest gold exchange-traded fund recorded a further outflow on Tuesday. The fund, New York&#8217;s <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:GLD">SPDR Gold Trust </a>, has sold nearly 39 tonnes of gold in the last four weeks, equal to almost 3.5 percent of its total holdings.</p>
<p>Jewellery demand in India, the world&#8217;s largest gold consumer, remained slack as buyers awaited lower prices, while jewellers in Thailand cashed in their bullion on Wednesday after prices broke through $950 an ounce.</p>
<p>Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong, said buying had been muted since gold hit five-week highs earlier this week. &#8220;Maybe people think the stock market is more attractive,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>Among other precious metals, silver was at $13.52 an ounce against $13.54, platinum was at $1,164.50 an ounce from, $1,169, and palladium was at $254 against $253.50.</p>
<p>Impala Platinum , the world&#8217;s number two platinum miner, closed parts of its Rustenburg mine in South Africa after an accident killed nine workers.</p>
<p>&#8220;The National Union of Mineworkers is calling for Implats&#8217; entire operations to be shut down and investigated,&#8221; said Fairfax analyst John Meyer in a note. &#8220;Should industrial action follow, then there could be some impact to platinum prices.&#8221;</p>
<p>Elsewhere in South Africa, gold producers raised their pay offer for miners on Tuesday, averting possible strike action for now, according to the mineworkers&#8217; union.</p>
<p>South Africa was the world&#8217;s number three gold miner in 2008 after China and the United States, metals consultancy GFMS said.</p>
<p>July 22 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>US Crude Stocks Down Sharply, Products Jump</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-crude-stocks-down-sharply-products-jump/18307</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 15:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Agip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fuel Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gasoline Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opec]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Royal Dutch Shell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swiss Franc]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil prices fell on Wednesday as the stronger dollar and rising U.S. product stocks outweighed supply concerns from Nigeria.</p>
<p>U.S. gasoline stocks rose by 3.9 million barrels in the week to June 19, well above analysts&#8217; forecasts, as refiners cranked up output in the midst of the summer driving season.</p>
<p>Distillate stocks hit 10-year highs, while crude stocks showed a steep drop.</p>
<p>U.S. crude traded down 55 cents to $68.69 per barrel at 2:00 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), reversing earlier gains. London Brent crude fell 49 cents to $68.31 a barrel.</p>
<p>&#8220;Crude futures are back down on the weight of a stronger dollar,&#8221; said Mark Waggoner, Excel Futures President from Huntington Beach, California. &#8220;The EIA inventory report also showed large increases in gasoline and distillate stocks&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil prices fell on Wednesday as the stronger dollar and rising U.S. product stocks outweighed supply concerns from Nigeria.</p>
<p>U.S. gasoline stocks rose by 3.9 million barrels in the week to June 19, well above analysts&#8217; forecasts, as refiners cranked up output in the midst of the summer driving season.</p>
<p>Distillate stocks hit 10-year highs, while crude stocks showed a steep drop.</p>
<p>U.S. crude traded down 55 cents to $68.69 per barrel at 2:00 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), reversing earlier gains. London Brent crude fell 49 cents to $68.31 a barrel.</p>
<p>&#8220;Crude futures are back down on the weight of a stronger dollar,&#8221; said Mark Waggoner, Excel Futures President from Huntington Beach, California. &#8220;The EIA inventory report also showed large increases in gasoline and distillate stocks and that&#8217;s dragging down crude.&#8221;</p>
<p>The U.S. dollar rose broadly and jumped against the Swiss franc as traders reported the Swiss National Bank was intervening in the market by selling the currency for dollars and euros. The rising dollar can pressure commodities denominated in the greenback.</p>
<p>Optimism over a potential economic recovery boosting flagging fuel demand has lifted oil prices from below $40 a barrel.</p>
<p>However, crude imports by No. 3 consumer Japan fell by 18.8 percent in May against last year, according to government data. EIA data showed total U.S. demand down 6.6 percent in the four weeks to June 19, compared with year-ago levels.</p>
<p>GEOPOLITICAL CONCERNS</p>
<p>Multiple militant attacks on pipelines and oil installations in OPEC member Nigeria recently have forced production stoppages at sites run by Agip , Chevron and Royal Dutch Shell , stoking supply concerns.</p>
<p>A senior official said Nigeria&#8217;s president will propose a 60-day amnesty program for militants in the Niger Delta on Thursday, in an effort to end years of attacks on Africa&#8217;s biggest oil and gas industry.</p>
<p>Traders were also keeping an eye on the worst civil unrest in 30 years in Iran, the world&#8217;s fifth-largest oil exporter, over a disputed presidential election.</p>
<p>Iran&#8217;s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei declared on Wednesday that a disputed election result would stand.</p>
<p>NEW YORK, June 24 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>Oil Rises above $68, Dollar Supports</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-rises-above-68-dollar-supports/18214</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:55:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Api]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diesel Fuel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gasoline Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London Brent Crude]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Stocks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=18214</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil rose above $68 a barrel on Tuesday, reversing earlier losses, supported by a weaker dollar and ahead of inventory data expected to show a fall in crude stocks.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for August was up 58 cents at $68.08, by 1212 GMT, off an earlier low of $66.37. U.S. crude for July delivery expired on Monday, settling down $2.62 at $66.93 a barrel.</p>
<p>London Brent crude rose 48 cents to $67.46.</p>
<p>The dollar fell more than 0.5 percent against a basket of currencies on Tuesday. A lower dollar can strengthen commodities denominated in the currency.</p>
<p>The market awaited U.S. weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute due later on Tuesday and U.S. government oil stocks figures on Wednesday for clues on the demand outlook for&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil rose above $68 a barrel on Tuesday, reversing earlier losses, supported by a weaker dollar and ahead of inventory data expected to show a fall in crude stocks.</p>
<p>U.S. crude for August was up 58 cents at $68.08, by 1212 GMT, off an earlier low of $66.37. U.S. crude for July delivery expired on Monday, settling down $2.62 at $66.93 a barrel.</p>
<p>London Brent crude rose 48 cents to $67.46.</p>
<p>The dollar fell more than 0.5 percent against a basket of currencies on Tuesday. A lower dollar can strengthen commodities denominated in the currency.</p>
<p>The market awaited U.S. weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute due later on Tuesday and U.S. government oil stocks figures on Wednesday for clues on the demand outlook for the world&#8217;s top energy consumer.</p>
<p>A Reuters poll of analysts ahead of the government inventory data forecast crude stocks fell by 1.3 million barrels last week on lower imports, while gasoline stocks and distillates, including heating oil and diesel fuel, were seen rising.</p>
<p>The API will release its weekly stockpile data at 2030 GMT, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its report on Wednesday at 1430 GMT.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Oil Slips Below $44 on Expectations of Demand Fall</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-slips-below-44-on-expectations-of-demand-fall/14576</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2009 13:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Domestic Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Information Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro Zone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Equities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fuel Consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London Brent Crude]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Slips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opec]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell more than a dollar to below $44 on Thursday as a record drop in euro zone economic performance heightened expectations that fuel consumption would shrink further. </p>
<p> Oil prices had surged nearly 9 percent in the previous session due to a surprise drop in U.S. crude stocks, which may indicate a recovery in demand in the top energy consumer. </p>
<p> But data showing euro zone gross domestic product (GDP) fell by a record 1.5 percent in the last quarter of 2008, as exports and household demand collapsed, forced traders to refocus on falling global consumption.<br />
</p>
<p> &#8220;The economic outlook is still pretty grim and I don&#8217;t think these bits of bullish data are enough to counteract this in the short-term,&#8221; Christopher Bellew&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil fell more than a dollar to below $44 on Thursday as a record drop in euro zone economic performance heightened expectations that fuel consumption would shrink further. </p>
<p> Oil prices had surged nearly 9 percent in the previous session due to a surprise drop in U.S. crude stocks, which may indicate a recovery in demand in the top energy consumer. </p>
<p> But data showing euro zone gross domestic product (GDP) fell by a record 1.5 percent in the last quarter of 2008, as exports and household demand collapsed, forced traders to refocus on falling global consumption.<br />
</p>
<p> &#8220;The economic outlook is still pretty grim and I don&#8217;t think these bits of bullish data are enough to counteract this in the short-term,&#8221; Christopher Bellew at Bache Commodities said. </p>
<p> U.S. crude  slipped $1.51 to $43.87 a barrel by  1224 GMT, after earlier hitting a month high of $45.70, while  London Brent crude  fell $1.63 to $44.49. </p>
<p> Oil prices gained some support from remarks by China&#8217;s Premier Wen Jiabao on Thursday that the No. 2 oil consumer would achieve 8 percent growth this year &#8212; a level considered key to maintain employment growth &#8212; despite the deepening global recession. </p>
<p>China&#8217;s gauge of the health of its manufacturing sector, the purchasing managers&#8217; index (PMI), gained for the third month in a row in February, suggesting the domestic economy, and oil demand, could be recovering.</p>
<p> The U.S. Energy Information Administration said crude stocks declined by 700,000 barrels last week, while gasoline demand rose 2.2 percent from a year ago, as lower prices boosted consumption.<br />
</p>
<p> Traders were also eyeing the release of a raft of economic data in the U.S., including jobless benefit claims and January factory orders, for clues on the health of the world&#8217;s largest economy.<br />
</p>
<p> </p>
<p> TO CUT OR NOT TO CUT? </p>
<p> Oil prices have traded in a narrow band near $40 since mid-December, caught between slumping demand and the possibilty of further OPEC output cuts when the group meets on March 15. </p>
<p> &#8220;The market is still rangebound as any bullish news has been kept in check by the global economic meltdown,&#8221; Bank of Ireland analyst Paul Harris said. </p>
<p> &#8220;But the next OPEC meeting is coming into focus, and they will probably have to act to convince the market they are really serious about continuing to restrict production.&#8221; </p>
<p> OPEC planned to lower oil output by 4.2 million barrels per day from production levels in September, in a bid to boost falling prices, and a Reuters survey found OPEC members had already met at least 81 percent of their target. </p>
<p> Angola, which currently holds the presidency of the 12-member group, will not advocate further production cuts when the group meets on March 15 in Vienna, OPEC sources said on Wednesday.<br />
</p>
<p> But Venezuela, Algeria and Libya have raised the possibility  of a further cut. </p>
<p>March 5 (Reuters)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Oil Pushes above $40 as Equities Rally</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-pushes-above-40-as-equities-rally/14148</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 12:00:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=14148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil held above $40 a barrel on Wednesday after a 4 percent rally in the previous session, as equities gained and investors looked ahead to U.S. inventory data expected to show rising supplies. </p>
<p> Crude&#8217;s advance on Tuesday stemmed from Wall Street gains sparked by reassuring comments from Fed Chief Ben Bernanke, while President Barack Obama said the United States would emerge stronger from the economic slump. </p>
<p> &#8220;The equities rally is supporting the market,&#8221; said Tony  Machacek, a broker at Bache Commodities Ltd. </p>
<p> U.S. crude  was up 20 cents to $40.16 by 0948 GMT.  Brent , trading at an atypical premium to U.S. crude because high U.S. inventories are weighing on the U.S. benchmark, was up 1 cent to $42.51. </p>
<p> Oil&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil held above $40 a barrel on Wednesday after a 4 percent rally in the previous session, as equities gained and investors looked ahead to U.S. inventory data expected to show rising supplies. </p>
<p> Crude&#8217;s advance on Tuesday stemmed from Wall Street gains sparked by reassuring comments from Fed Chief Ben Bernanke, while President Barack Obama said the United States would emerge stronger from the economic slump. </p>
<p> &#8220;The equities rally is supporting the market,&#8221; said Tony  Machacek, a broker at Bache Commodities Ltd. </p>
<p> U.S. crude  was up 20 cents to $40.16 by 0948 GMT.  Brent , trading at an atypical premium to U.S. crude because high U.S. inventories are weighing on the U.S. benchmark, was up 1 cent to $42.51. </p>
<p> Oil has fallen from a record high near $150 reached last summer, battered by the recession and weakening global fuel demand which forecasters such as the International Energy Agency predict will contract in 2009. </p>
<p> The price of oil has become closely intertwined with equities, a barometer of economic sentiment, in recent months. European stocks were up more than 1 percent on Wednesday, following gains in Asia. </p>
<p> Bernanke signaled on Tuesday that U.S. banks should be able to weather the downturn without being nationalized. But Obama tempered his message of hope with a warning that America faces a &#8220;day of reckoning&#8221; for its past excesses. </p>
<p> Attention will focus later in the session on the latest  snapshot of oil supplies in the United States. </p>
<p> The U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its weekly inventory report at 1530 GMT, which is expected to show that crude stocks probably rose 1.4 million barrels last week.<br />
</p>
<p> American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday showed crude stocks rose 341,000 barrels last week. Oil traders consider the EIA data gives a fuller picture because energy firms are required to respond to its weekly survey. </p>
<p> Also supporting oil were figures earlier this week showing higher-than-expected compliance by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to agreed production cuts. </p>
<p> OPEC oil ministers meet to set policy on March 15, and the group is expected to consider deepening its output cuts. </p>
<p>LONDON, Feb 25 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>Oil Slips Below $36 as Demand Outlook Worsens</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-slips-below-36-as-demand-outlook-worsens/13480</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 12:09:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bnp Paribas]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Global Energy Demand]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Retail Sales Data]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Eyes on U.S. jobless and retail sales data at 1330 GMT&#8230; U.S. crude stockpiles rise more than expected&#8230; IEA cuts global oil demand forecast&#8230; </p>
<p>Oil slipped further below $36 a barrel on Thursday as worries over the health of the global economy and forecasts for a hefty fall in global energy demand weighed on sentiment. </p>
<p> Global economic downturn is taking its toll on oil consumption and supply still appears to be outstripping demand in many parts of the world, despite production cuts by members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. </p>
<p> Oil prices continued to weaken despite a deal in the U.S. Congress on Wednesday on $789 billion in new spending and tax cuts. </p>
<p> U.S. light crude for March&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Eyes on U.S. jobless and retail sales data at 1330 GMT&#8230; U.S. crude stockpiles rise more than expected&#8230; IEA cuts global oil demand forecast&#8230; </p>
<p>Oil slipped further below $36 a barrel on Thursday as worries over the health of the global economy and forecasts for a hefty fall in global energy demand weighed on sentiment. </p>
<p> Global economic downturn is taking its toll on oil consumption and supply still appears to be outstripping demand in many parts of the world, despite production cuts by members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. </p>
<p> Oil prices continued to weaken despite a deal in the U.S. Congress on Wednesday on $789 billion in new spending and tax cuts. </p>
<p> U.S. light crude for March delivery  was down 54 cents  at $35.40 at 1124 GMT. </p>
<p> London Brent crude  was up 21 cents at $44.49,  stretching its premium over U.S. oil to near the record levels  above $9 hit last month. </p>
<p> Traders said the short-term direction of the market was being dominated by movements in stock markets, which opened lower in Europe on Thursday, and the dollar, which rose against a basket of major currencies. </p>
<p> &#8220;Overall the market appears to be slipping,&#8221; said a dealer at a large London brokerage. &#8220;Oil demand is falling and a lot of attention is being paid to macro-economic data.&#8221; </p>
<p> </p>
<p> U.S. JOBLESS </p>
<p> Traders awaited U.S. weekly jobless claims and January retail sales data due at 1330 GMT on Thursday, which will give a clearer indication of how the U.S. economy is faring. </p>
<p> Oil has tumbled around 10 percent this week, having fallen four sessions in a row since last Friday, on demand worries and fears the U.S. bank rescue plan would not go far enough to revive the ailing financial sector. </p>
<p> Oil prices took a battering on Wednesday after the U.S. Energy Information Administration said domestic crude stocks had increased 4.7 million barrels to 350.8 million in the week to Feb. 6, against a forecast for a rise of 3.1 million. </p>
<p> The latest increase in U.S. crude stocks comes on the heels of a combined rise of more than 13 million barrels in the prior two weeks, and crude inventories are now moving significantly above their five-year range. </p>
<p> Oil&#8217;s losses were further exacerbated by a separate report from the International Energy Agency forecasting global demand to contract by nearly a million barrels per day (bpd) &#8212; the most since 1982 &#8212; to 84.7 million bpd in 2009.<br />
</p>
<p> Underlining the damage caused by the global financial crisis, data showed global trade activity in goods and commodities had dropped. </p>
<p> The March Brent ICE futures contract expires on Thursday and traders said they expected the premium for Brent over U.S. crude futures, also known as WTI, to stretch further, reflecting very high stock levels at Cushing, the delivery point for the U.S. futures contract. </p>
<p> &#8220;We are probably going to see WTI maintain or worsen its discount to Brent,&#8221; said Harry Tchilinguirian, analyst at BNP Paribas in London. </p>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<p> LONDON, Feb 12 (Reuters)</p>
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