Oil hovered around $61 a barrel as worry about the strength of global fuel demand was offset by news of strong economic growth in China.

The U.S. dollar initially fell to a six-week low against major currencies after JPMorgan’s reported record investment banking and trading results, providing further evidence of recovery in the financial system, but weak U.S. manufacturing data and concern about the impact of the possible failure of U.S. lender CIT re-introduced a bid for safer-assets.

CIT’s talks about aid with the U.S. Treasury ended Wednesday night, leaving the lender to its own devices, and endangering the future of some of the one million customers of the lender to small businesses. U.S. Treasury debt prices rallied after three days of falls partly on a resulting flight-to-safety bid

A fall in a reading of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s index of business conditions in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region to minus 7.5 in July from minus 2.2 the month before also helped push up bond prices.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 20/32 in price to yield 3.53 percent. The 2-year U.S. Treasury note was up 4/32 in price to yield 0.96 percent.

“We are in a difficult position at the moment because we are caught on the cusp between is this a sense of sustainable recovery or a possibility of a relapse?” said Richard McGuire, fixed income strategist at RBC Capital Markets in London.

“There’s no real convincing evidence yet on either side,” he said.

European shares hit a one-month closing high on improved sentiment following JPMorgan’s results and data that showed the number of U.S. workers claiming new jobless benefits fell last week.

But U.S. stocks faltered after a run-up this week that pushed the benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500 Index up 6.1 percent, the best three-day rally following a surge after U.S. equities hit a decade low in March.

Shortly after 1 p.m. (1700 GMT), the Dow Jones industrial average was up 3.18 points, or 0.04 percent, at 8,619.39. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 1.30 points, or 0.14 percent, at 931.38. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 3.41 points, or 0.18 percent, at 1,866.31.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 0.4 percent higher at 866.81 points, fourth straight advancing session.

The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week to their lowest since January, but the seasonally adjusted government data was again distorted by earlier layoffs in the automotive industry.

“There’s a lot of conflicting data here, and I think that the market is reflecting that,” said Kim Caughey, senior equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh.

Asian shares across the region outside of Japan rose 1.3 percent to their highest since mid-June, while Japan’s benchmark Nikkei underperformed with a rise of 0.8 percent.

China reported economic growth quickened to 7.9 pct in the second quarter, beating forecasts.

The U.S. dollar was down against a basket of major currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index off 0.02 percent at 79.299.

The euro was up 0.14 percent at $1.4124, while against the yen, the dollar was down 0.74 percent at 93.56.

Crude oil prices fell as investors tried to decide how high oil prices can rise given a still fragile global economy, said Mike Fitzpatrick, vice president at MF Global in New York.

U.S. light sweet crude oil fell 49 cents to $61.05 a barrel.

“$60 is the fulcrum balancing the price lever that tips whenever one contention or another is bolstered by news or economic data,” Fitzpatrick said.

Gold slipped as the dollar pared losses against the euro, with lacklustre demand for physical stocks of the metal also pressuring prices. Spot gold prices fell $1.20 to $937.25 an ounce.

NEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters)

News about a planned U.S. stimulus package helped pull investors into the dollar on Monday but U.S. Treasury prices slumped on fears a price bubble is about to pop in the face of a massive wave of fresh debt.

European equities advanced for the fifth session in a row, spurred by gains in shares of oil companies on the back of rising crude prices. U.S. stocks were mostly lower as investors took profits on the rally that was racked up in thin trading last week.

Oil prices hit a three-week high as Israel’s deepening incursion into Gaza and a Russian gas dispute heightened fears about supplies.

Prospects for a swelling supply of government debt drove U.S. and euro-zone prices down. The U.S. Treasury said it would sell $16 billion of reopened 10-year notes and $30 billion in three-year notes this week.

While the issuance was broadly in line with market forecasts, it underscored this year’s looming surge of debt that will to fund government efforts to rescue the financial system.

U.S. President-elect Barack Obama plans $310 billion in tax cuts as part of a rescue package of up to $775 billion, senior Democratic aides said Sunday. German Chancellor Angela Merkel met her Social Democrat (SPD) coalition partners to discuss a second fiscal stimulus deal worth up to 50 billion euros ($68 billion).

The 30-year Treasury bond fell nearly three full points in price, pushing its yield up to 2.92 percent, up from a record low near 2.52 percent in December.

“The back-up in yields shows a growing sentiment toward questioning the lower rate environment we are in right now,” said George Goncalves, chief Treasury/TIPS and agency strategist with Morgan Stanley in New York.

The euro hit three-week lows versus the dollar, with weaker-than-expected Italian and Spanish inflation data and tax cuts in Germany expected to pressure the European Central Bank to soon cut rates further.

U.S. stocks fell as investors took profits following last week’s sharp gains.

“Right now we’re just watching and waiting to see if there is any news from the new administration and what type of news it will be,” said Frank Lesh, a futures analyst and broker at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago. “We got a little bit of profit taking here,” he added.

Shares of Apple Inc rose after chief executive Steve Jobs wrote a letter aimed at dispelling investor concerns about his recent weight loss. Shares of the iPod maker rose 4.4 percent to $94.75 in early afternoon trade.

Before 1 p.m., the Dow Jones industrial average was down 79.09 points, or 0.88 percent, at 8,955.60. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 3.27 points, or 0.35 percent, at 928.53. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 8.52 points, or 0.52 percent, at 1,623.69.

European equity markets were buoyed by the anticipation of further fiscal stimulus, drawing flows away from the safer-haven of government bonds.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 1.9 percent higher at 873.01 points.

The telecommunications sector was one of the biggest gainers on the index on the first full day of 2009 trading for many, with Swisscom (SCMWY) rising 5.2 percent, Cable and Wireless adding 4.6 percent, Vodafone (VOD) up 4.3 percent and Portugal Telecom (PT) rising 4.6 percent.

Sharp losses for the euro, which was down 2.28 percent at $1.3559, also spread to euro/sterling, taking it to 0.9278, well away from record lows for the pound last week and easing momentum towards parity.

The dollar rose against a basket of major trading-partner currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index up 1.74 percent at 82.923. Against the yen, the dollar rose 1.31 percent at 93.43 from a previous session close of 92.220.

Longer maturity government debt fell, but shorter-term debt was little changed to higher. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell 34/32 in price to yield 2.47 percent, and the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond fell 102/32 in price to yield 2.94 percent.

Oil rose, and has gained more than 35 percent since Israel launched its attack on Gaza on Dec. 27, increasing concerns about the supply of crude from the Middle East.

U.S. light sweet crude oil rose $1.11 to $47.45 a barrel.

U.S. gold futures dropped, breaking below $850 an ounce, as investors took profits on the back of a dollar rally and signs of slowing physical demand.

Spot gold prices fell $22.45 to $852.60 an ounce.

Asian stocks rose to a two-month high on hopes massive government spending programs will revive a global economic recovery later this year.

The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan climbed 1.6 percent to a two-month peak, while Japan’s Nikkei average gained 2.1 percent in a shortened session to reach a two-month high.

NEW YORK, Jan 5 (Reuters)

U.S. stocks fell sharply on Friday in response to a grim U.S. jobs report that sent bond prices higher in Europe and pushed the price of crude down to $42 a barrel as prospects for the world’s economies darkened.

European shares extended losses in afternoon trade as investors reeled at U.S. government data showing a loss of 533,000 jobs in November, the weakest performance in 34 years.

Oils and bank stocks led the decline in Europe, while oil and defense stocks pushed the Dow down in the United States.

The dollar fell to a seven-week low against the yen but rose against the euro as investors once again sought shelter in the U.S. currency.

“When you see such a shocking employment number, you realize the devastating effect that can have on household demand,” said Henk Potts, equity strategist at Barclays Stockbrokers in London.

Shortly after opening, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 67.30 points, or 0.80 percent, at 8,308.94. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 6.59 points, or 0.78 percent, at 838.63. The Nasdaq Composite Index  was down 10.73 points, or 0.74 percent, at 1,434.83.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index was down 3 percent at 797.26 points.

Euro zone government bond futures extended gains to a fresh session high, pushing the 10-year cash yield below 3 percent after the worse-than-expected U.S. jobs report.

The 10-year Bund yield fell to the session low of 2.988 percent, down 9 basis points on the day.

However, U.S. government debt prices fell after the dismal labor report in a sign investors are reluctant to buy government debt with yields at the lowest in over 50 years.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was down 19/32 in price to yield 2.62 percent. The 2-year U.S. Treasury note fell 3/32 in price to yield 0.86 percent.

“We’re already at (yield) levels we’ve never seen before. It’s just difficult to continue buying Treasuries at these prices,” said Kim Rupert, managing director of global fixed income analysis at Action Economics in San Francisco.

November’s job losses were the steepest since December 1974, when 602,000 jobs were shed, Labor Department data showed, and were much worse than forecast by analysts polled by Reuters who had predicted a reduction of 340,000 jobs.

The dollar rose against a basket of major currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index up 0.61 percent at 87.142. Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.01 percent at 92.16.

The euro fell 0.66 percent at $1.2686.

U.S. light sweet crude oil was off 54 cents at $43.13 a barrel, after earlier touching $42 at one point.

Many dealers and analysts expect oil to test the psychologically important $40 a barrel level fairly soon as evidence mounts of a significant decline in oil demand in all the major developed economies.

Spot gold prices fell $13.85 to $751.80 an ounce.

Asian shares edged higher overnight, with the MSCI index of Asian shares outside Japan  rose 0.2 percent, but trimmed gains after the U.S. employment report. The Nikkei average slightly lower, down 0.1 percent.

By Herbert Lash
NEW YORK, Dec 5 (Reuters)

U.S. stocks were mostly higher in thin trade on Friday, as investors eyed retail sales on the first day of the shopping season after the Thanksgiving Day holiday, to gauge the extent of weakening consumer demand.

European and Asian shares were also higher, despite the attacks in Mumbai, India, while U.S. Treasury debt prices and the U.S. dollar both gained as investors continued to look for safe-havens as global economic growth slows.

“It’s a light volume day so you’re going to see some choppy trading, with so many people out,” said Robert Finkel, consumer trader at Stifel Nicolaus in Baltimore of the U.S. stock market.

“I’m watching how things go from a retail standpoint today – we’ve heard a lot of speculation about how bad it’s going to be, now we’ll get some proper feedback.”

The U.S. holiday weekend will test the strength of consumer sentiment, a main driver of the U.S. economy, as the country faces its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. If the U.S. consumer fails to buy, companies across the globe can expect to see fewer exports and profits.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 32.42 points, or 0.4 percent, to 8,759.03. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.66 points, or 0.1 percent, at 888.34. The Nasdaq Composite Index shed 11.99 points, or 0.8 percent, to 1,520.11.

The S&P’s retail index dipped 2.3 percent.

The U.S. stock market was closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and is trading for half the day on Friday. On Wednesday, stocks ended higher, capping the Dow’s biggest four-day percentage gain since 1932.

Technology shares slid after signs of a downturn in global chip demand as STMicroelectronics cut its fourth-quarter outlook. Industry sources said Taiwan companies want to slash costs. The semiconductor index shed 1.1 percent.

OPEC MEETS

U.S. light crude for January delivery stood at $51.52 a barrel, down $2.90, on course to end the month down more than 20 percent, as OPEC ministers prepared to meet in Cairo to discuss potential further supply cuts to combat a global fall in demand .

In the U.S. Chevron fell 1.9 percent tracking oil lower.

Indian stocks ended higher despite the attacks in Mumbai, but India’s 10-year bond yield fell to its lowest level in three years on expectations that the attacks will an impetus to central bank interest rate cuts.

Globally, the MSCI all-country world index was 0.1 percent firmer, although it has gained more than 10 percent this week, the first weekly gain in four weeks.

“On a range of measures, there is undoubted value to be found in many of the world’s equity markets,” said Sarah Arkle, chief investment officer with Threadneedle Asset Management.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 was up 0.7 percent, as buoyant pharmaceutical shares eclipsed a drop in cyclical mining and industrial sectors.

Earlier, Japan’s Nikkei average climbed 1.7 percent to close out its best week in a month.

The U.S. dollar regained traction against major currencies after early losses. The euro lost 1.8 percent to $1.2656 . The dollar was flat at 95.36 yen .

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes traded higher in price for a yield of 2.9673 percent. The benchmark yield, which moves inversely to prices, fell to as low as 2.82 percent on Friday, according to Reuters data, marking the lowest in at least five decades.

Overall, benchmark yields are on track for the biggest monthly fall in at least 12 years, according to Reuters data, as investors have stampeded into lower-risk investments on signs of ever-deepening economic distress. The 10-year yield has shed more than a full percentage point since the end of October.

Euro zone government bonds rose, reflecting concern about the economy and expectations of interest rate cuts. Two-year Schatz yields were last down 3 basis points to 2.202 percent.

By Nick Olivari
NEW YORK, Nov 28 (Reuters)