China’s problem is two-fold: a lack of coal and severe coal pollution.

In case you haven’t seen the CNN.com story of May 20th, Chinese power plants are running out of coal, with less than a three-day supply in some areas, according to official government statements. About 32 power plants shut down due to a scarcity of fuel — aggravated by the May 12th earthquake.

The current decline in uranium prices gives these China super-traders a critical inflection point to pick up the slack and clean up the environment.

China is the world’s biggest emitter of sulfur dioxide, a toxic byproduct of burning cheap, dirty coal. The country’s all-powerful State Council reported that pollution cost more than $200 billion in 2005, nearly 10% of the national GDP — the last year Beijing released the numbers of the nation’s environmental damage.

The pollution is also sparking little-known riots.

On April 8, 2006, villagers armed with iron bars attacked factories polluting their water. Pollution riots in Huashui in April 2005 pitted outraged citizens against 10,000 police officers. And in mid-July 2005, some 15,000 protestors amassed in at the gates of an offending factory, throwing stones and overturning police cars, despite the thick clouds of tear gas.

The Chinese people are taking to the streets. They want to stop the pollution that is damaging their livelihoods and health.

A look at one industry will show you the devastating financial impact of China’s addiction to dirty coal.

Nearly 12-million tons of grain are contaminated every year from the airborne mercury contamination of coal. (As though China’s agriculture and food industries don’t have enough problems from the recent recalls.)

China could benefit greatly from plunging uranium prices…as well as investors who take a long-term position in China’s growth.

Uranium futures contracts through the end of this year are trading in the mid $60 range. By comparison, U308 uranium was priced at about $140 per pound as early as January of this year.

The steep decline in uranium could be just what the Chinese need to make their move before manufacturers start moving out entirely to countries such as Vietnam.

This exodus of capital is certainly in the tea leaves…

– China’s power shortage forced Shanghai Volkswagen to stop work for several days at a time.

– Sony’s Chinese manufacturing plant had to cut production due to chronic power shortages.

– Chengdu City suffered the worst power shortage ever, with 345 companies stopping production.

– The China unit of Marubeni Corp, Japan’s fifth-largest trading company, stopped work two to three times a week due to blackouts.

– General Motors and Panasonic shifted production to off-peak hours, losing days of work.

There is a growing sense of urgency to corner the uranium market.

This stealth team of Chinese traders is armed with a $300-billion war chest to grab up every last ounce of U308 uranium. And if anyone can pull this off, it’s the Chinese.

Unlike gold, oil or copper, there’s no regulated trading exchange for U308. You can’t buy an ETF for it. U308 moves in a near-underground economy of secretive auctions where uranium trading is fast and furious.

The absence of a regulated trading exchange gives an enormous advantage to a stealth team of Chinese traders instructed by the government to track down every last pound of U308.

This crackerjack team is headed by a cabinet-level rising star who is chauffeured around Beijing in a big, black Audi. He sports a cigarette holder like FDR and is considered one of China’s top economists.

Under his brilliant supervision, the Chinese uranium traders will draw on a war chest of $300 billion in U.S dollars. That amount is nearly twice the size of the world’s largest mutual fund. It’s about six times bigger than the legendary Magellan Fund. And it’s bigger than the world’s top four mutual funds combined.

Over the next 15 years, China plans on building 30 new nuclear reactors. Without those critical reactors, the country’s environment and economy could be heading straight for the dumpster.

China desperately needs another 23,000 megawatts to maintain its nonstop growth.

And 23,000 megawatts is a massive amount of electricity. It’s how much New York City lost during the great blackout of 2003, when 19 million New Yorkers were plunged into darkness and the city was dead in the water.

That’s why China is committed to shelling out $50 billion on 30 nuclear power plants. The country must make the leap from 8.7 million kilowatts today to 40 million kilowatts by 2020. It’s the most ambitious nuclear power expansion in history.

For investors interested in China, the move to nuclear energy is great news. It means that China will overcome its energy problems — removing another obstacle to long-term growth.

Irwin Greenstein

Source: SWAT Team Looks to Cut China’s Addiction to Dirty Coal

I recommended Bucyrus about a year-and-a-half ago. The company makes coal and copper mining equipment. I could have gone with a coal-mining company instead. But rising coal prices had made coal companies a bit expensive. Bucyrus’ price was still cheap. It was probably a vote of “no confidence” on a softening domestic market and uncertain global prospects… supposed signs that dirty coal was falling out of favor.

I knew better. It probably had something to do with the fact that I like to keep things simple. And there’s something very simple and compelling about the number 1,000. That’s how many coal-fired plants are scheduled to be built in the next five years, many of them in China and India.

I also knew that China and India had ambitious nuclear-plant expansion plans. So ambitious, in fact, that there was little likelihood of coal taking a back seat from either country stepping up its nuclear plant construction timetable.

And nuclear – not solar, wind, or geothermal – is the only competitive energy source to coal, in terms of cost and scale. Oil and gas? C’mon. On a per kilowatt basis, they weren’t competitive two years ago. Now, they’re completely off the map.

The other thing I know about coal plants is that they don’t die. They just get rebuilt as they get into their 20’s and then 30’s. Sort of reminds me of Northwest’s aging fleet of airplanes, except you don’t have to fly coal plants, thank goodness.

This brings me to the third thing I know about coal plants. To paraphrase an old Geritol commercial, they don’t get older, they get better. (That commercial has to be at least 25 years old. Do you remember it?) Let me explain.

A great deal of equipment that goes into coal plants has shelf lives of between 10-20 years. And replacing them is a little tricky.

In some ways it’s like you and I going out and getting a new washer and dryer to replace the old one. The new ones will be more effective and efficient. That is, it’ll do a better job washing our clothes and it’ll do it on less energy.

But our washer and dryer aren’t hooked up to a vast and complex array of machinery – all working together to pump out electricity. Replacing a 15-year old piece of machinery with a new one is hard because they usually aren’t made anymore. The new-and-improved part usually comes in a slightly different shape and size. And these small differences can create huge headaches. Even getting it from the OEM (original equipment manufacturer) is no guarantee that you can slip it into the factory without a great deal of re-engineering.

This brings me to the final (sort of) thing I know about coal plants. They’re cleaner than you think. Replacing parts and components is a chance to upgrade. If you’re going to spend serious money and have engineering challenges, you might as well go for the replacement machinery that gives you the most improvement in not only effectiveness and efficiency…

But also in the environment. Oddly enough, as these coal-fired plants all over the world get older, the environmental gap between them and ever-cleaner new plants gets smaller, not bigger.

I happen to know this because at one time I supplied old coal plants in Asia with new parts from American OEMs. These plants weren’t pretty to look at. The re-engineering tended to give these plants a meandering jerry-rigged look. One of the ugliest coal plants in all of creation was one in Taipei. I supplied a ton of parts to it (I don’t think there’s any connection between my role and how ugly it was, but I can’t swear to it.) But it also was one of the most efficient coal-fired plants I knew.

Just goes to show you, looks aren’t everything.

Look, coal will never be the flavor of the day. And, l guarantee, every few years it’ll be written off. Don’t believe it. When oil and gas end their run and begin to drop, coal won’t follow. Of all the energy commodity plays, it’s the most durable… safest… and longest-lasting.

Coal plants aren’t the only things dependent upon a constant stream of parts. Bucyrus’ after-sales market is huge. When I found out that the company was doubling its capacity to make spare parts for its used mining equipment, it struck home.

Spare parts aren’t glamorous or sexy. But it’s something I know about. If they could prop up coal-fired plants, certainly they could prop up sales of a single company that mined the very stuff those plants need.

Sure, it was just a coincidence: A manufacturer whose reliance on spare parts for growth neatly bookended one of the hidden props of the coal-energy market it was part of. If all our picks had to have these neat little coincidences, we wouldn’t get anywhere with our portfolio, would we?

But sometimes a pick just speaks to you. And you have to listen. That’s how it was with Bucyrus. Spare parts were the hidden story and my own personal insight into the company and the sector it belonged to. Nobody mentions coal and spare parts in the same breath. Not even Rusty, the maestro investor of mining. But it’s a great back-end business. The 175% gain I’ve made from Bucyrus so far (and it shows no signs of slowing down) backs up my contention that you should go with what you know.

When you make a connection that others aren’t making, chances are you’re on to a good thing.Good Trading,

Andrew Gordon

P.S. To let me know what you thought of today’s article, send an e-mail to: feedback@investorsdailyedge.com.

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