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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Economic Weakness</title>
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		<title>Oil Falls Below $66 After Bleak U.S. Jobs Data</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-falls-below-66-after-bleak-us-jobs-data/18705</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/oil-falls-below-66-after-bleak-us-jobs-data/18705#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2009 13:00:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Weakness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro Zone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jobless Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London Brent Crude]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Inventories]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=18705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Oil dropped a dollar to below $66 a barrel today, Friday, after unemployment data hardened views economic weakness would sap energy demand and that last month&#8217;s rally was overdone.</p>
<p><strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>In the latest sign the economy of the world&#8217;s top consumer was still struggling, data on Thursday showed U.S. employers cut 467,000 jobs in June and the jobless rate rose to a 26-year high. Euro zone unemployment climbed to a 10-year high. </strong></p>
<p>&#8220;All the data was bad yesterday,&#8221; said Rob Montefusco, a trader at Sucden Financial. &#8220;Technically, it looks pretty weak at the moment.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. crude fell by $1.22 to $65.51 a barrel by 1718 GMT, extending the previous session&#8217;s nearly 4 percent drop. London Brent crude fell $1.35 to $65.30.</p>
<p>Friday&#8217;s trading volumes&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oil dropped a dollar to below $66 a barrel today, Friday, after unemployment data hardened views economic weakness would sap energy demand and that last month&#8217;s rally was overdone.<span id="more-18705"></span></p>
<p><strong></strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="font-weight: normal;">In the latest sign the economy of the world&#8217;s top consumer was still struggling, data on Thursday showed U.S. employers cut 467,000 jobs in June and the jobless rate rose to a 26-year high. Euro zone unemployment climbed to a 10-year high. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">&#8220;All the data was bad yesterday,&#8221; said Rob Montefusco, a trader at Sucden Financial. &#8220;Technically, it looks pretty weak at the moment.&#8221;</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">U.S. crude </span><span style="font-weight: normal;">fell by $1.22 to $65.51 a barrel by 1718 GMT, extending the previous session&#8217;s nearly 4 percent drop. London Brent crude </span><span style="font-weight: normal;">fell $1.35 to $65.30.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">Friday&#8217;s trading volumes were thin as NYMEX floor trading was closed for the U.S. Independence Day holiday.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">Oil prices have doubled from a low of $32.40 a barrel in December last year and they surged by 42 percent in the last quarter &#8212; the largest quarterly gain since 1990.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">But some analysts had predicted the market&#8217;s rise above $70 in June could not be sustained as the economy and energy demand were still weak and oil inventories remained high.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">The latest U.S. government data showed a bigger than expected increase in stocks of motor fuel ahead of the July 4 holiday weekend, typically a time of high demand as the peak of the U.S. summer driving season.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">JP Morgan said in a report on Friday it expected oil prices to correct to about $60 a barrel or lower.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">Technical analysts, who use past price moves to predict direction, were also taking a bearish view for the immediate term. They said the breach of the technical target of $66 added to the negative momentum on Friday.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">&#8220;Risks are shifting for a downside correction toward $60 in the weeks ahead before the larger bull trend resumes,&#8221; Barclays Capital technical analysts said.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">For the longer term, many forecasters and analysts have said there was a risk of a supply crunch that could drive prices much higher, following under-investment in new capacity during the current period of lower oil prices and limited credit.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has said prices needed to be around $75 to spur investment and it has lowered its output targets by 4.2 million barrels per day since last September to try to support the market.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">OPEC&#8217;s higher level of discipline earlier this year surprised analysts. Earlier this year, it rose to a peak of around 80 percent of promised curbs, but as oil markets have recovered the group&#8217;s compliance has faltered.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">Reuters latest survey pegged discipline at 72 percent, still far above the historical average of 60 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: normal;">LONDON, July 3 (Reuters)</span></p>
<p></strong></p>
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		<title>Global Stocks Tumble on BofA Results, Oil Slumps</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-stocks-tumble-on-bofa-results-oil-slumps/15761</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-stocks-tumble-on-bofa-results-oil-slumps/15761#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2009 18:16:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Weakness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Sachs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Wall St slides on bank jitters, earnings outlook caution&#8230; US dollar rallies broadly as equities worldwide tumble&#8230; Government debt shines on banking worries flare up&#8230; Oil drops over 8 pct on economic outlook, dollar rise</p>
<p>Oil prices and stocks around the world tumbled on Monday after a jump in troubled loans at Bank of America and renewed signs of economic weakness cooled investors&#8217; optimism the worst of a global slowdown was over. </p>
<p> The U.S dollar rallied broadly to trade at one-month highs as the slide in worldwide equity markets boosted safe-haven demand for the greenback, U.S. and European government debt and gold. </p>
<p> Bank of America  stock shed 17 percent after reporting its purchase of Merrill Lynch &#38; Co helped to more&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wall St slides on bank jitters, earnings outlook caution&#8230; US dollar rallies broadly as equities worldwide tumble&#8230; Government debt shines on banking worries flare up&#8230; Oil drops over 8 pct on economic outlook, dollar rise<span id="more-15761"></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;">Oil prices and stocks around the world tumbled on Monday after a jump in troubled loans at Bank of America and renewed signs of economic weakness cooled investors&#8217; optimism the worst of a global slowdown was over. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The U.S dollar rallied broadly to trade at one-month highs as the slide in worldwide equity markets boosted safe-haven demand for the greenback, U.S. and European government debt and gold. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Bank of America  stock shed 17 percent after reporting its purchase of Merrill Lynch &amp; Co helped to more than double first-quarter profit, but credit quality deteriorated sharply, hurt by a flagging economy and growing unemployment.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Also weighing on sentiment was a key gauge of future economic activity, which fell for the third month in a row in March, showing the U.S. recession may persist through summer.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> In another sign of weakness, Germany fell deeper into recession in the first quarter, the Bundesbank said, fueling expectations of a record contraction in gross domestic product.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Most major European and U.S. stock indexes fell more than 3.0 percent as analysts questioned the prospect for corporate earnings. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Shares of Citigroup Inc  fell 16 percent after Goldman Sachs said credit losses at the bank continued to grow at a rapid rate, putting a damper on earnings expectations. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;People are starting to peel the results back and say wait a second,&#8221; said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. &#8220;Can (the results) continue in the next quarter?&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> At 1 p.m., the Dow Jones industrial average was off 219.04 points, or 2.69 percent, at 7,912.29. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index was down 28.93 points, or 3.33 percent, at 840.67. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 54.10 points, or 3.23 percent, at 1,618.97. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Banking shares took the most points off an index of leading  European companies, sparked by Bank of America results. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares closed 3.5 percent lower at 786.12 points, the biggest daily percentage drop since March 30. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Deutsche Bank  lost 8.6 percent, Barclays   fell 7.9 percent and BNP Paribas  6.6  percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The DJ STOXX Banks Index fell 5.5 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Oil slid more than 8.0 percent to about $46 a barrel, depressed by a rising dollar and growing caution about the pace of any economic recovery and its impact on oil demand. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> U.S. crude for May delivery  was down $3.95 at $46.38  a barrel. Brent crude  for June fell $3.09 to $50.26. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> President Barack Obama said on Sunday the U.S. economy remained under strain and his top economic adviser tempered hopes for a speedy recovery that have driven Wall Street to six straight weeks of gains. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn of the International Monetary Fund was quoted Sunday as saying the IMF would cut its global economic forecasts this week and that he did not expect a recovery to start unitl the first half of next year. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;Near term, we don&#8217;t see any supportive factors for the oil market,&#8221; said Harry Tchilinguirian, oil analyst at BNP Paribas in London. &#8220;We have not yet turned the corner on the economy, oil demand is very weak and inventories are high.&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The U.S. dollar rallied, boosted by volatility in global equity markets and expectations the U.S. economy will rebound from recession sooner than other regions. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;There&#8217;s no doubt among investors that the U.S. will be the first to get out of this recession,&#8221; said Matt Esteve, a currency trader at Tempus Consulting in Washington. &#8220;As stocks around the globe move lower, we are seeing a re-emergence of risk aversion and the dollar gets a boost.&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The dollar rose against a basket of major currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index up 0.82 percent at 86.604. Against the yen, the dollar  fell 1.20 percent at 97.94. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The euro  fell 0.83 percent at $1.293. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Gold rose about 2.0 percent, with spot gold prices   rose $17.25 to $885.15 an ounce. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> U.S. and euro zone government bonds rallied as a steep fall in equities helped underpin appetite for less risky fixed-income assets. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Fears about the financial sector were also stoked by a blog which said it had obtained the results of &#8220;stress tests&#8221; on the health of the top 19 U.S. banks. A spokesman said the U.S. Treasury Department has not received results.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;It&#8217;s a pure risk aversion type day today &#8230; it&#8217;s all about the bond market reacting to very weak equities,&#8221; said John Davies, fixed-income strategist at West LB. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note  rose  26/32 in price to yield 2.86 percent. The 2-year U.S. Treasury  note  rose 3/32 to yield 0.93 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Asian stocks edged higher. The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.7 percent and Japan&#8217;s Nikkei average drifted up 0.2 percent.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;">April 20 (Reuters)</span></p>
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		<title>US Recession: How Deep Will it Be?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-recession-how-deep-will-it-be/1471</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-recession-how-deep-will-it-be/1471#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Apr 2008 13:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Bonner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Weakness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marc Faber]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Just how deep and how long will America&#8217;s recession be? This is the question raised in <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2ef9698e-0fbf-11dd-8871-0000779fd2ac.html" title="Read the full article." target="_blank">today&#8217;s Financial Times</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Will it be a V-shaped recession – short, shallow and followed by a rapid return to normal rates of growth? Will it be U-shaped, in which the initial downturn is followed by a protracted period of weak growth and a slow return to the trend rate? Or could it even be an L-shaped recession – with economic weakness lasting for many years, as in the US during the Great Depression or Japan in the 1990s?</p>
<p></p></blockquote>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-long-slope-of-hope/" title="Read the full article.">The newspaper headlines may be negative, but sentiment is not</a>,&#8221; says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/bill-bonner/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Bill Bonner</a> in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most people think this is a good time to buy a house &#8212;&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="U2112811171750hNH"></span>Just how deep and how long will America&#8217;s recession be? This is the question raised in <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2ef9698e-0fbf-11dd-8871-0000779fd2ac.html" title="Read the full article." target="_blank">today&#8217;s Financial Times</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Will it be a V-shaped recession – short, shallow and followed by a rapid return to normal rates of growth? Will it be U-shaped, in which the initial downturn is followed by a protracted period of weak growth and a slow return to the trend rate? Or could it even be an L-shaped recession – with economic weakness lasting for many years, as in the US during the Great Depression or Japan in the 1990s?</p>
<p><span id="more-1471"></span></p></blockquote>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-long-slope-of-hope/" title="Read the full article.">The newspaper headlines may be negative, but sentiment is not</a>,&#8221; says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/bill-bonner/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Bill Bonner</a> in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most people think this is a good time to buy a house &#8212; meaning, they still think ‘you can’t go wrong in property.’ And stocks at 20 times earnings are no bargains. At real bottoms, you can buy stocks at 5 to 8 times earnings.</p>
<p>&#8220;At real bottoms, people have stopped looking for bottoms. Our old friend Marc Faber sent a convenient list of quotations from the crash of ‘29. A chart of the market action looks like a mountainside, with ledges…followed by more sharp downturns. But on each ledge…at each pause on the way down…there was some notable figure telling the world that it was over.</p>
<p>&#8220;We ain’t seen nothing yet. When we get a real bottom, they won’t be talking at all &#8211; they will have lost interest. That’s what happens. When we get a real bottom, people won’t be interested in buying stocks; they’ll come to regard stocks as a rich man’s game. And they will once again view houses as a consumer item, not an asset class. As for depression…they won’t need the newspapers to tell them how bad things are.</p>
<p>&#8220;We think that day is coming. How far out it is, we don’t know. As we often say, we don’t have a crystal ball.&#8221;</p>
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