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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Dow Jones Industrial Average Index</title>
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		<title>US Inflation Rate Rises 0.6% in May</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-inflation-rate-rises-06-in-may/3008</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-inflation-rate-rises-06-in-may/3008#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 16:42:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marc</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-inflation-rate-rises-06-in-may/3008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080613/economy.html?.v=2" title="Open a new browser window to find out more" target="_blank">US inflation rate</a> rose by 0.6% in May &#8212; the highest monthly increase since last November.</p>
<p>The core inflation rate, however, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, only rose 0.2%, easing fears that rising commodity prices would feed into more widespread inflation</p>
<p>But can the government&#8217;s inflation data be trusted? John Brown in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a> doesn&#8217;t think so&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Perhaps, the greatest area of concern about <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-statistical-battleground/2852" title="Read more">statistical manipulation</a> is the measurement of inflation, or Consumer Price Index (CPI). By manipulating this single statistic the government can miraculously transform rising prices into economic growth.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The Department of Labor has set so-called “core” inflation, excluding food and energy, at 2.2%. Even “headline” inflation, including food and energy, is published officially at only some 4%. The problem is&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080613/economy.html?.v=2" title="Open a new browser window to find out more" target="_blank">US inflation rate</a> rose by 0.6% in May &#8212; the highest monthly increase since last November.</p>
<p>The core inflation rate, however, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, only rose 0.2%, easing fears that rising commodity prices would feed into more widespread inflation</p>
<p>But can the government&#8217;s inflation data be trusted? John Brown in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a> doesn&#8217;t think so&#8230;<span id="more-3008"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>Perhaps, the greatest area of concern about <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-statistical-battleground/2852" title="Read more">statistical manipulation</a> is the measurement of inflation, or Consumer Price Index (CPI). By manipulating this single statistic the government can miraculously transform rising prices into economic growth.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The Department of Labor has set so-called “core” inflation, excluding food and energy, at 2.2%. Even “headline” inflation, including food and energy, is published officially at only some 4%. The problem is that these figures bear very little relation to the reality of price increases experienced on Main Street, which some estimate to be in excess of 10%.</p>
<p>Statisticians assign different weights to the elements comprising the CPI that are often not reflective of the spending habits of ordinary citizens. For example, housing maintenance (including heating oil), a major expenditure, is given only a small part in the Index’s makeup. In addition, the re-pricing of items such as automobiles to allow for added “hedonistic” features such as enhanced “value for money” is wide open to varying judgments. How these statistical decisions are made is really anyone’s guess. But it is absurd to assume that the government’s overwhelming interest in reporting low inflation does not influence the final numbers.</p>
<p>The financial consequences for investors can be severe. For  example, the Dow Jones  Industrial Average Index, against which many investment returns are measured, closed at a nominal high of 14,093 on Oct. 12, 2007. The media reported it as a sign of good things to come. On May 23, 2008, the Dow closed at 12,480 &#8211; off a bit, but apparently not too bad. But if that day’s close is adjusted for the official CPI, then it’s not worth 12,480, but only 9,856 when compared with its previous market cycle high, of 11,723, in the year 2000.</p>
<p>Worse still, if adjusted for the more likely but still conservative inflation rate of 8%, the recent close of 12,480 becomes the equivalent of only 6,742 in the year 2000. What looks like a nominal gain of some 757 points or 6.4% is, in fact, a real loss of 4,981 points or some 42% over those eight years!</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Strongest 2Q Start for US Markets in 70 Years</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/strongest-2q-start-for-us-markets-in-70-years/815</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/strongest-2q-start-for-us-markets-in-70-years/815#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Apr 2008 16:17:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=815</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>US markets marked the strongest second quarter start since 1938, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/04/02/best-second-quarter-start-in-70-years-for-u.s.-market/" title="Leave ContrarianProfits.com to learn more." target="_blank">reports Money Morning.</a></p>
<p>The rally in financial stocks led the three major indexes to post gains of more than 3%.</p>
<blockquote><p>At the New York close, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Index had posted a gain of 391.96 points (3.20%), to close at 12,654.85. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index increased 82.14 points (3.60%), to reach 2,361.24. And the broader Standard &#38; Poor’s 500 Index rose 47.17 points (3.57%), to hit 1,369.87.</p>
<p>All sectors were up with the financial sector (up 4.47%), the services sector (up 3.29%) and the technology sector (up 3.18%) posting the biggest gains.</p></blockquote>
<p>In today&#8217;s going, stocks edged higher after a shaky start on hopes that Friday&#8217;s employment report will bring&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>US markets marked the strongest second quarter start since 1938, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/04/02/best-second-quarter-start-in-70-years-for-u.s.-market/" title="Leave ContrarianProfits.com to learn more." target="_blank">reports Money Morning.</a></p>
<p>The rally in financial stocks led the three major indexes to post gains of more than 3%.</p>
<blockquote><p>At the New York close, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Index had posted a gain of 391.96 points (3.20%), to close at 12,654.85.<span id="more-815"></span> The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index increased 82.14 points (3.60%), to reach 2,361.24. And the broader Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 Index rose 47.17 points (3.57%), to hit 1,369.87.</p>
<p>All sectors were up with the financial sector (up 4.47%), the services sector (up 3.29%) and the technology sector (up 3.18%) posting the biggest gains.</p></blockquote>
<p>In today&#8217;s going, stocks edged higher after a shaky start on hopes that Friday&#8217;s employment report will bring good news.</p>
<p>The Dow Jones industrial Average rose 21.25 points to 12,673.25, with 17 its 30 components trading lower.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-stocks-quickly-shed-opening/story.aspx?guid=%7B397B07AC%2D3796%2D4E4C%2D9A50%2DE334863F8978%7D" title="Leave ContrarianProfits.com to learn more." target="_blank">Read on at MarketWatch.com.</a></p>
<p>&#8220;The stock market is beginning to offer some attractive bargains,&#8221; says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/chris-mayer/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Chris Mayer</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Several great mutual funds, long closed to investors, are now open again for new investors. These include the Tweedy Browne Global Value Fund, the Longleaf Partners Fund, the First Eagle Global and Overseas funds, the Third Avenue International Value Fund and the First Pacific Crescent Fund. They’re open because they have more ideas than they have money. They want to buy.</p>
<p>&#8220;I’d give these funds a look, because they don’t tend to stay open for long. The opening of these funds, captained by investors with long track records of success, is also an indicator that the smart money is buying.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=615" title="Read the full report." target="_blank">Read on here. </a></p>
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