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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Diamond Etf</title>
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		<title>How to Profit from a Sliding DJIA</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-profit-from-a-sliding-djia/14086</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-profit-from-a-sliding-djia/14086#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 17:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Charles Delvalle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chart of the Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2002 bear market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Delvalle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crisis Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diamond Etf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diamonds trust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[djia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[etf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vix]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=14086</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Dow can drop for a ton of reasons – from <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/what-general-business-conditions-tell-you-about-the-market/13754" target="_blank">business conditions deteriorating</a> to the <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/use-fear-to-your-advantage-with-the-sp-500-volatility-index-vix/12687" target="_blank">VIX rallying higher</a> – both of which I’ve discussed before.</p>
<p>I’ve been calling for a drop in the Dow since the beginning of the month.</p>
<p>Back on <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/use-fear-to-your-advantage-with-the-sp-500-volatility-index-vix/12687">February 2</a>, I told readers this: “If the VIX is rising, that means the Dow should be falling, possibly breaking under 8,000 sometime in the next few weeks and heading towards 7,000.”</p>
<p>And <a href="https://www.web-purchases.com/EscapeSwirlingDebt/M940K2FAHVEDM/landing.html">Crisis Strategy Alert</a>, a new crisis investing service (published by the same guys who put together <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/">ContrarianProfits.com</a>), has helped our subscribers make 20% profits on the Dow’s slide. (They are still banking coin!)</p>
<p>But is the Dow going to keep dropping? Let’s take a look…</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/022409_cod.jpg"></a><br />
This is a 12-year monthly chart&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Dow can drop for a ton of reasons – from <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/what-general-business-conditions-tell-you-about-the-market/13754" target="_blank">business conditions deteriorating</a> to the <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/use-fear-to-your-advantage-with-the-sp-500-volatility-index-vix/12687" target="_blank">VIX rallying higher</a> – both of which I’ve discussed before.<span id="more-14086"></span></p>
<p>I’ve been calling for a drop in the Dow since the beginning of the month.</p>
<p>Back on <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/use-fear-to-your-advantage-with-the-sp-500-volatility-index-vix/12687">February 2</a>, I told readers this: “If the VIX is rising, that means the Dow should be falling, possibly breaking under 8,000 sometime in the next few weeks and heading towards 7,000.”</p>
<p>And <a href="https://www.web-purchases.com/EscapeSwirlingDebt/M940K2FAHVEDM/landing.html">Crisis Strategy Alert</a>, a new crisis investing service (published by the same guys who put together <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/">ContrarianProfits.com</a>), has helped our subscribers make 20% profits on the Dow’s slide. (They are still banking coin!)</p>
<p>But is the Dow going to keep dropping? Let’s take a look…</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/022409_cod.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-14088" title="022409_cod" src="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/022409_cod.jpg" alt="022409_cod" width="604" height="377" /></a><br />
This is a 12-year monthly chart of the <strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)</strong>.</p>
<p>Notice how steep the most recent fall was.</p>
<p>Also notice how the DJIA recently broke under its 2002 bear market lows.</p>
<p>That means had you invested in a Dow Jones index fund back in 1998 your account would have LOST MONEY after inflation.</p>
<p>That makes this one of the worst investments known to man.</p>
<p>And it doesn’t seem like the pain will end anytime soon.</p>
<p>Above you’ll see that 7,000 is a major psychological support point.</p>
<p>Why?</p>
<p>Because it’s a round number. And because the DJIA has traded close to that level in the past.</p>
<p>Today the DJIA is about 100 points away from this mark.</p>
<p>So here’s what I suggest you do.</p>
<p>If you’re already short the Dow via an ETF like the <strong>Diamonds Trust (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=dia">DIA</a>)</strong>, then hold onto your position.</p>
<p>If you have not yet entered into a short position, then wait for the Dow to break under 7,000 before getting involved.</p>
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